PGA Insights: OHL Classic

The PGA Tour is heading to Mexico this weekend for the OHL Classic at El Camaleon GC in Playa del Carmen. The stop comes with FedEx Cup points and the chance at a payday on a somewhat forgiving course before the Tour goes on break.

Despite this, it’s not an event that attracts the top talent on Tour, although you will recognize a few familiar names from the top-25 of leaderboards at tournaments all season long. Guys like Matt Kuchar, Harris English, Charley Hoffman and Russell Knox, fresh off his first win, might not usually all cost over $10K, but at least they’re names you’re used to looking at, and thinking about. And, in a field that is super thin, these guys are just very, very clearly the cream of the crop in this one. An ability to place in the top-25 against the McIlroys and Spieths of the world automatically means you’re a contender in this one.

The reason I bring this up is because when you look at the list of golfers available to you this weekend, there are seven priced at $10,000 or higher – consider them the elite choices. It would not be shocking – at all – if all seven of those golfers finish inside the top-20. And that means three things: one, it’s a good idea to make room for at least one in your lineup; two, just having him finish in the top-10 probably isn’t enough to provide value; and three, if you choose someone who randomly fails to finish even close to the top, you probably don’t have a chance of winning. There just won’t be enough solid value plays finishing well to make up for the mistake.

Normally, you might put the most thought into your value picks for the week, hoping to nail that one cheap option that puts you over the top in your tournament. This week, you may want to flip the script and put the most thought into your studs, making sure you don’t make the one decision that ruins your chances for the weekend. Or you could just make seven lineups. Up to you.