After two huge back-to-back slates, we have a total of eight games going today. This article is going to cover the four games that are taking place this afternoon. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Jake Arrieta – CHC vs MIL – $13,600 – With such a short slate today, Arrieta could honestly be 85-90% owned. Arrieta is coming off his no hitter in his last outing and takes on a strikeout happy Brewers team that is averaging 9.3 strikeouts per game. Arrieta enters today with a 0.87 ERA to go with a 0.68 WHIP and a 7.5 K/9. Only the brave players will be fading him today.
Tanner Roark – WAS vs. PHI – $7,800 – Roark easily falls into the value spot on this list today with his matchup against the Phillies. Roark has been posting some solid numbers in the early going this season, owning a 2.63 ERA to go with a 1.38 WHIP and a K/9 of 9. The Phillies currently rank near the bottom of the barrel in almost every offensive category and are 7th in strikeouts, averaging 8.8 per game. In such a small slate, Roark makes perfect sense here.
Carlos Gonzalez (OF) – COL vs. PIT – $5,100 – Another popular option on this slate will be the Coors Field game. The Pirates will send Juan Nicasio to the mound who in the early going is allowing a .379 wOBA to left-handed batters. What a perfect spot here for Gonzalez who owns a .414 wOBA against right-handed pitchers. If we take it even further, Gonzalez owns a .472 wOBA against righties at home with an ISO of .172
Miguel Cabrera (1B) – DET vs. OAK – $4,300 – Miguel Cabrera at this low of a price point is a crime, even if he’s gotten off to a slow start. He faces off against A’s pitcher Chris Bassit today, who’s allowing a .397 wOBA to right handed batters this season. Even with the struggles Cabrera has had thus far, Cabrera still owns a . 373 wOBA against righties. Cabrera is 5-8 in his last two games, so maybe this is a sign that he’s coming around.
Anthony Rizzo (1B)
CHC vs MIL $4,900 – If you’re a right-handed pitcher, aren’t you just miserable thinking about your upcoming start against the Cubs? They’ve been destroying right-handers, and Rizzo has been a huge part of that. With a .463 wOBA and an insane .453 ISO, Rizzo has been an absolute force for the Cubs against righties. He may not be hitting for average at this point, but the power is still going strong, and even while batting .205, Rizzo owns a .931 OPS with 22 RBIs.
Gregory Polanco (OF) – PIT vs. COL – $5,100 – Polanco seems a bit overpriced in this spot, even while playing at Coors Field. But the advantage for him here is his matchup against Tyler Chatwood, a RHP. Polanco has been crushing righties this season, owning a .429 wOBA with a .200 ISO. Chatwood has always had his issues against lefties, owning a .347 career wOBA. This could be a very short outing for both of these starting pitchers here this afternoon.
Ian Kinsler (2B) – DET vs. OAK – $4,400 – Kinsler is quietly putting together a solid season thus far for the Tigers, batting .342 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and an .893 OPS. He faces Chris Bassit today who has allowed a .397 wOBA in the early going to right-handed batters. Kinsler has subsequently been hitting righties well, owning a .341 wOBA against them. Second base is such a thin position that rostering Kinsler seems like a no brainer here.
Matt Joyce (OF) – PIT vs. COL – $2,600 – There is no guarantee that Joyce will even get a start today, but he’s been doing extremely well in the short amount of playing time he does get. Against RHP this season, Joyce owns a .458 wOBA with an ISO of .304. Granted, these numbers are a bit inflated because of his limited playing time, but his extremely low price makes him very valuable if he does indeed draw the start this afternoon.
Ben Paulsen (1B/OF) – COL vs PIT – $3,400 – Again, it’s not set in stone that Paulsen will even draw the start here today, but if he does he’s a perfect way to get some exposure to Coors on the cheap. It also doesn’t hurt that he’s eligible at 1B and the OF. Paulsen, in his limited playing time, owns a .756 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. In his career, it comes down to .367, but that’s nothing to sneeze at either. Keep an eye on the lineups to see if he sneaks his way in.
Victor Martinez (1B) – DET vs. OAK – $3,500 – Martinez is just extremely reliable (when he’s not injured) every single year. He’s batting a cool .295 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and an .889 OPS. A switch hitter, Martinez goes from either side of the plate here, as A’s RHP Bassit has been struggling against righties even more than lefties. Regardless, against righties, Martinez owns a .406 wOBA with an ISO of .304. That’s some solid production for someone who only costs $3,500.
Khris Davis (OF) – OAK vs DET – $3,100 – It always feels like a steal when you can get someone who possess some serious raw power like Davis does. After starting off the season rather slowly, Davis is starting to come around as he’s 6-19 in his last five games with a home run. If anyone is capable of giving up some home runs, it’s Anibal Sanchez on Detroit. He’s allowed four already this season to right-handed batters and don’t forget the 17 he allowed last season. Davis owns a .348 career wOBA against righties with an ISO of .233.