Friday’s 12-game MLB main slate provides plenty of attractive stacking spots, both from run total and value perspectives. The Giants caught fire the last time they were at Coors Field, and both teams make for high-upside stacks. I’ll leave that game off, just because we know both teams are in strong spots. Here are my top stacks to target, ignoring Coors.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. HOUSTON ASTROS
Houston returns home from a road trip and finds itself in a smash spot against Yusei Kikuchi ($5,000) and the Mariners. After a couple of strong starts to begin his career, Kikuchi has fallen off hard, and he is only getting worse. In three starts since the All-Star break, he has a 6.89 ERA, following a 7.03 ERA in the month of June.
That last start in June came against the Astros, when Kikuchi gave up five runs in five innings. Houston’s eighth-ranked offense is averaging 5.21 runs per game and picking up steam down the stretch. Seattle’s 26th-ranked bullpen leaves plenty of upside for the Astros once Kikuchi gets yanked from this one, justifying a 6.5-run projection.
Players to ConsiderYordan Alvarez ($5,400)
George Springer ($5,300)
Jose Altuve ($5,000)
Michael Brantley ($4,800)
Alex Bregman ($4,600)
Carlos Correa ($4,600)
2. MINNESOTA TWINS
Glenn Sparkman ($5,500) had a strong stretch for the Royals during the season, and he has been solid in a pair of starts against the Twins — six runs in 12 innings. But the numbers heading into this start are working against him in every other way. Sparkman has a 7.53 ERA in the month of July, and an 8.73 ERA on the road this year.
Sparkman’s been brutal in his last two starts, giving up 13 total runs in 10 2/3 innings. His previous start in Minnesota was also shaky, surrendering five runs in five innings. The Twins’ third-ranked offense should have plenty of motivation in this one, after losing to the lowly Marlins on Thursday while entering the ninth inning with a three-run lead. Kansas City’s bullpen ranks in the bottom third of the league, which helps contribute to a 6.7-run projection for the home team.
Players to ConsiderNelson Cruz ($5,500)
Mitch Garver ($5,300)
Max Kepler ($5,200)
Miguel Sano ($4,900)
Jorge Polanco ($4,700)
Eddie Rosario ($4,700)
3. TEXAS RANGERS
Tyler Alexander ($6,400) has gotten three career starts, all this month with the Tigers. He’s been solid, with a 3.86 ERA, but will face his toughest offense yet, the Rangers in Texas. The Rangers have totaled 14 runs in the first two games of the series, and are projected for another 6.3 in this matchup. Alexander got roughed up a bit in his last start, giving up four runs in an eventual 8-1 loss in Seattle.
The Rangers have been significantly better scoring runs at home, averaging 5.63 this season. Detroit’s bullpen ranks 25th overall this season, and shouldn’t be able to contain the Texas bats. The only cause for concern here is that the Rangers can struggle against LHP, but they should have enough RHBs to produce runs, and still have upside against the pen.
Players to ConsiderDanny Santana ($5,100)
Willie Calhoun ($4,900)
Hunter Pence ($4,800)
Shin-Soo Choo ($4,700)
Rougned Odor ($4,500)
Elvis Andrus ($4,200)
4. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
The Phillies welcome in the White Sox for an interleague series, with a 5.9-run projection opposite Ivan Nova ($7,000). Philly got hot to finish up a home series against the Giants, scoring 10 runs on Thursday afternoon, boosting their average to over five runs per game at home. July was Nova’s best month of the season, with a 3.16 ERA in five starts, but he’s due for some regression.
Chicago should get average pitching from both Nova and the bullpen, so I’m counting on Philly’s offense continuing to hit well in this spot. Corey Dickerson ($4,800) should be a key addition to this lineup, and will likely be the most expensive player in the order on this slate. Bryce Harper ($4,400) has also hit Nova well in his career, setting up a great spot for LHBs here.
Players to Consider
Bryce Harper ($4,400)
Rhys Hoskins ($4,400)
Jean Segura ($4,200)
Scott Kingery ($4,100)
Cesaer Hernandez ($3,500)
5. CLEVELAND INDIANS
The Indians unveiled their post-deadline lineup on Thursday, but the problem was that they ran into a red-hot Gerrit Cole. That resulted in scoring just one run, but Cleveland finds itself in a much better spot on Friday against Dillon Peters ($6,000) and the Angels. The Indians have a 5.5-run projection in this one, and we should see the new bats thrive.
Peters has a 3.06 ERA this season, but he hasn’t even pitched 20 innings yet. So we can focus more on the 5.40 career ERA here, along with the fact that this will be his toughest test of the season. Both of Cleveland’s new additions are RHBs, putting them in good individual matchups. This could be the game we see this new-look lineup go off and get our attention.
Players to ConsiderFrancisco Lindor ($5,200)
Jose Ramirez ($4,800)
Oscar Mercado ($4,700)
Carlos Santana ($4,600)
Yasiel Puig ($4,100) Q — suspension
Franmil Reyes ($3,900)
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.