The Genesis Invitational will consist of the best on TOUR, with all the top 10 golfers in OWGR (except Webb Simpson) making their way to Los Angeles this week. Genesis has been a tournament, similar to last week, which is won either by betting favorites or longshots with deep odds. Bubba Watson’s won his second Genesis in 2018 at +4600, but the average odds over the past five editions is +7600 with the longest coming from James Hahn at +15100 back in 2015 and the shortest from Dustin Johnson in 2017 at +800. To reiterate from yesterday’s article, Genesis has played very tough, ranking inside the top 10 last season and the year previous in scoring relative to par.
Patrick Cantlay (+1700 to Win), Sungjae Im (+7000 to Win, +1200 Top 5, Top 20 +225) and Jason Kokrak (+11000 to Win, +1800 Top 5) are plays on both DraftKings and the DraftKings Sportsbook I like this week with a few more we should be looking at this week.
Tony Finau to Win +2200If you know me, this is nothing new. I’ve gone back-and-forth on Finau all week, but finally landed on betting him this week. The loss to Webb Simpson at the Waste Management Phoenix Open was a good thing, right? Yes. For us truthers, the victory would’ve vindicated the weeks of winless support from Tony, but losing the tournament in such a fashion should provide Finau with the feeling of having, keeping and losing a lead for the rest of the season and his career with hopes he can learn from it. His form has been impeccable since the start of the season and he comes to Riviera where the course fits his game to a “T” (pun intended). Tony has gained just under a total of 9.5 strokes putting over his past two tournaments and ranks fourth in SG: Approach-the-Green over his past 24 rounds.
Aaron Baddeley Top 20 +750Baddeley finished with a top 25 in Phoenix and has played well at Riviera in the past with two top 15s dating back to 2012 and a win back in 2011, providing a nice mixture of current form and course history good enough for a top 20 bet. Baddeley isn’t going to wow us with his ability off-the-tee, but he will with his short game, ranking first in SG: Around-the-Green over his past six tournaments. His short game isn’t just impeccable across all courses, but has been at Riviera, ranking sixth in SG: Around-the-Green and first in Putting over his past 26 rounds here. We’ve seen Australian golfers do well here in the past and he’s one we should be willing to back at this number.
Sam Burns Top 20 +1100In his short career, Burns has been known for his putting ranking inside the top 20 over his past 50 rounds, but recently his ball striking has been fantastic, ranking 13th in his past two tournaments and inside the top 3 over his past four rounds. He won’t be losing strokes on the greens for much longer and should get things back on track with the flat stick at Riviera.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is reidtfowler) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.