We have a solid seven game slate starting this afternoon at 12:10 pm ET. With more games than the night slate, we will feature all the targets you should be looking at when building your roster this afternoon. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Clayton Kershaw – LAD vs ATL – $13,600 – Even against a team that was tough to strike out last season, Kershaw was able to take his single start against them and grab double digit strikeouts. In 2015, Kershaw faced the Braves and went seven innings allowing no runs on four hits with a 10:0 K:BB ratio. Historically, Kershaw has owned the Braves, owning a career 1.78 ERA against them. The price tag is huge here, but Kershaw is one of the game’s best against a very weak Braves offense that owns the lowest SLG% in the league at .278.
David Price – BOS vs TBR – $11,600 – If you want to salavage some salary by avoiding Kershaw, you can get Price at a $2,000 “discount.” Price has been striking out a ton of batters in the early going, owning a 13.5 K/9 in his first three starts with the Boston Red Sox. Today shouldn’t be much different, facing his former team the Tampa Bay Rays. In the early going of 2016, Tampa ranks 10th in the league for strikeouts and in the bottom five in SLG, OBP, and OPS.
Jake Odorizzi – TBR vs. BOS – $7,400 – Once we get out of the pitchers that cost $10,000 or more, the quality of pitchers left on the slate drops dramatically, with Odorizzi being the exception. Even with a tough matchup on tap against the Red Sox, Odorizzi at just $7,400 screams value. He owns a 9.6 K/9 in the early going while holding hitters to an overall wOBA of .257. The Red Sox aren’t the easiest team to strike out, ranked 18th in the league, but Odorizzi is certainly a good way to save some money and potentially come out with a solid showing.
Adrian Gonzalez (1B) – LAD vs ATL – $3,900 – Gonzalez hit his first home run of the season last night against, you guessed it, a right-handed pitcher. In 2015, Gonzalez had his way with RHP, owning a .360 wOBA with an ISO of .230. Going up against Matt Wisler, who has allowed three home runs in three starts this season, Gonzalez could be in position for number two of the season.
Albert Pujols (1B) – LAA vs. CHW – $4,000 – Ah yes, one of my favorite pitchers to target against last season is taking the mound today, so it’s business as usual for me. John Danks will toe the rubber for the White Sox, taking his .353 wOBA against right-handed batters from 2015. Danks gave up 24 home runs last season with 16 of them coming against right-handed bats. Pujols, although starting out slow this season, owned a .316 wOBA against lefties with an ISO of .252.
Adam Eaton (OF) – CHW vs LAA– $4,200 – In the same breath, we can say that the Angles have a favorable pitcher on the mound to target against as well with Jered Weaver. His fastball is something of a mystery, as it’s been topping out around 81 mph. This gives a bump to Adam Eaton, who bats leadoff for the White Sox. Against righties last season, Eaton owned a cool .367 wOBA with all 14 of his home runs. The White Sox continue to be overlooked on a daily basis, so hopefully we can get him with low ownership as well.
“The White Sox continue to be overlooked on a daily basis”
Ryan Braun (OF) – MIL vs MIN – $4,300 – Braun has gotten off to a hot start and will be hoping to continue that against Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco pitched in a very limited capacity last season, so if we go back to 2014, we see that Nolasco owned a .355 wOBA against righties. He certainly is one to give up a home run as well, as 22 left the park in 2014. Even with Braun hitting lefties much better than righties, Bruan owns a career .376 wOBA against right-handed pitchers.
Kyle Seager (3B) – SEA vs CLE – $4,600 – I’m not huge on Seager today because I feel like he’s a bit overpriced. You’re paying $4,600 for someone with a .152 average with two home runs, six RBIs and averaging 6.9 FFPG. I don’t mind his matchup against Cody Anderson, which is why he lands on the list anyways. Anderson hasn’t seen a ton of tough action in the majors, pitching 102 innings total, but in that time, we’ve learned about his struggles against lefties. Anderson owns a .324 wOBA against them while Seager owned a .322 wOBA against righties in 2015. The bump to Seager is hitting in one of the best hitters parks at Progressive Field.
Scooter Gennett (2B) – MIL vs MIN -$4,100 – Another matchup against Ricky Nolasco to target is Scooter Gennett. He’s a switch hitter who has MUCH more value when hitting against a right-handed pitcher. Gennett owned a .305 wOBA against righties last season, which doesn’t sound overly impressive. However, when you compare it to his .138 wOBA against lefties, you get what I mean. With a few big name second baseman on this slate, Gennett could fly right under the radar.
Justin Turner (3B) – LAD vs. ATL – $3,200 -Turner has gotten off to a slow start, but he’s bound to turn it around at some point. At $3,200, he’s been a great punt play on any slate. Turner hits right-handed pitching extremely well, owning a .390 wOBA against them last season with an ISO of .210. Turner also possesses some decent power, hitting 11 of his 16 off of a right-handed pitcher.
Travis Shaw (3B) – BOS vs TBR – $3,200 – Travis Shaw is the man that prompted the Red Sox to sit their $90 million dollar third baseman in Pablo Sandoval. He hasn’t made them regret that decision in the early going, hitting .317 with a home run, seven RBIs and a .916 OPS. In his short time in the majors, Shaw owns a career .384 wOBA with an ISO of .264. If Odorizzi unravels this afternoon, Shaw could be a great, cheap way to get some exposure to that.
“It’s a good matchup for such a cheap price tonight”
Melky Cabrera (OF) – CHW vs. LAA – $3,200 – Going up against Jered Weaver and his “fastball,” Cabrera is a switch hitter that hits right-handed pitchers better than left. Cabrera owned a .323 wOBA against righties last season. Although he doesn’t own a ton of power, Cabrera has the ability to get on base, owning a career .336 OBP. It’s a good matchup for such a cheap price tonight, especially if you’re trying to fit in some of those big name pitchers.
Martin Prado (3B) – MIA vs WAS – $2,700 – BvP stat coming in hot! Honestly, this is the punt play of the day in my opinion, so you can love it or not. Prado is facing Max Scherzer today, whom Prado is 9-19 against with three extra base hits, one of them being a home run with a 1.211 OPS. Again, this could potentially be sneaky way to save some money if you’re looking at some of the big names on the slate.
Chase or Fade: BvP