It’s time for another great UFC card as UFC on FOX 24 takes place this Saturday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri. The event features a title fight in the main event as well as a bunch of other intriguing and important matchups, and, on paper, this is one of the best cards the UFC has put together all year.
From a fantasy MMA perspective, here are the 10 fighters who I think will score the most fantasy points on DraftKings.
1. Demetrious Johnson ($9,800)
Demetrious Johnson is arguably the top pound-for-pound fighter in the sport today, and it’s no shocker seeing him as the most expensive fighter on this card as he takes on an overmatched Wilson Reis. Johnson has been extremely dominant in the UFC, going 11-0-1 as a flyweight, and this should be a showcase fight for him. I’m looking for Johnson to have an incredible performance once again and finish Reis with either a submission or a knockout.
2. Tom Duquesnoy ($9,300)
One of the top prospects in MMA makes his UFC debut as Tom Duquesnoy takes on Patrick Williams. There has been tons of hype behind Duquesnoy for a while and it’s well deserved. The UFC clearly sees something in him and they are giving him a winnable fight against Patrick Williams. Duquesnoy is the younger, faster and more dangerous fighter. I think he’ll have an epic UFC debut and win this fight via stoppage.
3. Jacare Souza ($8,700)
Jacare Souza is an elite middleweight and should probably be fighting for the title right now, but instead, he has a tough battle ahead of him in the form of Robert Whittaker. It’s not an easy fight for Souza, but I still think he wins. Souza is 7-1 in the UFC with six finishes and overall has won 10 of his last 11 fights, showing a ton of skills and very few flaws. Whittaker is a nice prospect at 185lbs and his 5-0 record looks good, but Souza is a massive step up in competition. Whittaker will make things interesting, but as soon as Souza gets this fight to the ground he has a great chance of getting a submission win.
4. Zak Cummings ($9,400)
Zak Cummings takes on Nathan Coy in a welterweight bout, and it looks like a mismatch to me. Cummings is 5-2 overall in the UFC with three finishes and has proven to be a very well-rounded, game fighter. Coy is 1-1 in the UFC, but he’s also 38 now and barely fights anymore. I think Cummings dominates this fight and finishes Coy via submission. He’s pricey but he has one of the best finishing potentials on the card.
5. Alexander Volkov ($8,100)
In heavyweight action, we have former Bellator heavyweight champion Alexander Volkov taking on fan favorite Roy Nelson. Volkov is 1-0 in the UFC so far and overall he’s won three-straight fights since leaving Bellator. He’s only 28 and at 6’7″ has a huge length advantage over most heavyweights. He also finishes fights, having won 21 of his 27 career victories by stoppage. Nelson is a step up in competition for Volkov, but he’s catching Nelson at the right time. Nelson is now 40 and overall has lost six of his last 10 fights. He still has his big right hand, but that’s it. Although Nelson has fought a high level of competition, it’s clear he is in decline. I think Volkov dominates this fight and wins either a dominant decision or perhaps via late TKO.
6. Jeremy Stephens ($8,600)
Jeremy Stephens will take on Renato Moicano in a featherweight bout that opens the main card. Stephens is a long-time UFC veteran who is known for packing massive power in his strikes. Although his 5-4 record at 145lbs isn’t impressive, keep in mind he’s only lost to elite fighters and has beaten everyone else. Moicano is definitely a good prospect, and this is a big opportunity for him, but I like Stephens in this fight. I think he will use his experience in this fight to drag Moicano into a brawl and win a high-paced decision or possibly score a knockout.
7. Rose Namajunas ($8,200)
A battle of elite women’s strawweights sees Rose Namajunas fight Michelle Waterson. Both fighters are excellent, but I like Namajunas here. While Namajunas is 3-2 overall in the UFC compared to 2-0 for Waterson, Namajunas is also seven years younger, has been more active in the cage, and has the higher upside. I would look for a high-paced fight here with Namajunas edging out a decision with a slight possibility of a submission win.
8. Anthony Smith ($7,300)
One upset that I’m looking at is Anthony Smith beating Andrew Sanchez. While Sanchez has been impressive with a 2-0 record in the UFC, I believe Smith is flying under the radar. He’s 2-1 since rejoining the UFC, and, overall, he’s won nine of his last 10 fights with seven of those wins coming via stoppage. Although Sanchez is a great wrestler, Smith has huge power and if he catches Sanchez he has a chance of pulling off the upset here. If you need a cheap option with finishing potential to fill out your team, I think Smith is your man.
9. Jake Collier ($7,900)
A battle of low-level light heavyweights sees Devin Clark take on Jake Collier, who I think has a chance for the upset here. Clark was brutally knocked out in his UFC debut with a weak punch, and that’s a huge worry fighting a power striker like Collier. I view Collier as the tougher fighter with more finishing ability and slightly favor him here. I think Collier can catch Clark on the chin and take him out, and I think he’s worth consideration on at this price.
10. Ketlen Vieira ($7,700)
For another cheap pick that I think has a chance to be a winner, I’ll take Ketlen Vieira to upset Ashlee Evans-Smith. Vieira had a nice win over Kelly Faszholz and is still undefeated at 7-0 in MMA. At just 25, she has a lot of potential in the sport and has finished most of her fights. Evans-Smith is a bit older at 29, and although she is 2-1 in the UFC, she has been a disappointment overall. I’m looking for Vieira to win a decision here with an outside shot at a submission.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is MMAdamMartin) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.