Wednesday afternoon brings us a three-game slate of baseball. Let’s dive right into all the information for this slate, and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Sonny Gray – OAK vs. CWS – $9,000 – Gray will take on the White Sox for the second time this season today in Oakland. In his first outing against the White Sox, Gray pitched seven innings allowing two runs (one earned) on four hits with a 7:1 K:BB ratio. Gray has been pitching quite well as of late, allowing just a 27% hard hit rate over his last three starts while inducing 34 ground balls.
Other Options – Michael Pineda ($10,200)
Marco Estrada – TOR vs. NYY – $6,700 – The cheap pitching options on this slate are not very enticing. Estrada faces a stellar Yankees’ lineup in New York this afternoon, a club that tuned Estrada up for eight runs in 10.2 innings in two prior matchups this season. Estrada does have a decent 9:2 K:BB ratio against the Yankees, so if he can keep the damage low, Estrada does have the K potential. At his price, he’s a worth a look, but naturally, it’s hard to be confident in his matchup.
Other Options – Mike Pelfrey ($5,200)
Gary Sanchez – NYY vs. TOR – $4,600 – Even if you’re considering Estrada, Sanchez is most certainly the top option at catcher this afternoon. He posted some big numbers against the Blue Jays earlier this season, averaging 12.3 fantasy points in four games. Overall at home, Sanchez has put up his best offensive numbers, sporting a .406 wOBA with a .603 SLG and a .372 OBP.
Other Options Willson Contreras ($3,600)
Russell Martin – TOR vs. NYY – $2,800 – It’s hard to sugarcoat the season Martin has been having, it’s been vastly disappointing. With that being said, he still sits in a favorable spot in the batting order, usually 6th, and does provide some pop. For his $2,800 salary, he’s a worthy punt play at a weak catcher position this afternoon against Michael Pineda, who’s allowed 17 home runs on the year.
Other Options – Wilson Ramos ($3,200)
Anthony Rizzo – CHC vs. TB – $4,700 – When Blake Snell was brought back up the majors recently, the consensus was that he had fixed his mechanical issues and was ready to go. The Pirates proved otherwise, tagging Snell for six runs on four hits and five walks in five innings. Snell now faces the Cubs, and specifically Rizzo, who owns a .426 wOBA at home against lefties with a .676 SLG and a .400 OBP.
Other Options – Justin Smoak ($4,800)
Yonder Alonso – OAK vs. CWS – $3,900 – Alonso is fresh off a big fantasy game yesterday, hitting two home runs with three RBI. He faces off against Mike Pelfrey this afternoon, who is allowing a .337 wOBA against lefties with a .453 SLG and a .347 OBP. Even with an unfavorable ballpark like the Coliseum, Alonso has hit eight of his 19 home runs at home this year.
Other Options – Kendrys Morales ($3,400)
Ian Happ – CHC vs. TB – $3,900 – Happ hasn’t seen a ton of action against left-handed pitching, but he’s done well when he has. Happ heads into this afternoon with a .375 wOBA against them with a .568 SLG and a .333 OBP.
Other Options – Ben Zobrist ($3,500)
Jed Lowrie – OAK vs. CWS – $3,600 – Lowrie is someone I always find is under-owned despite putting up good offensive numbers. He’s not going to hit 30 home runs, but he gets on base and provides the occasional big fly. At home against righties, Lowrie is posting a .377 wOBA with a .529 SLG and a .366 OBP.
Other Options – Yolmer Sanchez ($3,100)
Kris Bryant – CHC vs. TB – $3,900 – For whatever reason, Bryant hasn’t been able to figure out left-handed pitching at Wrigley Field. You might be surprised that he owns just a .360 wOBA against lefties at home with a .419 SLG and a .405 OBP. All can be forgiven, however, with his $3,900 salary this afternoon. Once again, I’m putting all my eggs into the Blake Snell implosion basket this afternoon, but Bryant’s salary doesn’t hurt either.
Other Options – Todd Frazier ($4,200)
Evan Longoria – TB vs. CHC – $3,600 – Averaging 9.2 fantasy points over his last 10 games, Longoria has a great matchup this afternoon against John Lackey. In the month of June, Lackey allowed a whopping 11 home runs in 35.1 innings to go with a .353 wOBA and a .550 SLG. Right-handed bats continue to crush him at home to the tune of a .367 wOBA and a .529 SLG.
Other Options Matt Davidson ($3,200)
Didi Gregorius – NYY vs. TOR – $4,400 – Lefties have been a problem spot for Estrada, and he’ll face off against Gregorius this afternoon. On the road, lefties own a .322 wOBA against Estrada with a .494 SLG with five of his 15 home runs he’s allowed. Gregorius has hit nine of his 10 home runs against righties this year with four of them coming at home.
Other Options – Ronald Torreyes ($3,400)
Tim Beckham – TB vs. CHC – $3,100 – Beckham has struggled at the plate lately but he did have a good game last night, hitting his 11th home run of the season. At $3,100, it’s barely a dent in your salary cap for a SS that does have a decent amount of pop. On the road against righties, Beckham owns a .333 wOBA with a .451 SLG and a .327 OBP.
Other Options – Javier Baez ($3,200)
Khris Davis – OAK vs. CWS – $4,600 – When Davis starts going on one of his hot streaks, he’s an immediate lock in my lineup. Over his past 10 games, Davis is averaging 11.8 fantasy points with four home runs and nine RBI. He takes on Mike Pelfrey this afternoon, who is coming off his worst month of the season. Pelfrey came back down to Earth and owned a .359 wOBA in June with four home runs allowed.
Other Options – Jose Bautista ($4,000), Aaron Judge ($5,500)
Corey Dickerson – TB vs. CHC – ($3,900) – $3,900 feels awfully cheap for Dickerson this afternoon. John Lackey has been crushed by lefties this season, sporting an overall .373 wOBA against them and a .395 wOBA at home. They’ve accounted for 13 of his 24 home runs on the season and own a .561 SLG against him. $3,900 is such a small price to pay this afternoon.
Other Options – Matthew Joyce ($3,000) Mallex Smith ($3,200)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.