MLB-Value-Targets

After last night’s small slate, we are back with a full 15-game slate. Something I am keeping a close eye for tonight is the wind. Windy conditions in Kansas City and Chicago figure to be a big boost for offenses.

PITCHER

Stud

Blake Snell, TB at DET, $11,000 — Snell looks back to form after breaking his toe coming out of the shower last month. He’s allowed two earned runs or less in five straight starts and averaged 25.25 DKFP across these starts. The Tigers are the lowest scoring offense in the American League and have the league’s sixth-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers.

Other Options — Stephen Strasburg ($11,500), Noah Syndergaard ($9,600)

Value

Jerad Eickhoff, PHI at SDP, $7,100 — I don’t think many people will want to go back to well with a Phillies’ starter against the Padres after Aaron Nola got blasted as the chalk last night. Even if Nola has a better track record, his numbers this season aren’t much different from Eickhoff’s. If you liked Nola last night, then there is a reason to like Eickhoff. The Padres have an 86 wRC+ against righties and an MLB high 27.1% K rate. Eickhoff is a decent strikeout pitcher and whiffs 8.01 hitters per nine innings.

Other Options — Max Fried ($7,800), Chase Anderson ($7,200)


CATCHER

Stud

Gary Sanchez, NYY at TOR, $5,400 — Through 40 games, Sanchez has already matched his home run total from last season. He has clearly established himself as the best hitting catcher in baseball and he’s hitting the ball well at the moment. Sanchez has at least 11 DKFP in four of his last five games and Clayton Richard ($5,800) is due for regression. He has a 3.38 ERA, but a 6.14 FIP and is walking more batters than he is striking out.

Other Options — Yasmani Grandal ($5,200), Willson Contreras ($4,500)

Value

Pedro Severino, BAL at TEX, $3,800 — He’s not the sexiest name and rostering Orioles’ hitters usually isn’t a great strategy, but Severino is crushing lefties. He has a 175 wRC+ against southpaws and is playing in Texas, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.

Other Options — Robinson Chirinos ($3,900), Mike Zunino ($3,600)


FIRST BASE

Cody Bellinger, LAD at ARI, $5,800 — Until the wheels come off, which might not ever happen, Bellinger will be in my player pool. His 207 wRC+ would be one of the best seasons in MLB history if he can keep the pace and he’s riding a 10-game hitting streak. The Dodgers’ offense is loaded and pitchers don’t have the option to pitch around anybody. He should be well rested after getting last night off for rest.

Other Options — Trey Mancini ($5,000), Pete Alonso ($5,000)

Value

Edwin Encarnacion, SEA vs. HOU, $4,100 — Things have gone south for Seattle after a hot start to the season. The team has already started to ship off veterans, starting with the trade of Jay Bruce to the Phillies. Encarnacion could be the next man traded, but in the meantime, his play is going to help his trade value. He has 16 homers on the season, including three in his last three games.

Other Options — Yandy Diaz ($4,400), Matt Adams ($4,300)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. MIA, $5,300 — As of this afternoon, it is unclear if Moose will end starting or not. He got hit by a pitch on Saturday and was held out of the lineup on Sunday. The good news is X-rays came back negative and the injury is just a bruise. I don’t think the injury should affect his production, but it could drive down his ownership in GPPs. Prior to the injury, Moustakas was hot and averaged 21 DKFP in his previous three games.

Other Options — Max Muncy ($5,300), DJ LeMahieu ($4,600)

Value

Ozzie Albies, ATL at PIT, $4,100 — Albies is not having the start to the season expected from him. He signed a new extension and his overall numbers look pretty flat in 2019. Most of his struggles have come hitting from the left side of the plate. As a switch hitter, Albies is still finding success as a right-handed hitter with a 129 wRC+. Play him against left-handed starters and fade him against righties.

Other Options — Kevin Newman ($4,000), Hanser Alberto ($3,500)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Kris Bryant, CHC vs. COL, $5,200 — Whenever the wind is blowing out at Wrigley, homers are usually easy to come by. The Cubs are my favorite team to stack tonight and Bryant should be in the middle of the action. After a lackluster 2018 season plagued by a shoulder injury, Bryant has a 144 wRC+ and is back in his All-Star form.

Other Options — Anthony Rendon ($5,600), Alex Bregman ($5,100)

Value

Yandy Diaz, TB at DET, $4,400 —  Diaz missed a couple of weeks on the IL with a hand injury and returned to the Rays’ lineup on Sunday. He likely has some rust to shake off, making him a GPP-only play, however, this is a good time to buy low on him before his price goes back up. Diaz was priced in the high $4k range prior to the injury and is having a breakout season with a 122 wRC+. There is a reason to think he could improve since he’s been a bit unlucky with a .261 BABIP.

Other Options — Eugenio Suarez ($4,500), Asdrubal Cabrera ($4,000)


SHORTSTOP

Stud

Xander Bogaerts, BOS at KC, $5,400 — Just like the Cubs, the Red Sox are another team I am looking to stack because of favorable wind conditions. With all the big names on the Boston roster, Bogaerts has gone a bit under the radar, but he might be the most valuable player on the team right now. He’s homered in three of the last four games and has at least 11 DKFP in eight of his last 10 games.

Other Options — Trea Turner ($4,900)

Value

Javier Baez, CHC vs. COL, $4,600 — This is an unusually cheap price for Baez in a favorable matchup. Many thought his near MVP campaign last season was a fluke, but he hasn’t dropped off. In fact, his wRC+ has gone up to 135. Strikeouts will always be an issue with Baez although he makes up for it with some of the best power in the league from a middle infielder. He is on pace for another 30-plus homer season and is coming off a 25 DKFP game.

Other Options — Elvis Andrus ($4,500), Manny Machado ($3,800)


OUTFIELD

Stud

Christian Yelich, MIL, $5,900 — There are so many great high-end outfield options this season. All of them are capable of big games. At home, I can’t pass up Yelich who is averaging 26 DKFP in his last two games. As great as he is everywhere, his game goes to another level playing in Milwaukee. He’s hit 17 of his 22 homers at home, where he has a 282 wRC+.

Other Options — Mookie Betts ($5,000), J.D. Martinez ($5,000)

Value

Khris Davis, OAK at LAA, $3,600 — He’s a streaky hitter and cold coming back from a hip injury, but Davis is never available to roster for this cheap. One of the top power hitters in the MLB, he’s averaged 45 homers in his last three seasons and tends to homers in bunches. This is a great spot to buy low on Davis as the power stroke is going to return for him sooner rather than later.

Other Options — Domingo Santana ($4,200), Kyle Schwarber ($3,900)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.