Reading the Grain: Wyndham Championship

WATCH: VALUE PLAY CHAD CAMPBELL


After an exciting week that saw Justin Thomas earn his first major victory, the PGA Tour heads to Sedgefield Country Club for the Wyndham Championship. Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 course that plays right around 7,100 yards. Sedgefield Country Club is an easy course with two reachable par 5s that are some of the easiest on the PGA Tour. In fact, the two par 5s on the course, holes five and 15, played as the fifth easiest and 63rd easiest holes of the 900 holes that were featured on the PGA Tour in 2016. Only the par 4 18th Hole was within the top-200 hardest holes at 44th on tour. The number one narrative this week will be the point standings for the FedEx Cup Playoffs. There are 80+ golfers on the bubble that could shake up the standings heading into the playoffs with a solid performance

As we go with the grain this week, we’ll be targeting the stereotypical attributes that lead to success on a par 70 course. Accuracy off the tee and on approach will be a major key, coupled with Par 3 Scoring. As we go against the grain, we’ll take a look at some golfers that don’t completely spray it off the tee, have distance and can really take advantage of the easy par 5s.

Going With The Grain

USATSI_10213637_168381090_lowres

  • Driving Accuracy
  • Greens in Regulation
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Par 3 Birdie or Better

Henrik Stenson ($11,500) is the ideal less-than-driver golfer with his 3 wood, and that’s exactly what Sedgefield CC calls for. He would be seventh in Driving Accuracy this year if he played enough PGA Tour rounds to qualify. Stenson has been on the rise after a shaky spring and should be in contention in a weaker field this week.

Graeme McDowell ($7,300) finished in fifth place here last year and shows some reason for optimism this week. His recent form leaves a bit to be desired obviously, but his course fit is solid here. McDowell is eighth in Driving Accuracy and second in Par 3 Birdie or Better. Both of those stats will come in handy on an easy par 70 course like Sedgefield CC.

Rory Sabbatini ($7,200) struggled to make cuts pretty much from April to June but has made the most of his starts since then. He’s made five straight cuts, including top-25s at the RBC Canadian Open, John Deere Classic and the Greenbrier Classic. Sabbatini is also a good course fit for this week. His stats are below and you’ll see, he’s tough to fade at $7,200 this week.

StatRank
Driving Accuracy42nd
Greens in Regulation49th
Par 4 Birdie or Better46th
Par 4 Birdie or Better (400-450 Yards)15th
Par 5 Birdie or Better30th

Honorable Mention: Kevin Kisner ($11,300) & Ryan Armour ($6,700)


Going Against The Grain

USATSI_10211647_168381090_lowres

  • Driving Distance
  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
  • Scrambling
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better
  • Holes Per Eagle

Lucas Glover ($8,400) seems set up very nicely for a good performance this week. His last two Wyndham Championship starts have resulted in top-25 finishes and he comes in with some pretty good form. Glover is currently on a string of three straight made cuts. He has a great combination of some Driving Distance and Driving Accuracy where he’s 60th and 35th on tour, respectively. His Par 5 Scoring also will keep him in the mix on these easy and reachable par 5s.

A weaker field leads to some interesting plays every week. Seamus Power ($8,000) has popped in a few of the models that I’ve put together this week. He’s 15th on tour in Par 5 Birdie or Better this year. Power will be able to take advantage of the par 5s thanks to his distance. As long as he keeps the ball in position off the tee, he should be able to put himself into contention as the week goes on.

Kevin Tway ($7,800) is another golfer that presents an interesting decision this week. He doesn’t fit this course from a strict accuracy perspective, but he does have an avenue to success. His distance is enough to overpower this shorter course, but he needs to leave himself in good positions since he’s currently 184th in Driving Accuracy. Tway is top-60 in Birdie or Better for both par 4s and par 5s though, so he should be able to score throughout most of the course.

Honorable Mention: James Hahn ($9,000) & Cameron Smith ($7,000)

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is matt13jones) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.