Tuesday baseball is giving us a real treat, with a fully loaded 15-game main slate, and a wide array of pitching options. There will be some tough decisions to make tonight, and that is what I am here to help with!
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Here are five different pitchers fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings:
EDITOR’S NOTE: Tonight’s game between and White Sox and Orioles has been postponed.
1. Trevor Bauer, $10,900, CLE at MIAWhile some decisions may not be easy on Tuesday, whether or not to use Bauer will not be one of them. The stud right-hander has allowed one run or fewer in four of his six starts, and will bring a sterling 1.99 ERA and 28.3% strikeout rate into Miami to face the Marlins. If his current production wasn’t good enough, Bauer will also receive a major park upgrade in this road matchup. Marlins Park ranked 29th out of 30 teams in 2018 for park factor in runs scored.
The Marlins are also one of the best matchups in baseball for right-handed pitchers. They have just a 70 wRC+ so far this year against righties, 27th in the MLB. Miami strikes out the most in the entire league, 27.5% of the time against right-handed pitching. This is reflected in both the Marlins’ implied run total (2.9, lowest on the slate), and Bauer’s price, though I think a good argument could be made that he should be over $11,000. Bauer has the best range of outcomes on the slate, and I’m not sure that it is close.
2. Julio Teheran, $8,000, ATL vs. SDIf we want to go a little lower down the salary scale, Teheran makes for the best option. His 5.40 ERA is not terribly inspiring, but Teheran has still allowed three or less runs in four of his six starts. More importantly, he is setting a career best in strikeout rate, currently sitting at 25.4%. Teheran has struck out at least six batters in every start except one.
The Padres have added some firepower to the lineup since last year, but have still not fared terribly well against right-handed pitching. They are tied for 25th in wRC+ against righties at 76, and have struck out 27.1% of the time, third most in baseball. San Diego is a mostly right-handed lineup, and the lefties, guys like Greg Garcia ($3,600) and Eric Hosmer ($4,100), do not boast a lot of power. Just two batters in the Padres’ lineup have an ISO over .180 against right-handed fastballs, which Teheran throws over 40% of the time.
There is some risk here given the runs Teheran has allowed, but his peripherals look better than the production, and the increased strikeouts give him a good bit of upside at the price.
3. Walker Buehler, $9,900, LAD at SFBuehler was a disaster in his first start of the year, allowing five earned runs in just three innings, but he has settled down nicely with just a 3.86 ERA since then. He has still not thrown 100 pitches in an outing, so longevity in this contest could be an issue, but Buehler’s pitch count has increased in each of his starts. If the Dodgers continue to lengthen the leash, we could see his first seven-inning start of the year.
The matchup here is pristine against a Giants team that has improved, but is still fairly terrible offensively. They are tied with the aforementioned Marlins in wRC+, and strike out 22.8% of the time. San Francisco also has a collective ISO under .150 when facing right-handed pitching.
The Giants are bottom five in pitches per plate appearance against righties, which should help Buehler go a little deeper into the game. Their .275 collective wOBA against right-handed pitchers is better than only the Marlins. Things set up well here for the young Dodgers’ righty.
4. German Marquez, $9,700, COL at MILThe Brewers are not an ideal fantasy matchup, as they boast a ton of power against right-handed pitching (ISO of .206, top five in baseball). That said, there are two major things that make it appealing. The first is strikeout rate. Milwaukee strikes out a bunch, 26.5% of the time, top 5 against righties. The second is the health of Christian Yelich (back; $5,500), who missed Monday’s game, and may not suit up on Tuesday. Yelich is following up his MVP season with another monster campaign, and would have the platoon advantage against Marquez. His absence would greatly improve this situation.
Marquez himself has pitched very well this season. He has a 2.54 ERA and 23.6% strikeout rate. The Rockies’ righty has gone at least seven innings in three of his past five starts, including a complete game one-hitter, and has struck out at least seven batters in four of six starts.
How I’d recommend deploying Marquez ultimately comes down to Yelich. If the 2018 NL MVP misses the game, Marquez becomes cash game viable, but should be limited to GPPs only if he suits up.
5. Jhoulys Chacin, $6,200, MIL vs. COLMy favorite cheap GPP option on this slate comes on the other side of the last game against Marquez. Chacin has not been good this year. His ERA is 6.35 through six starts, and he has really struggled with the long ball, allowing seven homers. But if we dive deeper into the matchups, it is easy to see why. He has faced the Dodgers and Cardinals twice each, and both of those teams are in the top 3 of wRC+ against righties.
The Rockies are not nearly as good as those teams. They are tied with the Marlins and Giants in wRC+ against righties, and are nowhere near as scary away from Coors field. Chacin faced a similar team earlier this year in the Reds, and posted 20.4 DKFP. He is still good enough to record outs against bad teams. Miller Park is also middle of the pack in park factor for runs scored, while Great American Ball Park is inside the top 5.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is amicsta) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.