It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Edwin Jackson ($4,400) is pitching for the Tigers.
That should be enough information to convince you to stack the Royals, but I’ll toss a couple of numbers at you, just to drive the point home. Jackson’s made eight appearances this season (five starts), and has an 11.12 ERA in 28 1/3 innings. July 15 was the first time this season that Jackson took the mound without giving up a run — his previous outing he gave up seven in less than an inning. Detroit’s bullpen ranks 27th in baseball, which leaves a 5.8-run projection for Kansas City feeling light. The bats are cheap, and the matchup is perfect.
Players to ConsiderJorge Soler ($4,600)
Whit Merrifield ($4,500)
Hunter Dozier ($4,400)
Alex Gordon ($3,800)
Cheslor Cuthbert ($3,800)
Bubba Starling ($3,100)
2. NEW YORK YANKEES
The Yankees carried their momentum from Baltimore to Toronto, scoring 12 runs in the series opener on Thursday night. Sean Reid-Foley ($7,700) is having a solid season, but he has pitched just 21 2/3 innings. His limited success in no way justifies how cheap we can roster New York’s bats on this slate.
The Yanks are projected for 5.9 runs, yet don’t have a bat priced over $4,700 — pretty unheard of for a big-name offense that leads the majors with six runs per game. The Yankees aren’t often a place we dig for value, and while I expect them to be popular, you can go ahead and take the savings here.
Players to ConsiderDJ LeMahieu ($4,700)
Gio Urshela ($4,500)
Didi Gregorius ($4,000)
Mike Ford ($3,400)
3. HOUSTON ASTROS
The narrative surrounding the Astros has been their starting pitching, but let’s not forget how good this offense is. Houston’s scored nine or more runs in four of its last five games, including 25 total runs in a two-game series against Colorado. While we always prefer to target the ‘Stros at home, they are in a great situation for hitters, facing Dylan Bundy ($6,600) in Baltimore.
Bundy has a 5.89 ERA at Camden Yards this season, and he has been brutal in four starts since the All-Star break — 7.79 ERA. Of course, Baltimore’s bullpen ranks 29th in baseball with a 5.86 ERA on the season, leaving the Astros in position to rack up runs. Houston’s projected for a total of 6.5 here, but we need to pay up for the bats.
Players to ConsiderYordan Alvarez ($5,700)
George Springer ($5,600)
Alex Bregman ($5,400)
Jose Altuve ($5,300)
Carlos Correa ($5,300)
Michael Brantley ($5,100)
4. BOSTON RED SOX
The Red Sox are averaging 5.7 runs per game at Fenway Park this season, and have a 6.8-run projection against Jaime Barria ($6,000) and the Angels. Barria’s splits really highlight his road struggles, with a 10.13 ERA away from home this season. He’s also been terrible since the break, with an 8.31 ERA in four outings.
Barria’s reverse splits keep Boston’s power RHBs in terrific spots, but he’s also nothing special against LHBs. All the bats are in consideration here, and the Angels below-average bullpen doesn’t give much resistance.
Players to ConsiderRafael Devers ($5,300)
Andrew Benintendi ($5,100)
Mookie Betts ($5,000)
Xander Bogaerts ($5,000)
J.D. Martinez ($5,000)
Mitch Moreland ($4,100)
5. LOS ANGELES ANGELS
With a total set all the way up at 12 runs in this game, there’s plenty of room for the Angels to get in on the offense as well. David Price’s (wrist) stint on the IL means we’ll see Brian Johnson ($7,600) get the start for the Red Sox — 6.88 ERA in eight appearances this season, three of them starts.
Johnson’s been better as a starter, giving up just five runs in 11 innings, but this Los Angeles lineup is loaded with RHB power. Boston’s bullpen has been trash all season, and it’s tough to imagine Johnson going too deep into this one. After being shutout on Thursday, this is a strong bounce-back spot for the Angels bats.
Players to ConsiderMike Trout ($5,800)
Shohei Ohtani ($4,700)
Kole Calhoun ($4,100)
Albert Pujols ($4,000)
David Fletcher ($3,900)
Justin Upton ($3,800)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.