Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: July 10 MLB Slate Breakdown

WATCH: How Gregory Polanco mashed his way up Monday’s fantasy leaderboard

Tuesday is my favorite day to play fantasy baseball as all 30 teams will be in action tonight. With this, roster construction will be unique across the board and I usually don’t worry much about ownership. Let’s jump right into the info for tonight and always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Top Pitcher

Masahiro Tanaka, NYY at BAL, $9,100 — Tanaka returns from the disabled list tonight, taking on the Orioles in his first start since June 8. Tanaka will face the Orioles for the third time this season in what can be classified as a rocky year for the Yankees’ starter. Through their first two meetings, Tanaka has pitched 11 2/3 innings, allowing seven runs on 14 hits with a dazzling 14:1 K:BB ratio. Despite the seven runs allowed, the strikeouts put Tanaka at a 17.6 DKFP average.

I’m cautious about taking Tanaka in this spot. His pitch count, if he has one, should be high, as he threw 70 pitches in his past start. Despite that, as I mentioned, Tanaka has been anything but a sure thing this season. His road numbers aren’t that impressive, as he owns a .307 wOBA with a 5.18 FIP through 43 1/3 innings. He also has allowed four home runs this season to the Orioles, which is concerning. If you’re feeling froggy, Tanaka in a GPP is an option, but he’s nowhere near cash-game status.

Highest Totals

ARI at COL, 11 runs — The Diamondbacks and Rockies are meeting once again at Coors Field, which is music to the ears of Paul Goldschmidt ($5,900). Last time these clubs met, Goldy scored 101 DKFP in three games, in what many credit for the resurgence of his season. Overall, the Rockies are the favorites here as they take on Patrick Corbin ($10,400), who is very expensive for a pitcher in Coors. This feels like a horrible spot to pay that much, as the Rockies at home have annihilated opposing left-handed pitchers. In fact, in these games, the Rockies own a .369 wOBA with a .196 ISO and a 101 wRC+. Opening with a 5.8 projection, expect Coors to be popular tonight.

NYY at BAL, 9.5 runs — Two other games opened with a 9.5 run projection, with the Yankees opening with the overall highest total of the four teams. At a 5.7 run projection (and climbing), the Yankees are expected to bring the offense against Orioles starter Andrew Cashner ($5,000). Oddly enough, Cashner hasn’t been his worst against this Yankees club in two starts, pitching 12 innings and allowing four runs on 11 hits with a 9:4 K:BB ratio. At home, Cashner owns a .339 wOBA with a 4.85 FIP and a 29 percent hard-hit rate allowed.

Weather Concerns

WAS at PIT (PNC Park) — This game could start off in a delay with some early showers, but once it clears out, it should be smooth sailing for the rest of the evening.

Park Factors

Coors Field, ARI at COL Coors Field is on this slate, so it’s our most favorable ballpark on the night. As always, all offensive categories are favored.

Fenway Park, TEX at BOS Fenway Park is our second-most favored ballpark tonight as the Red Sox continue their series against the Rangers. All offensive categories except home runs are favored here.

Citi Field, PHI at NYM The Phillies travel to tonight’s worst offensive ballpark, Citi Field. As you’d expect, no offensive categories are favored here.

Marlins Park, MIL at MIA The Brewers continue their series in Miami, our second-worst offensive ballpark for hitters. As you’d expect, no offensive categories are favored.

Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left-Handed Batters

Tyler Anderson.925.308Johnny Cueto.479.176
Sal Romano.898.303Rich Hill.529.174
Andrew Cashner.845.262Justin Verlander.555.167

Pitchers vs. Right-Handed Batters

Eric Lauer.904.327Miles Mikolas.443.168
Rich Hill.900.290Patrick Corbin.534.187
Andrew Cashner.854.299Justin Verlander.539.194

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

HitterOpposing SPABFP/AB*
Russell MartinJulio Teheran113.09
Adam JonesMasahiro Tanaka272.66
DJ LeMahieuPatrick Corbin402.55

*(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)

Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Trevor Bauer, CLE vs. CIN, $13,600 — Boy, you’ll be paying up for Bauer tonight. He checks in as the most expensive pitcher on this slate, overtaking Justin Verlander ($13,300) by $300. He’ll be pitching at home against Cincinnati tonight in interleague action. Bauer has scored at least 23 DKFP in each start dating back to May 16 — a span of 10 straight starts. He also has been fantastic at Progressive Field, as he sports a .262 wOBA with a 2.54 FIP at home. Oh, did I mention his K% on the season is at 31.3 percent? Phenomenal numbers from our boy Bauer.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

A.J. Pollock, ARI at COL, $5,400 — I think grabbing some exposure to this game is important, as they could go off on an offensive barrage. Pollock is one of my favorite targets here because of his strong numbers against lefties. Entering this game, Pollock sports a .436 wOBA against lefties with a .389 ISO and a 49% percent hard-hit rate. Tyler Anderson ($8,200) brings a .329 wOBA allowed to righties at home with a 4.42 FIP and six of his 15 home runs on the season.

Save Big by Drafting…

Logan Morrison, MIN vs. KC, $3,500 — You likely will need to save some salary tonight, so I’ll be looking toward Morrison to park one out at his low salary. His matchup gives him a good shot, as he’s facing Royals RHP Ian Kennedy ($6,200). For all you batter-vs.-pitcher stat haters, Morrison is 7-for-17 lifetime against Kennedy with five extra-base hits — two of them being home runs. On the year, Kennedy also sports a .337 wOBA against lefties with six of his 17 home runs allowed and a 4.10 FIP.

Stack Em Up

BOS vs. TEX (Yovani Gallardo) — With so much focus on other games tonight, I expect you won’t hear much about the Red Sox at home against Gallardo. Believe me, nothing is wrong with stacking Coors or the Yankees against Cashner, but I’m looking to get the Sox at potential lower-than-usual ownership. Gallardo is averaging a putrid 4.7 DKFP through seven games this season and as a starter, he owns a .330 wOBA with a 4.91 FIP. It’s going to be tough to jam those Sox batters in your lineup, but it should be worth it if you can make it work.

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