We have six games going this afternoon followed by a short four game slate tonight. As always, I’ll get you set for this afternoon by showcasing some of my favorite targets. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Pitchers

MLB: New York Mets at Detroit Tigers

Studs

Noah Syndergaard – NYM vs. ARZ – $11,800 – Syndergaard gets the nod as my top target because he carries some fantastic strikeout potential in this game. Thor has an 11.4 K/9 at Citi Field this season to go with his 2.41 ERA, .264 wOBA and a .330 SLG. The Diamondbacks are certainly no stranger to the strikeout against righties, owning a 23.1 K%, which ranks fifth in the league. It’s also a bit surprising that the D-Backs only have a .311 wOBA against righties on the season, as that checks in 19th overall in the league. All in all, I think it’s safe to tab Syndergaard as the top option.

Values

Jameson Taillon – PIT vs. SDP – $8,600 – This slate of game for pitching get’s ugly, real quick. Taillon seems to be the “safest” of the rest, but even that is a bit of a stretch in my opinion. Taillon has been good in his nine starts this year; no reason to discredit that notion. However, I am a bit concerned about the Padres, as they have been hitting right-handed pitching better as of late, and Taillon isn’t exactly a pitcher to overpower a lineup. He owns a 7.4 K/9 on the season, which certainly has it’s upside against the Padres who own the third highest K% in the league against righties at 23.8%. He’s priced low enough that he’s very much worthy of a start, I’m just not confident that he’ll walk away with a score higher than the mid-teens.


Batters

MLB: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

Studs

Carlos Correa (SS) – HOU vs. MIN – $4,700 – Correa takes on Jose Berrios today, who I’ll admit, has looked slightly better since his second callup this season. However, until he strings together some quality starts, he’s someone to target against. Berrios is allowing a .490 wOBA to right-handed batters with a .761 SLG and six of his seven home runs. Correa has a .382 wOBA against righties on the road with a .534 SLG.

Jay Bruce (OF) – NYM vs. ARZ – $4,900 – Jay Bruce won’t be winning any batting titles with the Mets, but he’s hit two bombs since joining the team. He faces Brandon Shipley today, who is allowing a .421 wOBA to lefties with a .606 SLG. Bruce has 21 of his 27 home runs off of right-handed pitchers with a .368 wOBA and a .565 SLG.

Freddie Freeman (1B)- ATL vs MIL – $5,000 – Freeman will face Matt Garza on the road today, which gives the nod to Freeman in this matchup. On the road against right-handed pitching, Freeman owns a .404 wOBA with a .555 SLG with six home runs. Garza is allowing a .332 wOBA to righties in his short time back in the majors this season.

Pedro Alvarez (1B) – BAL vs. OAK – $4,700 – It’s hard to ignore a hitter that has six home runs in his last 10 games. That’s exactly what Alvarez has done, going 11-35 with a double, six home runs and eight RBIs to average 11.3 FPPG. He faces Andrew Triggs today, who’s making his second career starts and 20th appearance this season. In his relief outings, Triggs was allowing a .349 wOBA to lefties with a .421 SLG. The park doesn’t help Alvarez, but he’s on fire at this point and someone that at least deserves a look.

Nolan Arenado (3B) – COL vs. TEX – $5,000 – We have another high projected run total for this game, as it sits at 10.5. Lucas Harrell will make the start for Texas, and he brings his .346 wOBA against righties with him. Harrell has done a good job at keeping the ball in the park with just three home runs allowed, but you have to think that could quickly change pitching at Globe Life Park. Arenado owns a .338 wOBA on the road against righties with 10 home runs and a .482 SLG.

Jonathan Lucroy (CATCH) – TEX vs. COL – $4,600 – Lucroy has gotten off to a bit of a slow start with the Rangers, but he does have three home runs in his last 10 games. Chad Bettis is certainly no stranger to giving up some bombs, with eight of his 16 on the road against righties. Lucroy has a .370 wOBA against righties with a .504 SLG and 10 of his 17 home runs.

Values

Alex Dickerson (OF) – SDP vs. PIT – $3,400 – A perfect example of why I worry about the Padres hitting right-handed pitching better than before is a guy like Dickerson. Averaging 10.3 FPPG over his last ten games, Dickerson has a .409 wOBA on the road against righties with a .640 SLG. Taillon is allowing a .369 wOBA to lefties at home with a .556 SLG and three of his seven home runs.

George Springer (OF) – HOU vs. MIN – $3,900 – I like this price for Springer, who has been batting leadoff and has some great power. Facing Berrios today, Springer has 15 of his 22 home runs against righties with a .331 wOBA. If Berrios has troubles early, this game will be over quick with Springer being part of that.

Adrian Beltre (3B) – TEX vs. COL – $3,400 – This price is just way too cheap for Beltre. As I mentioned earlier, Bettis has allowed the majority of his home runs on the road, and this game is projected at 10.5 runs today. Beltre has a .330 wOBA at home against righties with six of his 17 home runs. He feels like a steal this afternoon.

James Loney (1B) – NYM vs. ARZ – $3,300 – When James Loney is at Citi Field taking on a right-handed pitcher, he’s been hitting extremely well. Loney owns a .373 wOBA in these situations with a .494 SLG with two of his six home runs. Brendan Shipley has been struggling against lefties, allowing a .437 wOBA on the road with two of his four home runs allowed. It’s a small sample size for Shipley, but for the cheap price of Loney, I think he’s worth a shot.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.