The WGC-Mexico Championship will be the first WGC event in 2020, but the second of the season. Rory McIlroy won the WGC-HSBC Champions back in November of 2019. The four WGC winners from last season were Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and Kevin Kisner (Match Play), three of which rank inside the top-10 in overall world golf ranking (OWGR) as of this week and Kisner inside the top-35. Point being, the elite win WGCs. Dustin Johnson won this tournament at +750 back in 2017 and +1000 last season; Mickelson winning here at +1900 in 2018.
Xander Schauffele (+1800 to win) and Sergio Garcia (+4500, Top-5 +800, Top-10 +400) are plays on both DraftKings and DraftKings Sportsbook, but here are some other bets to consider this week in Mexico.
ARE ADAM SCOTT’S ODDS TO WIN THIS WEEKEND TOO HIGH??
Webb Simpson +1600 to WinThere’s a small percentage hitting it better tee-to-green than Simpson this season who ranks second in SG: Tee-to-Green over his past three tournaments, with Rory being the only guy ahead of him. Simpson is eighth in OWGR as of this week, ranks second in SG: Approach, ninth in opportunities gained and first in proximity from 125 to 150 yards over his past 12 rounds. Simpson completely changed his game to become one of the best putters on TOUR, gaining strokes putting in his past 13 straight measured tournaments and ranks 10th in SG: Putting over his past 50 rounds on poa annua greens.
Michael Lorenzo-Vera Top 20 +350Similar to guys like Matthew Fitzpatrick and Sergio Garcia, Lorenzo-Vera has played well at the Omega European Masters over the past two years and ranks 36th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green on the European Tour so far this season. He’s finished inside the top 3 and top 8 in two of his past four tournaments worldwide and has the ability to go low, ranking 26th in total birdies and 16th in stroke average last season on the European Tour.
Marcus Kinhult Top 20 +450Kinhult qualified by finishing inside the top 20 in the Race to Dubai last season and finished 34th in scoring average on the European Tour in 2019. He doesn’t play on the PGA TOUR at all, but finished T12 at the Omega European Masters in 2019 and T10 in 2015. He ranks 28th in SG: Putting on the European Tour so far, this season and finished inside the top-35 at the 2019 US Open held at another short course, Pebble Beach.
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