The field isn’t as prolific as we’ve seen in the past, which could be the reason we see an wide array of winners at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am with favorites like Phil Mickelson at +2600 last season, Jimmy Walker at +2300 in 2014 on one end and Vaughn Taylor in 2016 as well as Ted Potter Jr. in 2018 both win at +30000 on the other.
It’s important to reiterate the tournament will be played across three courses this week and weather will play a huge factor in scoring if the winds pick up. With half of the holes on Pebble Beach set along Carmel Bay, the tournament’s difficulty can shift year-to-year per the weather conditions. Back in 2014, Pebble Beach played as the seventh most difficult in scoring with extremely windy conditions; the following year played as the eighth easiest with virtually no wind at all.
Jason Day to Win +2200 to WinDay finished with a respectable 16th at the Farmers last month and gets to play a course he absolutely loves, finishing no worse than an 11th over the past five years with three top 5s and a runner-up. His irons need to improve, but as Day has done throughout his career his short game was top-notch, ranking first in SG: Around-the-Green at Torrey Pines. Admittedly, I wasn’t on Day coming into this tournament with his health always being a question mark, but he plays Pebble too well to pass him up, especially at this number.
Brandt Snedeker to Win +2800Sneds hasn’t won since the Wyndham back in 2018, but has compiled solid finishes coming into this week with a top 15 and a top 3 in two of his past three starts. Like I mentioned in my previous article, Snedeker loves the West Coast turf, winning four times between this tournament and the Farmers Insurance Open along with a T8 at the 2010 U.S. Open over his career. He’s a fantastic Poa Annua putter and could get his third win at this tournament, especially when the competition might not be as good as it has been in years past.
James Hahn to Win +20000 to Win | Top 5 +3300 | Top 10 +1400In honor of Ted Potter Jr. beating Dustin Johnson a couple of years ago, we should all be looking at some longshots at Pebble Beach. Hahn hasn’t won since 2016, but his win at the Wells Fargo back then was after eight straight cuts. He’s coming into this week with better form, finishing with a top 25 last week while gaining four strokes through approach and finishing inside the top 30 in SG: Putting. Even though he’s missed three cuts here, he’s also finished inside the top 30 twice and had a top 3 back in 2013.
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