We’ve got four games on the slate this afternoon. Here are your top guys to target. Hit me up on Twitter with comments or questions: @julianedlow.
Zack Godley – ARI vs. PIT – $8,700 – Yeah, it’s that kind of slate. No true stud pitcher to choose from, but don’t sleep on Godley. The Pirates have one of the worst offenses in baseball, and Godley has been climbing the ranks quickly. In his five starts this season he has three games with 22 or more DKFP, which has caused his salary to jump nearly $4,000.
Other Options – Dan Straily $9,000
Tim Adleman – CIN vs. TOR – $6,000 – The value pitching is even worse on this slate. The only reason I can recommend Adleman is that he’s coming off a career start — 27.6 DKFP @ PHI. I have no interest in starting him in Toronto, nor do I like much else for value. The more I think about it, the more I’d rather go with a complete unknown like David Paulino for $4,000 against the Twins. There just isn’t a safe, cheap option on this slate.
Other Options – David Paulino $4,000
Evan Gattis – HOU vs. MIN – $3,600 – Gattis should be hitting in the heart of the Astros’ order in an opposite hand matchup against LHP Hector Santiago. Although he’s been cold lately (one double-digit DKFP game in his last 10/no homers), this should be the perfect bounce-back spot for the power hitting catcher. This position can turn into a value position with day games, so watch out for resting studs.
Other Options – Russell Martin $3,600
Tucker Barnhart – CIN vs. TOR – $2,500 – The switch-hitting catcher is as cheap as they come, in a juicy matchup against RHP Mike Bolsinger (5.75 ERA). Even if Bolsinger gets knocked out early, which is a realistic option, Barnhart’s ability to hit from both sides keeps him in a good position when the Jays go to the pen. Hitting .270 on the season coming into a hitter friendly park, I like the spot Barnhart’s in this afternoon.
Other Options – Luke Maile $2,400
UPDATE: Joe Mauer is NOT in the Twins lineup against the Astros.
Joe Mauer – MIN vs. HOU – $4,300 – Mauer’s been playing well lately, averaging 10.6 DKFP over his past 10 games. Now he’s in a perfect position, at home in an opposite hand matchup against Paulino, who’s making his MLB debut. There are other good 1B options, but Mauer certainly sticks out for obvious reasons.
Other Options – Joey Votto $4,500, Kendrys Morales $4,500
Yuri Gurriel – HOU vs. MIN – $3,400 – There are likely only going to be two or three first base options under $4k, but Gurriel is in the best offense by far. He’s in an opposite hand matchup against Santiago (as most of Houston’s RHB heavy lineup will be), and he saves you a ton of salary at a position most will likely spend up at. On a small slate, going value at 1B could really differentiate your lineup.
Other Options – John Jaso $3,100
Jose Altuve – HOU vs. MIN – $5,500 – Altuve is costly, but with such cheap pitching you can probably find a way to afford him. Altuve comes into this game red-hot, having scored 18 or more DKFP in three of his last four games, totaling 10 hits in those three contests. He also has a good history against Santiago — 7-for-23 with a double and three walks.
Other Options – Dee Gordon $4,400
Scooter Gennett – CIN vs. TOR – $3,600 – Gennett’s fantasy points don’t pop when you look at his recent output, but a lot of those games he’s just taken a single at-bat. He’s still hitting .305 on the season with three homers and 18 RBI. Gennett should be in the lineup to go against Bolsinger, who he’s 4-for-8 against in his career with two walks.
Other Options – Cesar Hernandez $3,800
Jake Lamb – ARI vs. PIT – $5,100 – Lamb has cooled off since his absurd hot streak, but he is still in a terrific matchup today. It seems like almost the perfect storm. RHP Chad Kuhl (6.29 ERA) gets hit for a .340 average by LHB and has allowed all five of his homers to LHB this season. Meanwhile, Lamb hits .326 against RHP and has hit 12 of his 14 bombs off them.
Other Options – Josh Donaldson $4,800
Derek Dietrich – MIA vs. PHI – $3,300 – RHP Aaron Nola hasn’t had quite had the breakout season we were looking for. He’s pitched well against the Marlins in the past, but Dietrich presents a nice value in the middle of Miami’s order in an opposite hand matchup. He’s far cheaper than the rest of the Marlins’ bats, so it’s a good way to get some exposure to this game without burning too much salary.
Other Options – David Freese $3,500
Carlos Correa – HOU vs. MIN – $5,400 – Correa should be one of the best plays on this slate, as he has everything going for him. He’s averaging 10.3 DKFP over his last 10 games, showing a high ceiling when in favorable matchups. He should have another one today against Santiago, who he’s crushed in his young career — 4-for-12 with three homers and two walks.
Other Options – Chris Owings $4,600
Jorge Polanco – MIN vs. HOU – $3,500 – I’m going with Polanco for my value just because of the matchup against a pitcher who hasn’t been here. Maybe the Twins give him a warm welcome and crush him for a bunch of runs, which leaves the switch-hitter in the middle of the order in a spot where it’s tough not to produce. If you need to save more cash, I do like Riddle just as much, though.
Other Options – JT Riddle $2,800
Jose Bautista – TOR vs. CIN – $5,200 – Joey Bats has woken up from whatever slump he was in to start the season. He’s averaging 12.7 DKFP over his last 10, homering in two of his last four. Bautista is my favorite outfield option, but there are plenty of other studs to choose from on this slate.
Other Options – Adam Duvall $5,300, George Springer $4,900, Giancarlo Stanton $4,800
David Peralta – ARI vs. PIT – $4,000 – Basically just copy and paste everything I wrote about Lamb here. Peralta isn’t the power hitter Lamb is, but he does hit .319 against RHP and has all four of his long balls against them. Kuhl’s numbers suggest this is the type of hitter he really struggles with.
Other Options – Gregor Blanco $3,300, Christian Yelich $4,000, Robbie Grossman $4,100
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.