You know Friday always brings us plenty of games, but this is an interesting one for stacking. While there are 14 games, there are also seven pitchers priced at $9,900 or more, so that limits the places we’ll look for offense. Here are the offenses that stand out.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. COLORADO ROCKIES
The Rockies return to Coors Field on Friday, where they’re projected for a slate-high 6.5 runs against John Means ($6,500) and the Orioles. Colorado averages 5.95 runs per game at home this season, and come home after scoring five or more runs in four straight games.
Means is having a very solid season, but there are a couple of red flags that give the Rockies offensive upside. Means’ home ERA more than doubles away from Camden Yards, with a 3.98 ERA in five road games. Means has also given up seven of eight doubles and five of six home runs to RHBs, which the Rockies have plenty of. Once Means is knocked out of the game, Colorado will face baseball’s second-worst bullpen, with a 6.04 ERA.
Players to ConsiderTrevor Story ($5,600)
Nolan Arenado ($5,600)
Ian Desmond ($4,600)
Brendan Rodgers ($4,400)
2. OAKLAND ATHLETICS
The A’s have a 5.3-run projection at home against Seattle, which will send Wade LeBlanc ($7,400) to the mound. LeBlanc has been having a terrible season in limited appearances, with a 7.36 ERA through four starts. Opposing teams have scored at least five runs in each game LeBlanc’s pitched in, averaging a whopping 10.25 runs per game.
LeBlanc’s giving up a homer just about every three innings, all of them coming from RHBs. Oakland offers plenty of options from the right side to target, but we also have to factor in the Mariners’ plummeting bullpen, which now ranks 27th. The A’s are swinging some hot bats entering this game, averaging 7.7 runs over their last six games. As usual, these bats are much too underpriced for an offense with this type of upside.
Players to ConsiderMatt Chapman ($4,300)
Marcus Semien ($4,000)
Josh Phegley ($3,900)
Chad Pinder ($3,800)
Stephen Piscotty ($3,700)
3. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
The Cardinals are projected for just about five and a half runs at home, entering a spectacular home matchup. St. Louis averages 5.4 runs per game at home this season, and will face Mike Foltynewicz ($7,800) and the Braves. Folty’s have an abysmal season, with a 6.91 ERA (jumps to 7.50 on the road/9.18 in night games), and 10 dingers allowed in 27 1/3 innings.
Folty’s worst start of the year came against the Cardinals, who smashed three homers, en route to eight runs in 4 2/3 innings — finishing the game with 14 runs. The Braves bullpen ranks 20th, and the team’s allowed nine or more runs in four of Folty’s five starts this season. Stack up both sides of the plate, in what looks to be a terrific spot for the Cards.
Players to ConsiderMarcell Ozuna ($4,800)
Paul DeJong ($4,700)
Matt Carpenter ($4,200)
Paul Goldschmidt ($4,100)
Kolten Wong ($3,800)
Yadier Molina ($3,700)
4. MIAMI MARLINS
Don’t look now, but the worst offense in baseball (2.85 runs per game) is heating up! The Marlins have won six straight games (yes, against the Mets and Tigers), scoring five or more runs in four outings. The Nationals just got swept by the Mets, and have some of the worst pitching in baseball.
Kyle McGowin ($7,000) will get the start for Washington, who’s pitched just 10 2/3 innings in his career, giving up eight total runs. Behind McGowin is where things get going even more for the Miami offense. The Nats bullpen has been an absolute dumpster fire, ranking last in the majors by a wide margin with a 7.02 ERA, seemingly blowing game after game. This could be a spot to get some really cheap bats in a very high upside matchup.
Players to ConsiderNeil Walker ($3,700)
Curtis Granderson ($3,500)
Brian Anderson ($3,500)
Jorge Alfaro ($3,400)
Garrett Cooper ($3,200)
Starlin Castro ($2,700)
5. NEW YORK METS
Here’s another ugly offense that could go overlooked, but is in a promising spot. The Mets will host the Tigers, who are sending Gregory Soto ($6,300) to the mound. While New York did have the good fortune of facing the Nationals in their last series, they did sweep the four games, scoring five or more runs in each game. The bats have proven capable in extremely favorable matchups, and that’s what the Tigers are.
Soto has a gross 10.80 ERA this season in three starts, and he has lasted just 10 innings total. Who knows why this guy is a starter, but Detroit’s 28th-ranked bullpen doesn’t offer much to back Soto up, with a 5.59 ERA. The Tigers have lost all three games Soto’s pitched in, allowing 18 total runs. The Marlins are cheaper, but the Mets are just behind them in terms of value, particularly with RHBs.
Players to ConsiderPete Alonso ($5,300)
J.D. Davis ($4,200)
Amed Rosario ($3,900)
Wilson Ramos ($3,900)
Todd Frazier ($3,600)
Carlos Gomez ($3,500)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.