Monday was a pretty high-scoring slate, with a lot of teams exceeding their run projection, and three teams scoring 12-plus runs. Tuesday is a big 13-game slate with some high run projections. Here are some teams I’m looking at stacking.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions @julianedlow.
1. CHICAGO WHITE SOXThe White Sox smashed in 12 runs on Monday in Baltimore, and have a similar matchup on this slate. Chicago’s projected for 5.3 runs against RHP Andrew Cashner ($6,500), who has a 4.97 ERA through his first five starts. Baltimore is somehow 4-1 in Cashner’s starts thanks to its offense, but the Birds have given up five or more runs in three of those outings.
The White Sox bats have actually been outstanding against Cashner, going 23-for-69 (.333) against him in their careers. With Chicago averaging an impressive 5.75 runs per game on the road (which ranks ninth in MLB), this is a spot they can continue putting up runs.
Players to ConsiderTim Anderson ($5,100)
Yoan Moncada ($4,900)
Jose Abreu ($4,300)
Yonder Alonso ($4,100)
Nicky Delmonico ($3,500)
Welington Castillo ($3,700)
2. BALTIMORE ORIOLESThe Orioles only managed two runs in what I thought was a good spot against the White Sox on Monday, but I’ll go right back to them with a 4.8-run projection on this slate. Baltimore’s bats provide tremendous value against RHP Ivan Nova ($6,600), who has a 6.23 ERA in four starts in 2019. There’s not enough of a sample size for this season, but in general, Nova’s been much worse pitching on the road in his career — his ERA was nearly twice as bad in road games in 2018.
Baltimore’s bats have actually had some success in their careers against Nova, including (gulp) Chris Davis ($2,700). The BvP numbers go back over the years, but Davis is 10-for-35 with two doubles, four homers and 11 RBI against Nova. Davis hasn’t scored a DKFP in his last two games, but I’ll take a chance on him at this value. He still has managed 10 or more DKFP in three of his last seven games.
Players to ConsiderJonathan Villar ($4,900)
Trey Mancini ($4,900)
Dwight Smith Jr. ($4,900)
Renato Nunez ($4,600)
Rio Ruiz ($3,600)
Chris Davis ($2,700)
3. WASHINGTON NATIONALSThe Nats scored five runs at Coors Field on Monday, and are projected for 5.4 against RHP Jeff Hoffman ($7,700) on this slate. Hoffman barely pitched in 2018, but had a 9.35 ERA in six appearances (only one start). He allowed all nine of his runs in eight innings pitched at Coors in 2018, and has a 7.43 ERA in 76 1/3 innings pitched in his career at Coors.
Hoffman faced Washington once in his career, giving up four runs in six innings, but that was in D.C. In his first appearance of the season, expect Hoffman to be rusty against the sixth-best road offense in baseball — averaging 6.4 runs per game away from home. All of Washington’s bats have plenty of value here, and the Rockies could turn to the bullpen early in this one.
Players to ConsiderAnthony Rendon ($5,600) Q
Juan Soto ($5,000)
Adam Eaton ($4,800)
Victor Robles ($4,700)
Ryan Zimmerman ($4,500)
Brian Dozier ($4,400)
4. COLORADO ROCKIESThe Rockies could get overlooked on this slate, but they’re actually pretty affordable by Coors standards. The matchup against LHP Patrick Corbin ($8,800) is what may scare people away, which has the Rockies projected for only 4.7 runs.
While Corbin has a 2.36 ERA on the season, the competition hasn’t been all that difficult. Corbin’s four starts have come against the Mets (twice), Pirates and Giants — and the opposition still wound up with five or more runs in three of those games because of how bad Washington’s bullpen has been. This will be by far Corbin’s most difficult start of the season, going against a Colorado team that he had a 5.12 ERA in four starts against in 2018.
Players to ConsiderTrevor Story ($5,200)
Nolan Arenado ($5,100)
Charlie Blackmon ($4,900)
Mark Reynolds ($3,700)
Garrett Hampson ($3,600)
Ian Desmond ($3,500)
5. BOSTON RED SOXThe Red Sox do have a doubleheader Tuesday at Fenway, so first and foremost just be aware that some of the big names could rest the second leg. Boston’s projected for 5.2 runs against Tigers RHP Spencer Turnbull ($7,200), who enters this game with a solid 3.43 ERA.
The Sox found a little bit of a groove in their sweep at Tampa, scoring 16 total runs in the series, and a pair of games with six runs in each. In his only road start of the season, Turnbull gave up three runs to Toronto in five innings. This lineup will be looking to carry some momentum from an encouraging road trip into this home stand, which leaves a high ceiling. This is just about as cheap as you’ll see Boston’s bats, which makes it a good time to target them and hope for some 2018-esque production.
Players to ConsiderJ.D. Martinez ($5,200)
Mookie Betts ($4,800)
Andrew Benintendi ($4,600)
Mitch Moreland ($4,500)
Xander Bogaerts ($4,400)
Rafael Devers ($4,100)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.