It’s the beginning of a new week, and we have an early five-game slate to kick it off. I’ll give you some of my favorite targets for this slate, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Chris Sale – BOS vs. DET – $12,400 – Sale was very impressive in his Red Sox debut, throwing seven innings of shutout baseball allowing just three hits and a 7:1 K: BB ratio. His matchup against the Tigers features the lowest projected run total on this slate at 7.5, with both teams tabbed for 3.8 runs. For what it’s worth, Sale has almost always produced a strong month of April, owning a career .270 wOBA with a .339 SLG, a .270 OBP and a K/9 of 8.5.
Other Options – Justin Verlander ($10,500)
Matt Moore – SFG vs. ARI – $8,000 – Moore will be facing the Diamondbacks for the second time already this season, but this time he has the benefit of pitching at home in AT&T Park. I’m curious if his first performance against this team will shy people away, which I understand, but the park factor is a big one for Moore. After being traded to the Giants, Moore posted a .277 wOBA with a .315 SLG, a .304 SLG and a K/9 of 8.1. He could be of sneaky value on this slate.
Other Options – Alex Cobb ($7,400)
Evan Gattis – HOU vs. SEA – $3,500 – With Gary Sanchez on the 10-day disabled list, the price of expensive catcher drops dramatically. Gattis feels like the logical next choice as he showcased some good numbers against lefties last season. During that time, Gattis owned a .366 wOBA with a .545 SLG and a .341 OBP. He faces James Paxton, who was tough at home last season, but this still seems to be the best matchup amongst the more expensive catchers.
Other Options Buster Posey – ($3,600)
Stephen Vogt – OAK vs. KC – $3,100 – Vogt will matchup with Ian Kennedy this afternoon, who was tough on lefties at home last season, allowing just a .289 wOBA with a .363 SLG. With that being said, Kennedy did struggle with the long ball, allowing 33 on the season. Sixteen of those came off the bat of a left-handed hitter, which brings us to Vogt. He hit 10 of his 14 total on the road with nine of them against a RHP on the road. At $3,100, he’s a cheap option with some potential pop.
Other Options – Sandy Leon ($2,800)
Paul Goldschmidt – ARI vs. SFG – $4,300 – I do like Matt Moore today, but I can’t ever ignore Goldy facing a left-handed pitcher. He crushed them last season, owning a .449 wOBA with a .576 SLG and a .494 OBP. Even with the park factor not swaying in his direction, Goldy is and always will be an option when a left-handed pitcher is on the hill.
Other Options – Matt Holliday ($4,000)
Victor Marinez – DET vs. BOS – $3,800 – For whatever reason, V-Mart has Chris Sale’s number. Martinez is 20-of-46 against Sale with three doubles, four home runs, nine RBI, a .481 OBP and a .761 SLG. He’ll more than likely be left on the board this afternoon simply because of his matchup, but he could be a sneaky play if these numbers continue.
Other Options – Marwin Gonzalez ($2,700)
Robinson Cano – SEA vs. HOU – $4,300 – Cano will face off against Charlie Morton today, who hasn’t pitched much since 2015. However, going off his career numbers, Morton has always struggled against lefties. The owner of a career .374 wOBA against them with a .464 SLG and a .391 OBP, Morton could struggle against the like of Cano today. Cano hit very well at home against righties last season, ending with a .344 wOBA with a .490 SLG and a .335 OBP.
Other Options – Jean Segura ($4,300)
Joe Panik – SFG vs. ARI – $3,400 – Regarding a value second baseman today, the options are few and far between. To be perfectly honest, I don’t love Panik today, but if I had to choose, he’d be the guy. Panik posted a modest .307 wOBA against righties at home last season with a .322 OBP. This might be a slate to pay up a bit for your second base position.
Other Options – Brandon Drury ($3,000)
Kyle Seager – SEA vs. HOU – $4,000 – Another case of a left-handed batter matching up against Charlie Morton this afternoon. Seager ended the 2016 season with a .395 wOBA at home against righties with a .503 SLG and a .427 OBP. The only downfall was the home runs at home, but that’s what Safeco Field will do to your numbers. Seager only hit six of his 30 at home against a right-handed pitcher.
Other Options – Evan Longoria ($4,400)
Mike Moustakas – KC vs. OAK – $3,100 – Moose has been on fire since the season began, averaging 8.8 FPPG in five games thus far. With his recent hot streak, he is certainly someone to consider at just $3,100, especially if you’re looking to save some salary if you take the likes of Chris Sale or Justin Verlander.
Other Options – Danny Valencia ($3,300)
Brad Miller – TB vs. NYY – $3,900 – Shortstop is another thin position this afternoon, so I’m content rolling with Brad Miller today. Miller has some pop in his bat and doesn’t come at an overly expensive salary. He’ll face Micheal Pineda, who allowed a .343 wOBA to lefties last season with a .460 SLG and a .340 OBP.
Other Options – Eduardo Nunez ($3,600)
Chris Owings – ARI vs. SFG – $3,000 – Owings isn’t going to grab you a quick 14 points with a home run, but he certainly can get on base against a left-handed pitcher. In 2016, Owings owned a .348 wOBA against lefties with a .345 OBP. He’s dirt cheap at $3,000 and should be near the top of the batting order today.
Other Options – Starlin Castro ($3,500)
Khris Davis – OAK vs. KC – $3,800 – Remember how I mentioned Ian Kennedy had struggled with home runs last season? Well, he’s set to take on one of the best in that aspect today in Khris Davis. With three home runs on the season already, Davis looks to build on his fantastic road numbers against righties last season that included a .343 wOBA with a .517 SLG and 18 of his 42 home runs.
Other Options – George Springer ($4,000)
Corey Dickerson – TB vs. NYY – ($3,600) – Dickerson has come out of the gate swinging so far this season. If he can build on his numbers from last season, he was very successful on the road against right-handed pitching. Dickerson ended the season with a .389 wOBA to go with a .613 SLG and a .324 OBP.
Other Options – Leonys Martin ($3,200), Matt Joyce ($2,400)
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