This afternoon will feature a short four game slate. Let’s get you ready for this one and as always, you can find me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG vs. CHC – $10,200 – No one on this slate exactly blows you away with their matchup this afternoon. Bumgarner essentially becomes the shoo in stud for this afternoon. I’m not crazy about his matchup, but his price tag is certainly friendly. At $10,200, Bumgarner takes on a Cubs team that owns a .348 wOBA against lefties with a .356 OBP a .454 SLG and a 19.7 K%. Not exactly a ringing endorsement for MadBum with those numbers. On the other hand, he has faced these Cubs once already and had a solid game against them. In that start, MadBum pitched 7.2 innings allowing no runs on three hits with a 6:2 K:BB ratio. On a slate like this, it’s hard to be picky, but I can’t say I fully feel confident about Bumgarner here.
Marco Estrada – TOR vs. TBR – $8,600 – Estrada has one of the better matchups on this slate as he takes on the Rays at Tropicana Field. He’s faced this team once already, pitching just five innings and allowing three runs (two earned) on seven hits with a 6:4 K:BB ratio. The Rays have been hitting better as of late, coming off the month of August with an overall .332 wOBA, which ranked seventh in the league. Estrada has been a bit shaky since the All-Star break, but once again the options in this slate are extremely limited.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs. TBR – $5,400 – Donaldson is the highest priced hitter in this slate, and rightfully so. He’s 100% locked in at the plate with some impressive numbers over his last 10 games. During that stretch, Donaldson is 15-38 with a double, six home runs, 11 RBI and 12 runs scored. He faces Blake Snell today, who seems to be hitting a rough patch as he’s allowed seven runs in his past two starts in just 6.2 innings.
Joey Votto (1B) – CIN vs. STL – $4,700 – First and foremost, make sure Votto is in the lineup, as he has been suffering from a stiff neck. If he is playing today, I love his matchup against Jaime Garcia at home. Garcia has been awful on the road against lefties, owning a .425 wOBA with a .574 SLG.
Jedd Gyorko (2B/3B) – STL vs. CIN – $4,500 – I’m a fan of Gyorko today because of the possibility of him hitting a bomb off of Dan Straily. With 14 of his 24 home runs coming against a right-handed pitcher on the road, Gyorko has the benefit of this game being at the Great American Ballpark. Straily has allowed 15 home runs to righties with seven of those at home.
Ian Desmond (OF)- TEX vs HOU – $4,300 – This price tag feels awfully low for someone who is averaging 9.8 FPPG at home in 65 games. Desmond comes into this game owning a .365 wOBA at home against righties with a .479 SLG. He faces Joe Musgrove, who has been wildly inconsistent in his six starts and is allowing a .411 wOBA against righties on the road.
Evan Gattis (CATCH) – HOU vs. TEX – $5,000 – Gattis is on a hot streak right now, which is always a reason to grab him. In his last 10 games, Gattis 9-31 with two doubles, three home runs, eight RBIs and six walks. He faces Derek Holland, who has allowed nine of his 10 home runs to right-handed batters.
Anthony Rizzo (1B) – CHC vs. SFG – $4,000 – Bumgarner has been his “worst” against opposing lefties on the road. When I say “worst” I mean he has a .318 wOBA with a .439 SLG with just two home runs. But to be fair, grabbing Rizzo at this price is certainly a value play. He hasn’t had much success against Bumgarner in the past, but on a short slate I’m willing to take Rizzo at home.
Ben Zobrist (2B) – CHC vs. SFG – $3,700 – Some of you may roll your eyes at this, but I think it’s noteworthy to point out what Zobrist has done to Bumgarner over his career. Zobrist is 6-9 with a double and triple, and plus he owns a .323 wOBA against lefties at home.
Buster Posey (CATCH) – SFG vs. CHC – $3,600 The Giants are all priced extremely low in their matchup against Jake Arrieta. Arrieta been shaky as of late and the park shift does help the Giants a bit here. Arrieta has allowed seven home runs since the All-Star break after allowing 12 in the entire first half. Posey is strictly a boom-or-bust type play here with his .343 wOBA on the road against righties.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.