We have six games going this afternoon in the early slate of games. Weather might be an issue in a couple of them, so make sure to check that before setting your lineups. Let’s jump into who I like for tonight, and, as always, you get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Pitchers

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Studs

Tanner Roark- WAS vs. MIL – $10,500 – Roark continues to post up solid numbers for the Nationals, and he looks to do so again today against the Brewers. Averaging 17.8 FPPG, Roark has been his best at home this season, owning a 2.29 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP with an 8.6 K/9. Facing a Brewers team that has the highest K% in the league against right-handed pitching at 25.9% instantly puts Roark as one of the top targets on this slate. The rest of the numbers for the Brewers aren’t that great against righties either, as their .314 wOBA, .324 OBP and .402 SLG all rank near the middle of the league. In his prior start against the Brewers this season, Roark went seven innings allowing no runs on seven hits with a 7:1 K:BB ratio.

Jeremy Hellickson – PHI vs. ATL – $9,200 – I’m not a huge fan of Hellickson overall, but anyone going against the Braves deserves consideration (look at Zach Eflin last night). Hellickson has been just about what we’d expect for him on any given season, owning a 4.06 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and an overall K/9 of 8.1. This Braves team still ranks dead last in the league in wOBA against righties at .283 and SLG at .349. I don’t expect Hellickson to go out and dominate this game, but he certainly has the capability to do so, as when he posted a 34.8 score against the Reds earlier this season. At $9,200, he’s most certainly worth a shot.

Values

Kevin Gausman – BAL vs. LAD – $8,600 – Gausman had one of his best starts of the season two starts ago against a weak Rays lineup where he earned 32.9 fantasy points in a 7.2 inning effort allowing no runs on four hits with a 7:0 K:BB ratio. He followed that start up with an average game against Seattle, posting 16.7 points. I like this start against the Dodgers this afternoon because I compare this offense to the Rays. They’re a weak lineup that doesn’t strikeout as much, but they don’t really have any real threats 1-9. Their numbers against righties are average at best, owning a .308 wOBA with a .312 OBP and a .396 SLG. Playing in Dodger Stadium certainly doesn’t help the hitters cause, as it’s consistently ranked as one of the worst ballparks for hitter’s. Gausman is cheap enough to bring some value to this start that most certainly has more positives than negatives.


Batters

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Studs

Chris Davis (1B) – BAL vs. LAD – $5,000 – The ballpark is certainly not in his favor, as I just mentioned how Dodger Stadium is consistently ranked one of the worst for hitters; however, the matchup certainly is. Even with Bud Norris pitching extremely well as of late, he continues to struggle against lefties. On the season, Norris is allowing a .356 wOBA with a .445 SLG to lefties with four of his six home runs allowed. Davis owns a .403 wOBA on the road against righties with a .619 SLG this season.

Kris Bryant (3B/OF)- CHC vs CIN – $5,400 – It’s not possible for anyone to be hotter than Bryant is right now. Averaging a whopping 15.8 FPPG over his last 10 games, Bryant is 13-36 in that span with three doubles, six home runs and 13 RBIs. He faces Anthony DeSclafani today, who has been great against righties in his career thus far, but it’s hard to justify fading Bryant who is just seeing the ball so well right now.

Anthony Rizzo (1B) – CHC vs. CIN – $4,800 – On the other hand, DeSclafani does not perform well against lefties, which falls right into the wheelhouse of Rizzo. Coming into today, DeSclafani owns a career .347 wOBA against lefties with 17 of his career 22 home runs allowed. Rizzo has been beasting against righties this season, owning a .436 wOBA with a .624 SLG and 14 of his 20 home runs. With the Cubs owning a bunch of lefties in their lineup, this could also be a nice stack for this afternoon.

Bryce Harper (OF) – WAs vs. MIL – $5,300 – Harper is finally starting to see the ball well again; averaging 10.6 FPPG over his last ten games. During that span, Harper is 11-37 with two doubles, two home runs, five RBIs and nine walks. He faces Matt Garza, who has only pitched in four games this season, but historically has struggled against lefties. In 26 games last season, Garza owned a .373 wOBA against lefties with a .495 SLG and 11 of his 23 homeruns allowed.

Khris Davis (OF) – OAK vs. MIN – $4,600 – One would think that being away from Oakland would help Davis and his power numbers this season, but ironically, his home runs numbers are split 10-9 with the Oakland Coliseum grabbing the higher mark. Still, being away from it certainly helps his cause. He takes on Ervin Santana at Target Field today and has a good matchup on tap. Davis owns a .351 wOBA on the road against righties with eight of his 19 home runs this season. I think he’s perfectly priced for this game and should certainly deserve a look when building your lineups.

Adam Duvall (OF) – CIN vs. CHC – $5,100 – Duvall has been his best on the road against righties this season, so this matchup against Adam Warren at Wrigley Field feels like a no brainer. The obvious appeal with Duvall is his home run power, has he’s jacked 22 on the season, with nine of those coming off of a right-handed pitcher on the road this season. He’s a bit expensive in my opinion, as his average has been taking a bit of a nosedive as of late, so you’re essentially hoping for a big fly here. However, if anyone is capable of one today, it’s Duvall.

Values

Maikel Franco (3B) – PHI vs. ATL – $3,800 – Franco is essentially one of the only players I might give a look at from the Phillies. Franco is batting .258 on the season with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and averaging 12.4 FPPG over his last 10. He’s taking Tyrell Jenkins, who is making his first career start this afternoon. Jenkins has pitched some relief for the Braves this season, and in just under 10 innings, has already allowed two home runs. In a game that people will most certainly be looking at, Franco could be a nice sneaky play.

J.T. Realmuto (CATCH) – MIA vs. NYM – $3,600 This is most certainly not an ideal matchup for Realmuto, but he does have some potential here. Realmuto has been fantastic against righties this season, owning a .376 wOBA with a .481 SLG and a .392 OBP. That’s not too shabby for a catcher that is only going to run you for $3,600. Just also realize, deGrom owns a .292 wOBA against righties this season with a small .365 SLG. Will this pick work out? Hard to say, but at least we know Realmuto CAN make something happen here.

Jason Heyward (OF) – CHC vs. CIN – $3,300 – It’s hard to really rely on Heyward for anything at this point. Batting .233 on the season with just four home runs and 28 RBIs is not exactly what the Cubs envisioned when they signed him. But I’m inclined to go after DeSclafani’s weakness against lefties for this matchup. As I mentioned earlier, DeSclafani owns a .347 wOBA against lefties in his career so while Heyward hasn’t been impressive by any means; he certainly has some potential to produce in this spot.

Jose Reyes (SS) – NYM vs. MIA – $3,200 – It’s hard to tell what Reyes will bring to the table for the Mets this season. He played in his first game of the season yesterday batting leadoff. If he does indeed remain in that spot, he’s incredible value for the time being while his price is low. He faces Justin Nicolino today, who owns a .378 against righties this season (Reyes is a switch-hitter) Reyes is certainly worth the flier at the price he’s at right now.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.