We have a very short three game slate going this afternoon to kick off your Wednesday. I’ll give you some of my favorite targets for this slate, and, as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Scott Kazmir – LAD vs. PHI – $7,600 – Kazmir has been decent at Dodger Stadium, owning a 4.21 ERA with a .332 wOBA and a good 10.1 K/9. The Phillies continue to own the worst wOBA against lefties at .282 with a .297 OBP, a .352 SLG and a 22.8 K%, ranked 9th in the league. Since the All-Star break, Kazmir has allowed at least three runs in all four of his starts, but he is also averaging just under nine swings and misses per game. On a slate like this, he has to be considered one of the favorites, which really says something about the pitching choices here.
David Phelps – MIA vs. SFG – $5,500 – Phelps was tasked with making his first start of the season last week against the Rockies at home. I mean, could you make it any harder for the guy? Surprisingly enough, Phelps pitched well, going 4.1 innings allowing no runs on four hits with a 4:1 K:BB ratio, as he was on a strict pitch count. I would imagine they will look to do with same with the pitch count today, but at $5,500, he does bring some value. Going up against a team that owns a .315 wOBA against righties certainly helps, but the Giants are also a fairly tough team to strikeout with an overall K% against righties at 17.3%. Since the All-Star break, that number has come up at bit to 19.9%, but even still, it’s nothing ideal for Phelps. I think he has the potential to return value today, with a score around 15 in the realm of possibilities.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD vs. PHI – $5,300 – Seager is the most expensive hitter on this slate, but these are the matchups where he shines. He faces Jeremy Hellickson, at home, where Seager has somehow hit 15 home runs. While at home against righties, Seager owns a .423 wOBA with a .624 SLG and a .389 OBP. Seager has hit 10 of his 21 home runs in these situations and faces a pitcher that has allowed 10 of his 20 home runs on the road.
Christian Yelich (OF) – MIA vs. SFG – $5,100 – Lefties on the road have been a killer for Jeff Samardzija this season, so naturally Christian Yelich is a good fit today. Samardzija owns a .383 wOBA against lefties on the road with nine of his 21 home runs allowed and a .575 SLG. Yelich has been great at home, especially against righties, owning a .338 wOBA with seven bombs and a .566 SLG. It also doesn’t hurt that Yelich is averaging 12.1 FPPG over his last 10 games.
Wilson Ramos (CATCH)- WAS vs CLE – $4,700 – Ramos continues to be one of my favorite every day targets at catcher. Looking at his overall numbers, it’s easy to see why. He faces off against Josh Tomlin, who allows a .338 wOBA to righties, but he is tough against them on the road. With that being said, Tomlin has allowed 26 home runs this season while Ramos has hit 10 of 18 at Nationals Park. With Ramos and his .406 wOBA at home against righties and a .533 SLG, he’s an easy pick for me.
Dee Gordon (2B) – MIA vs. SFG – $5,000 – Gordon is always a threat to steal a bag if he gets on base, and that’s exactly what he’s been doing since returning from his 80-game suspension. In 32 games this season, Gordon has swiped 11 bags with five of those coming in his last 10 games. Buster Posey behind the plate doesn’t exactly make it easy for Gordon, but on this slate, we don’t have much to choose from if you’re looking for that stolen base upside.
Trea Turner (2B/OF) – WAS vs. CLE – $4,400 – Turner has been making the most of his time up in the majors this season, hitting .303 in 22 games with two home runs and 12 RBIs. Turner has been batting leadoff and will face Tomlin. As I mentioned, Turner can be tough on righties on the road, but Turner is drawing a .342 wOBA at home against righties with a .538 SLG.
Derek Dietrich (2B) – MIA vs. SFG – $3,200 – Dietrich should see his name in the lineup today with Giancarlo Stanton likely getting a day off to rest his sore hip. Dietrich has been riding the bench mostly since the return of Dee Gordon, but he can still produce at the plate. Against righties at home, Dietrich sports a .329 wOBA with a .356 OBP.
Cesar Hernandez (2B) – PHI vs. LAD – $3,300 On a normal basis, if Hernandez isn’t stealing any bases, he’s not very fantasy friendly with his lack of power and upside. However, on a slate like today in GPPs, he can be useful as I expect he’ll be low-owned. Hernandez hits lefties well, owning a .348 wOBA with a .393 OBP on the road. He won’t grab you a 20-point game, but a couple of hits would certainly do the trick.
Jose Ramirez (3B/OF) – CLE vs. WAS – $3,500 Ramirez is a switch hitter that owns a .360 wOBA against lefties on the season. He faces Gio Gonzalez, who has really fallen off since the start of the season, allowing a .320 wOBA to righties with 13 of his 14 home runs allowed.
Carlos Santana (1B) – CLE vs. WAs – $3,500 – Extremely cheap price for a big power threat batting leadoff for the Indians. Santana has hit 24 home runs this season and three in his last 10 games. As I mentioned, Gonzalez has allowed all but one of his home runs to a right-handed hitter, and Santana should be batting righty in this matchup. On the road against lefties, Santana owns a .340 wOBA with a .423 SLG.
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