We have eight games this afternoon to kick off the weekend. With a very productive Coors Field game mixed in, we’ll have to find some values in order to fit the big bats. I’ll go over some of my favorite targets for this slate to get you ready. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
John Lackey – CHC vs. MIA – $11,000 – Ok, I can get down with $11K for Lackey this afternoon. With all the crazy pricing with pitching lately, $11K works for me. The Marlins have been decent against right-handed pitching this season, owning a .317 wOBA with a .329 OBP and a .405 SLG. Lackey is coming off back to back disappointing starts against the Nationals and Cardinals, where he threw a combined 12 innings allowing five runs on 11 hits with a 13:5 K:BB ratio. Besides those two starts, Lackey has been great across the board and I think this is a good start to get back on track.
Drew Pomeranz – SDP vs. CIN – $9,400 – Pomeranz is quickly becoming one of my favorite pitchers to target. This kid can pitch and has some serious stuff in his arsenal. The left-handed pitcher will take on the Reds today at the Great American Ballpark looking to build off his solid start against the Nationals his last time out. While the ballpark may not favor him, being a lefty against the Reds certainly does, as they currently rank 14th in wOBA at .316 with a .313 OBP and a fairly high 22.2 K% against lefties. Pomeranz owns a 10.6 K/9 on the season that jumps slightly higher to 10.9 on the road. At just $9,400, Pomeranz will be popular for good reason.
Michael Pineda – NYY vs. MIN – $8,100 – Many of you may have put Pineda on your “never again” list after a horrific month of May. You know, the month where he had a 7.52 ERA in 26.1 innings? Yeah, that one. So it’s easy to miss that Pineda has turned things around this month. Pineda owns a 3.38 ERA this month with a K/9 10.8. He’s facing the Twins for the second time in a row. In the first start, he had a decent outing against them at Target Field throwing 5.1 innings allowing three runs on six hits with 9 K’s. I’m fairly certain he will be at low ownership, and could grab a decent score.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) – ARZ vs. COL – $5,600 – Goldy has to be the top option this afternoon playing in Coors Field against a left-handed pitcher. This isn’t just any lefty, this is Jorge De La Rosa he’s facing. On the season, Goldy owns a .479 wOBA against lefties with a .615 SLG and a 1.150 OPS. With De Le Rosa continuing to struggle, with his .415 wOBA against righties, Goldy should be a top target even with his inflated Coors Field pricing.
Wil Myers (1B)- SDP vs CIN – $5,500 – Myers continues to destroy the ball this season and has a prime matchup today. Myers is averaging 13.1 FPPG over his last 10 games, cracking three home runs in that span. He faces off against lefty Brandon Finnegan today, who has allowed 10 of his 11 home runs to right-handed batters. Myers owns a .397 wOBA against lefties with a .573 SLG. He’s expensive, but could be a nice alternative to Goldy, who should be highly owned today.
Matt Kemp (OF) – SDP vs. CIN – $4,900 – Kemp and Myers would be a nice little stack today, as both players are killing left-handed pitching. On the season, Kemp owns a .450 wOBA with a .740 SLG with eight of his 16 home runs coming against lefties. Kemp is averaging 9.3 FPPG over his last 10, hitting .350 in that span.
Logan Forsythe (2B) – TBR vs. BAL – $4,500 – Logan is always a great option to grab at second base, as he can do it all for you. He hits well, has some decent power and even steals a base now and then. Today he takes on Kevin Gausman, who is allowing a .379 wOBA against righties with a .535 SLG. With Forsythe hitting in the heart of the Rays order, this is a great spot for him at just $4,500.
Justin Upton (OF) – NYM vs. MIL – $4,200 – Welcome to the 2016 season Justin Upton, we’re happy you could join us. After an extremely sluggish start to the season, Upton is averaging 11.7 FPPG over his last 10 games where he’s batting .282 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and two stolen bases. He takes on Carlos Carrasco today, which should keep his ownership suppressed. However, Carrasco actually owns a .338 wOBA against righties on the road this season with three of his nine home runs allowed in this situation.
Charlie Blackmon (OF) – COL vs. ARZ – $5,600 – Believe me, I like Blackmon more than this placement on this list indicates; it’s just that price tag is so high. He faces off against Shelby Miller today, which is a dream matchup for him. Miller is allowing a .404 wOBA to lefties this season with a .523 SLG. Blackmon owns a .363 wOBA against righties at Coors with a .506 SLG. Batting leadoff is the icing on the cake for Blackmon here.
Giancarlo Stanton (OF) – MIA vs. CHC – $3,300 – It’s been awhile since I’ve talked about Stanton in any of my article, and for good reason. However, if the hints are true, Stanton seems like he’s about to start tearing the cover off the ball again. Over his last 10 games, Stanton is hitting .314 with a .514 SLG and two home runs. At just $3,300, Stanton is a steal if he is indeed starting to heat up. John Lackey isn’t exactly the easiest pitcher to go up against, but Stanton is slowly climbing out of his slump.
Nick Ahmed (SS) – ARZ vs. COL – $3,200 I already know how this is going to go down. You’ll look at Ahmed has done this season, then you’ll come back to this article and X it out, never to return. But believe me, it’s not a bad matchup for him. Ahmed, for as bad as he’s been, owns a .296 wOBA against lefties this season with a .403 SLG. I realize that still isn’t anything great, but getting a player who hits lefties MUCH better than he does righties at Coors for $3,200 at a position like shortstop isn’t THAT bad. If you’re talking some Coors players, you might have to punt a position somewhere, so what’s wrong with Ahmed? I’ll wait for your answer.
Scooter Gennett (2B) – MIL vs. WAS – $2,700 – Gennett is severely underpriced in my opinion, which is great news for us. On the season, Gennett is batting .270 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and averaging 7.2 FPPG. At $2,700, that feels like a steal. He faces off against Gio Gonzalez today, who is certainly tough on lefties, owning a .247 wOBA against them. But, Gennett has been cruising against lefties at home this season. Gennett comes into this matchup with a .569 wOBA against lefties at home with a .933 SLG. Again, if you need to punt a position, this could be another sneaky play on the day.
Stephen Drew (2B/3B) – WAS vs. MIL – $3,200 – I’m not a big fan of Drew at all, but when someone has a good matchup on tap, I have to give the love. Drew is averaging 10 FPPG over his last 10 games, cracking four home runs while batting .478 with a 1.087 SLG. He faces Matt Garza, who is recently off the disabled list. Garaza has looked decent in his return, but this is also the pitcher who allowed a .373 wOBA to lefties last season with 11 home runs. No one is talking about Drew, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him under 5% owned today.