Saturday night brings us a six-game slate, starting at 7:10 PM ET. Let’s get you set for this slate and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
StudRich Hill, LAD vs. ARI, $9,700 – I’m choosing Hill over Jameson Taillon ($12,000) because of the huge price difference. Taking Hill in a pitcher-friendly park for a $2,300 discount is enticing. While I think Taillon can produce a solid start, I don’t think his salary makes sense. Hill will take on a D-Backs team that isn’t strong against lefties. In fact, only one player, Paul Goldschmidt, posted a wOBA of at least .350 against them last year. Last season at Dodger Stadium, Hill had a .256 wOBA in 78 innings with a 10.7 K/9 and 31.7% hard-hit rate.
Other Options – Jameson Taillon ($12,000)
ValueClayton Richard, SD vs. SFG, $5,500 – Man, I can’t believe I talked myself into writing up Richard. I’m truly not high on any one of the mid-tier pitching options tonight, thus I landed on Richard. While the sample is very small, the Giants currently lead the league with 250 plate appearances against lefties and have a .288 wOBA, 22.8% K% and 32.2% hard-hit rate. I’m not expecting Richard to breeze through his start, but I think it’s completely doable to return value on his low $5,500 salary.
Other Options – Taijuan Walker ($7,200)
StudYasmani Grandal, LAD vs. ARI, $3,600 – Grandal is part of a rare breed of catcher who excels in Dodger Stadium, especially against righties. He’ll face Walker tonight and sports a .353 wOBA and .265 ISO with 12 of his 22 home runs on the year vs. RHPs. Grandal’s $3,600 salary has him priced almost perfectly in my opinion.
Other Options – Buster Posey ($4,200)
ValueJonathan Lucroy, OAK vs. SEA, $2,900 – Lucroy is extremely cheap for tonight, making him a decent punt play at catcher. He’ll take on Marco Gonzales, who has struggled immensely against right-handed bats. Gonzales, who has pitched only 86 innings in the majors, sports a career .392 wOBA against righties with 12 of his 15 home runs allowed.
Other Options – Austin Hedges ($3,100)
StudPaul Goldschmidt, ARI vs. LAD, $4,800 – This is one of the trouble spots I’m expecting for Hill, so I’m more than OK with getting him on my roster. Goldy has historically hit lefties well, posting a .407 wOBA with a .280 ISO and 49.5% hard-hit rate against them last year.
Other Options – Ryan Braun ($4,600)
ValueLuis Valbuena, LAA vs. KC, $3,300 – Valbuena has been one of my favorite plays in the early going of the 2018 season. He’s only averaging 6.3 DKFP, but the Angels offense has been one of the best and he’s been very low owned. His power upside in the lower half of the lineup at a low $3,300 has been a great salary saver. He’ll face Jakob Junis, who in his first year in the majors posted a .334 wOBA against lefties.
Other Options – Adrian Gonzalez ($3,400)
StudJed Lowrie, OAK vs. SEA, $3,600 – I’m not paying up much at second base today; Lowrie is my top option here. He’s been an on-base machine, checking in at .365. Last year against righties, Lowrie posted a .353 wOBA with a .179 ISO. In a favorable matchup against Marco Gonzales, it’s worth keeping the salary low here.
Other Options – Josh Harrison ($4,100)
ValueAsdrubal Cabrera, NYM vs. MIL, $3,400 – Cabrera has been one of the best hitters for the Mets thus far and faces Chase Anderson, who looks to be regressing from his 2017 season; he’s allowed six runs and three home runs in his last two starts. Cabrera is simply too cheap for the production he’s been posting lately.
Other Options – Jonathan Villar ($3,000)
StudMatt Chapman, OAK vs. SEA, $4,100 – It’ll be Chapman at third base for me tonight and it’s not even close. I keep targeting against Gonzales and that seems to be the consensus, as the A’s run total continues to rise since this morning. Chapman is off to a hot start, and posted a .333 wOBA, .220 ISO and 36.5% hard-hit rate in his first year in the majors.
Other Options – Zack Cozart ($4,500)
ValueKyle Seager, SEA vs. OAK, $3,600 – On the other side of this game, Seager is another viable option. He’ll take on Kendall Graveman in Seattle. Seager has hit righties here, as evidenced by his .341 wOBA and .207 ISO with 10 of his 27 home runs. Seager’s power upside always makes him enticing at his cheap salary.
Other Options – Jefry Marte ($3,200)
ValueMarcus Semien – OAK vs. SEA – $3,200 – Semien has been batting leadoff for the A’s when they face lefties, so we should see that today. With the matchup advantage, he should be a rather popular option against Gonzales. Semien had a 41.1% hard-hit rate against lefties in 2017.
Other Options – Freddy Galvis ($3,300)
StudMike Trout, LAA vs. KC, $5,800 – With so many cheap options that are viable plays, paying up for Trout shouldn’t bring much of an issue. He’s already off to a fantastic start this season with five home runs and a .965 OPS. The park shift is also in his favor at Kauffman Stadium and facing Junis, who is a righty.
Other Options – Justin Upton ($4,600), Khris Davis ($4,400)
ValueStephen Piscotty, OAK vs. SEA, ($3,200) – It’s been a slow start for Piscotty with the A’s, but I’m hoping hitting against the lefty Gonzales will help him out today. Piscotty has historically been his strongest against lefties, with a career .370 wOBA and .195 ISO.
Other Options – Corey Dickerson ($3,800) Matt Kemp ($3,500)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.