After 161 games, we are at the endpoint of the MLB regular season. The good news is we have one final slate left to play. The bad news is most of these teams aren’t playing for anything with postseason spots locked up. This means we are likely to get see some lineups way different than what we have seen all season. Here’s my advice. Be sure to download the DK Live App to stay up to date on the all the latest news and lineups. Once lineups come out, roster pitchers against minor league heavy lineups and roster hitters playing against unknown pitchers who didn’t have much minor league success.
StudNoah Syndergaard, NYM vs. ATL, $9,600 — I have a hunch that we’ll see an extremely watered down Braves’ lineup this afternoon. Freddie Freeman appears to be dealing with a sore elbow and Ronald Acuna is sitting out the rest of the regular season with a groin injury. The Braves are gearing up for the playoffs and don’t want to risk anybody getting hurt in Game 162. Syndergaard has shown increased upside since the All-Star break by striking out 9.74 hitters per nine innings.
Other Options — Mike Clevinger ($12,000), Eduardo Rodriguez ($10,300)
ValueSpencer Turnbull, DET at CHW, $7,400 — Before rostering any starting pitcher, make sure they aren’t going to be on a pitch count. To be on the safe side, it makes sense to avoid any starter who is expected to pitch in the playoffs. This is a non-issue for Turnbull since the Tigers finished with the worst record in baseball by a wide margin. Turnbull had an up and down season although he’s pitched well recently. He is averaging 16.9 DKFP in his last three starts.
Other Options — Miles Mikolas ($8,300), Trevor Williams ($6,700)
StudYasmani Grandal, MIL at COL, $4,900 — With a Brewers win and a Cardinals loss, there will be an extra game to decide the winner of the NL Central. Due to lineup uncertainty, I don’t have team totals or moneyline odds to look at as I write this, but I assume the Brewers will have the highest implied run total on the slate playing in Colorado. I expect most of the expensive catchers to sit tonight, making Grandal an easy choice for stud catcher.
Other Options — Willson Contreras ($4,300), Will Smith ($4,200)
ValueJason Castro, MIN at KC, $3,300 — Jorge Lopez hasn’t been able to handle left-handed hitters all season. He’s giving up a .404 wOBA to lefties and Castro has had success against right-handed pitching despite a down year. Castro’s total numbers are down because of his struggles against southpaws, but he has a 120 wRC+ against righties.
Other Options — Yadier Molina ($3,700), Tucker Barnhart ($3,300)
FIRST BASEEric Thames, MIL at COL, $5,300 — There is risk that he gets pinch-hit for late in the game although I am willing to overlook that because of the power upside for Thames. He homered last night and now has four homers in his last six games. Thames has a good chance to continue his recent power surge at Coors Field.
Other Options — Peter Alonso ($4,800), Daniel Murphy ($4,500)
ValueRyan McBroom, KC vs. MIN, $2,900 — After a day off yesterday, McBroom figures to be back in the lineup for the season finale. Over the last week, he’s been a great source of value and his price remains at a bargain bin price. McBroom has at least 8.0 DKFP in five of his last seven starts. He has versatility since he’s also outfield eligible.
Other Options — Josh VanMeter ($3,700), Jose Osuna ($3,400)
StudWhit Merrifield, KC vs. MIN, $4,400 — The season has been a bit disappointing from a fantasy standpoint for Merrifield, but he’s closing the season on a high note. He has five hits in the last two games, averaging 14.5 DKFP in those contests. He draws a good matchup against Martin Perez, who is allowing a .353 wOBA to right-handed hitters and has a 6.40 ERA since the All-Star break.
Other Options — Keston Hiura ($5,500), Ryan McMahon ($4,700)
ValueGarrett Hampson, COL vs. MIL, $4,200 — Trying to play the role of spoiler, the Rockies offense shouldn’t be overlooked this afternoon. Hampson came into the season as one of the top ranked prospects in the Rockies’ organization and he’s started to show his upside in the final month of the season. In September, Hampson has a 145 wRC+ and he’s hit five homers to go along with nine stolen bases. He has the makings of a future fantasy stud.
Other Options — Rougned Odor ($4,000), Adam Frazier ($3,500)
StudEugenio Suarez, CIN at PIT, $4,700 — Quietly, Suarez has a 49-homer season. He is almost certainly going to be swinging for the fences to get to 50 and he’s really evolved his game from being a hitter who only hit left-handed pitching. Suarez has a 17 wRC+ against righties and 38 of his long balls are off of right-handed pitchers.
Other Options — Rafael Devers ($5,600), Nolan Arenado ($5,400)
ValueManny Machado, SD at ARI, $4,000 — Homering in his last two games, Machado is putting together a strong finish to his first season in San Diego. The Padres are an interesting team to target today. Tajuan Walker is making his first start of the season and he isn’t expected to pitch deep into the game. This opens the door for a bunch of relievers without much experience to pitch the majority of the game for Arizona.
Other Options — Cheslor Cuthbert ($3,700), Jed Gyorko ($2,300)
StudTrevor Story, COL vs. MIL, $5,500 — Like most Rockies’ hitters, Story was much better at home than on the road. Of his 35 homers, 24 have come in Colorado, including a long ball last night. Story has scored at least 11 DKFP in his last four games.
Other Options — Franisco Lindor ($4,600), Jorge Polanco ($s4,500)
ValueOrlando Arcia, MIL at COL, $3,800 — This is an awfully cheap salary for any player at Coors Field. In addition, Arcia has really stepped up his game as the Brewers attempt to push for the NL Central crown. Even though the team is struggling, it hasn’t impacted his fantasy output. Arcia is averaging 11.4 DKFP in his last five games with a floor of 8.0 DKFP.
Other Options — Didi Gregorius ($3,800), Nicky Lopez ($3,300)
StudJorge Soler, KC vs. MIN, $4,800 — I am going to guess nobody thought Soler had a chance to lead the American League in homers. He came into the season without ever having hit more than 12 homers in a year. After last night’s two-homer game with 32 DKFP, Soler got to 47 homers and solidified his lead for most long balls in the AL. He’s scored at least 14 DKFP in five of his last seven games and he’s homered off the Twins six times this season.
Other Options — Mookie Betts ($5,500), Bryce Harper ($4,900)
ValueBrandon Nimmo, NYM vs. ATL, $3,800 — To finish the season, the Mets moved Nimmo into the leadoff spot after he hit towards the end of the lineup for most of the season. If the results are any indication, they might want to consider batting Nimmo leadoff all of next season. He has a 172 wRC+ in September.
Other Options — Dexter Fowler ($3,500), Bubba Starling ($3,100)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.