Thursday afternoon brings us a four-game slate of baseball. Let’s dive right into all the information for this slate, and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Jameson Taillon – PIT vs. MIl – $9,600 – Recommending a pitcher going against the Brewers is such a tough call. Their offense can post some huge numbers, but they strike out so much that it offers tremendous upside to opposing pitchers. Taillon will face the Brewers at home this afternoon where he sports a .335 wOBA with a .425 SLG and a K/9 of 7.1. Taillon is allowing a 43% hard hit rate in his last three starts but only allowed four runs in 16.1 innings during that span. Consider this your boom or bust play of this afternoon.
Other Options – Jimmy Nelson ($11,700)
Luis Castillo – CIN vs. ARI – $6,900 – I’m usually not in the business of recommending pitchers against the Diamondbacks, but Castillo has been impressive in his five starts. What makes his numbers all the more impressive is the fact that he’s faced the Nationals twice, the Brewers, the Rockies at Coors and the D-Backs. After all those starts, Castillo has a .338 wOBA with an 11.7 K/9. Most importantly for today, we can focus on his 32.6 fantasy point performance against the D-Backs already, where Castillo pitched 6.2 innings of shutout baseball allowing just three hits and a 8:1 K:BB ratio. He’s a solid cheap option against a D-Backs team that owns just a .302 wOBA on the road with a K% of 23.3.
Other Options – Seth Lugo ($6,500)
Russell Martin – TOR vs. BOS – $3,900 – You’re going to see quite a few Blue Jays featured in this article this afternoon, so be prepared. The Red Sox will be sending Doug Fister to the mound, who’s allowed 10 runs in his first three starts of the year. Martin has been hitting well lately, blasting three home runs over his last 10 games with four RBI and owns an overall .348 against righties on the year.
Sandy Leon – BOS vs. TOR – $2,900 – Leon hasn’t come close to the production he had in 2016, but he has hit fairly well against lefties. Facing off against Francisco Liriano this afternoon, Leon owns a .468 wOBA against lefties at Fenway with a .600 SLG and a .501 OBP. Leon could be a fairly sneaky play at the catcher position.
Other Options – Tucker Barnhart ($2,100)
Hanley Ramirez – BOS vs. TOR – $4,100 – Ramirez has been producing at the plate lately, averaging 7.5 fantasy points over his last 10 games with three home runs, four RBI and a double. He’s also been hitting lefties well at home again, bringing his numbers to a .351 wOBA with a .389 SLG and a .440 OBP. His SLG isn’t nearly as good as it was last season, but Ramirez seems locked in at the plate currently.
Other Options – Joey Votto ($5,300)
Luke Voit – STL vs. NYM – $2,200 – Since Kolten Wong returned from the disabled list, Voit has seen sporadic playing time despite his hot start. He draws the start this afternoon, and he’s way too cheap to leave on the board in my opinion. At just $2,200, Voit sports a .444 wOBA against righties through 35 at-bats with a .657 SLG and two of his three home runs.
Other Options – Kendrys Morales ($3,900)
Paul DeJong – STL vs. NYM – $3,700 – Dejong has been mashing the ball lately, averaging 10.8 fantasy points over his last 10 games with four home runs, six RBI and a whopping seven doubles! His $3,700 salary hardly makes you think about rostering him given the production he’s had as of late. Dejong owns a .350 wOBA against righties with a .561 SLG and eight of his 10 home runs.
Other Options – Jose Peraza ($2,900), Scooter Gennett ($4,500), Asdrubal Caberea ($4,100)
Josh Donaldson – TOR vs. BOS – $5,000 – Donaldson hasn’t been crushing the ball lately, but he’s been getting on base on a consistent basis. Always a threat to go deep, Donaldson sports a .330 wOBA against righties on the road with a .503 SLG and a .348 OBP. The Blue Jays are tabbed at five runs this afternoon, which would naturally want me to grab some exposure to the heart of this Jays lineup.
Other Options – Jake Lamb ($4,900)
T.J. Rivera – NYM vs. STL – $3,800 – Rivera is putting up some respectable numbers for the Mets this season and still hovers around the $4K range for salary. Against righties, Rivera sports a .338 wOBA with a .445 SLG and a .342 OBP. He takes on Lance Lynn, who’s allowed six of his 20 home runs to righties on the road this season.
Jose Reyes – NYM vs. STL – $3,500 – Reyes feels like a forgotten man in the Mets lineup, but he’s been hitting the ball quite well lately. Averaging 10.7 fantasy points over his last 10 games, Reyes has hit three of his nine home runs in that span with five RBIs and four doubles. He faces Lance Lynn, who has struggled against lefties and owns a .365 wOBA against them on the road.
Other Options – Jose Peraza ($2,900), Paul DeJong ($3,700)
Mookie Betts – BOS vs. TOR – $5,400 – Betts is the second most expensive hitter on this slate this afternoon, but I love his matchup against Francisco Liriano. At home, Betts has been crushing left-handed pitching to the tune of a .404 wOBA with a .599 SLG and a .405 OBP. On the road against righties, Liriano has an ugly .459 wOBA with a .677 SLG with seven of his 10 home runs allowed.
Other Options – Jose Bautista ($4,900), Michael Conforto ($4,500)
Domingo Santana – MIL vs. PIT ($3,800) – I’m certainly a fan of Taillon against the Brewers this afternoon, but Santana has seen quite the price drop as of late that it’s worth taking a peek. At $3,800 on the afternoon, Santana brings with him his .390 wOBA on the road against righties with a .500 SLG and a .408 OBP. Santana has hit four of his 16 home runs against righties on the road along with eight of his 20 doubles.
Other Options – Adam Frazier ($3,400) Dexter Fowler ($3,800)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.