We’ve reached the All-Star break in the MLB season, and this time around, the events will take place in Cleveland. While the regular-season games are put on pause, the home runs will still be a go. Over on DK Sportsbook, you can get in on the 2019 Home Run Derby action. Let’s break down the odds:
MLB Home Run Derby Odds and Betting Splits– Josh Bell: +300, 8% of the handle, 10% of the bets
– Pete Alonso: +400, 40% of the handle, 31% of the bets
– Vladimir Guerrero Jr: +400, 22% of the handle, 21% of the bets
– Matt Chapman: +800, 1% of the handle, 2% of the bets
– Joc Pederson: +800, 4% of the handle, 6% of the bets
– Alex Bregman: +900, 3% of the handle, 6% of the bets
– Carlos Santana: +1000, 2% of the handle, 3% of the bets
– Ronald Acuna Jr: +1100, 6% of the handle, 8% of the bets
Note: All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
The Home Run Derby is always an exciting event, and this season should be no different. Progressive Field has a 19-foot wall in left field, but it’s shorter in distance than last season’s venue. Pirates 1B Josh Bell (tied for 5th in the league in HRs) is the favorite, but the placed bets are showing a different story in support of Mets 1B Pete Alonso. The Mets’ season has been very (for lack of a better term) Mets-like, but Alonso is a stud (tied 2nd in the league in HRs, most of HR Derby contestants) and will want to give his fans something to root for.
Due to a back injury, the reigning MLB home run leader and No. 1 seed coming into the Derby, Christian Yelich, had to drop out. Athletics 3B Matt Chapman is replacing Yelich and will have the pleasure of going up against Blue Jays 3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr., a clear crowd favorite, in the first round. The bettors aren’t showing any love for Chapman, regardless of having the second-highest average exit velocity of any of this season’s contestants. If he can get past the pure swing of Guerrero, he could take this whole thing down.
Last season’s hometown favorite, Bryce Harper, won the Home Run Derby. The last time it took place in Ohio (Cincinnati in 2015 to be exact,) the hometown hero, Todd Frazier, won the title. This season, Carlos Santana will have home-field advantage. The crowd will be on his side, and a first-round victory means he would eliminate Alonso, which would certainly upset a lot of bettors.
It’s worth noting that hitting two home runs over 440 feet or more in a single round will grant a batter another 30 seconds to hit. Unlike most of the participants, Astros 3B Alex Bregman has a sub-400-foot home run distance average. Dodgers OF Joc Pederson is matched up with Bregman in the first round. So if you go off of this stat, Pederson would get you into the semi-final.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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