We have four games being played this afternoon to kick off your Wednesday. In this article, I’ll be going over some of my favorite targets on this slate. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Cole Hamels – TEX vs. CLE – $10,400 – Hamels is coming off his worst start of the season against the Pirates, where he lasted only 4.2 innings allowing five runs on eight hits with a 5:2 K:BB ratio. I’ll give Hamels a pass on that one, as the Pirates simply crush left-handed pitching. Today against the Indians, he has a much softer matchup and a great bounce back opportunity. Hamels has been MUCH more effective on the road than he has at home, averaging 26.9 FPPG on the road compared to the 14.5 FPPG in Texas. With the Indians just shy of being in the top 10 in K% against lefties at 21.5 and a low .307 wOBA and .390 SLG, Hamels should be a fine play in all formats this afternoon.
Jacob deGrom – NYM vs. CHW – $9,900 – It’s starting to look like deGrom is getting back into a groove after his 23.6-point performance against the Dodgers his last time out. In that start, deGrom went seven innings allowing one run on three hits with a 7:3 K:BB ratio. Going up against a White Sox team that does not possess a lot of power, deGrom should once again be a solid play here tonight, as he’s been performing much better at Citi Field than he has on the road, averaging 21.1 FPPG with a 9.3 K/9.
Pat Dean – MIN vs. OAK – $7,500 – Pitching in a park like the Oakland Coliseum certainly won’t hurt your chances of pulling out another great performance. Dean has made four starts this season, including two against the Orioles and the Blue Jays and sports a 3.43 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.5. He faces off against the A’s today, who are really struggling offensively against lefties. On the season, the A’s own a .289 wOBA with a .393 SLG and a 21.1 K%. I think Dean has some sneaky potential here this afternoon and certainly won’t break the bank with his $7,500 price tag.
Matt Carpenter (3B) – STL vs MIL – $5,100 – Carpenter faces off against Zach Davies today, who isn’t making things easy on himself. Davies has been getting whacked around this season, allowing a .434 wOBA against lefties with four home runs allowed and a .614 SLG. Carpenter is in the midst of a hot streak, averaging nine fantasy points per game in his last ten games with seven of his last 11 hits going for extra bases. After a favorable matchup for the Cardinals last night, they have one again this afternoon against Davies.
Jonathan Villar (MIL) – MIL vs STL – $4,500 – What if I were to tell you that in his last 10 games, Villar scored double digits fantasy points in six of those 10 games? He doesn’t own a ton of power, but that makes it all the more impressive with how much he’s getting on base, owning a .412 OBP coming into today.
Matt Holliday (OF) – STL vs. MIL – $4,200 – I mentioned that Davies has been struggling this season and has been squeaking by with his starts. He’s pitching better against righties than he is lefties, but even still, a .323 wOBA against righties isn’t something he’s going to use to get a date or anything. Holliday has been doing all his work against righties, owning a .378 wOBA with a .545 SLG and eight of his nine home runs.
Ian Desmond (OF) – TEX vs CLE – $4,800 – Desmond has really turned his season around after a slow start out of the gate. He faces off against Trevor Bauer this afternoon, bringing his .329 wOBA and .444 SLG against righties with him. I like this matchup for Desmond because it plays right into the struggles Bauer is experiencing with righties at home, owning a .387 wOBA with a .423 SLG. With Desmond hitting very well as of late, I think this should be a fine spot for him.
“Hard to ignore the guy who already has 15 home runs on the season…”
Yoenis Cespedes (OF) – NYM vs CHW – $4,600 – Hard to ignore the guy who already has 15 home runs on the season, even if he’s hitting lefties much better than righties. Cespedes comes into this start owning a .358 wOBA against righties with a .556 SLG and an ISO of .304. Miguel Gonzalez, who has allowed four home runs in five starts, has been having most of his troubles against lefties thus far. Nonetheless, Cespedes is always a threat to go deep with 11 home runs off righties in 2016.
Mike Napoli (1B) – CLE vs TEX – $4,400 – When Napoli is on a hot streak and has an impending matchup against a left-handed pitcher coming up; he’s one to always consider. Napoli has hit four home runs over his past 10 games and faces Cole Hamels this afternoon, who has allowed 10 to righties. For as well as Hamels has pitched, he owns a .353 wOBA against righties this season with a .458 SLG. When Napoli is hitting well, he’s hard to leave on the board.
Khris Davis (OF) – OAK vs MIN – $2,900 $2,900 for a player that has 14 home runs and 35 RBIs seems a bit crazy, doesn’t it? On top of that, Davis is hitting lefties well this season, so he really feels like a value play here. Pat Dean has allowed a home run in his past three starts, so Davis is certainly capable of letting one fly. At home against lefties, Davis owns a .369 wOBA with a .630 SLG.
Matt Adams (1B) – STL vs MIL – $3,600 – If you haven’t figured it out yet, I really like the Cardinals this afternoon. Adams is another player that has quickly turned his season around, owning a .398 wOBA against righties with a .554 SLG and a .239 ISO. As I mentioned with Carpenter, Davies really struggles against lefties, owning a .434 wOBA with four home runs allowed. Adams is always a threat to go deep and has been hitting in the heart of the Cardinals lineup. For a cheap option at first base, he has a great chance to do some damage.
“If you want to see something really ugly, take a look at what Fielder has done this season”
Prince Fielder (1B) – TEX vs. CLE – $3,800 – If you want to see something really ugly, take a look at what Fielder has done this season. Yikes, not pretty. However, he’s looking like he’s starting to MAYBE turn things around as of late. Besides his goose egg yesterday, Fielder put up 28 fantasy points over his prior three games hitting his third home run in the process. If you’re looking for a GPP first baseman that will be low owned Fielder would most certainly be your guy. I just can’t guarantee it will go smoothly.