This weekend the UFC is back with UFC Fight Night 111: Holm vs. Correira. Keep in mind this card takes place in Singapore, so the start time will be 4:45 a.m. EST Saturday morning, but if you’re in the mood for some morning MMA, this card should provide plenty of action.
Here are my top-10 fighters for fantasy MMA purposes at UFC Fight Night 111.
1. Marcin Tybura ($8,700)
I’m really loving Tybura in this matchup against the aging Andrei Arlovski. Tybura is only 31 which is young by heavyweight standards, he is coming off of two-straight KO wins in the UFC, and he’s constantly improving every time he fights. He is an excellent striker with big KO power and is a heavyweight prospect to keep an eye on. Yes, Arlovski has the experience advantage, and of course, he has knockout power himself, but with that chin, it’s tough to pick him against a talented striker like Tybura. I like Tybura to get the job done here by an early KO, leading to a huge fantasy night.
2. Jon Tuck ($8,800)
I like Tuck quite a bit in this lightweight fight against aging legend Takanori Gomi. Mostly, this is just a fade on Gomi, who is 38 and who has lost three fights in a row. Gomi, who rose to fame back in the day in PRIDE, was once known for his ability to take a punch but these days he’s been looking like a punching bag in the Octagon, getting knocked out by guys like Myles Jury who rarely display knockout power. Tuck, who has knockout power on the feet as well as submissions on the ground, will be really motivated to win and Gomi is a beatable opponent. I like Tuck here to catch Gomi and knock him out.
3. Li Jingliang ($9,400)
I’m a big fan of Jingliang, who takes on Frank Camacho in a welterweight bout. In my mind, Jingliang is by far the best Chinese-based fighter in the sport, going 4-2 so far in the UFC with three knockout wins. He has a ton of power and his wrestling is getting better, and overall, he’s turning into a very dangerous fighter. Camacho took this fight on short notice and has a padded record fighting cans on the regional circuit. Congrats to Camacho for getting his shot in the UFC, but I think Jingliang welcomes him to the Octagon with a knockout.
4. Walt Harris ($9,200)
In heavyweight action, Harris takes on Cyril Asker. Neither man is at the top of the food chain in the UFC heavyweight division, but the power of both men cannot be denied as each fighter is coming off of a big KO win (Harris over Chase Sherman and Asker over Dmitry Smolyakov). Realistically this fight could go either way as both men have power, both men also have questionable chins, but you can’t ignore Harris’ athletic and physical advantages in this fight. I like the big man to put on a good show here and knock Asker out.
5. Holly Holm ($9,600)
I know Holm has lost three-straight fights, but in no universe can I see Bethe Correia beating her. Holm, the former UFC women’s bantamweight champion, has been losing to elite competition and we know what she’s capable of on a good night, like when she knocked out Ronda Rousey. She is an incredible counter striker and that plays right into her strengths against the aggressive, yet defensively-limited Correia. It’s surprising that Correia is 4-2-1 in the UFC, but most people remember her for getting brutally knocked out by Rousey. Though Holm has a point-fighting style at times, this fight is five rounds and that gives her 25 minutes to find Correia’s chin. While I could see Holm winning a one-sided decision, I could also see her getting a knockout. She is the most expensive fighter on the list so if you take her you’ll have to find a couple contrarian picks to bundle with her.
6. Russell Doane ($7,600)
It’s hard to recommend a fighter coming off of four-straight losses, but I will do so here with Doane. I just like this matchup for him against Kwan Ho Kwak. Doane obviously hasn’t performed well as of late, but he’s mostly only been losing to really good fighters, and prior to his losing streak he was showing a lot of promise in the Octagon. Hawaii is riding high right now and Doane has a great chance here to join the party against Kwak, a talented prospect who has some issues with grapplers. If Doane can get this fight to the ground I think he has a really good chance to get a submission.
7. Colby Covington ($8,500)
I like Covington here against Kim, but I don’t love him, which is why Covington isn’t higher on the list. The powerhouse wrestler has been a personal favorite of mine for a while now as I believe his elite takedown ability could lead him to the highest levels of this sport. That being said, he’s generally been untested so far in his career and Kim is a massive step up in competition. His opponent Kim is now 35 and his chin isn’t holding up as well anymore. I really like Kim as a fighter but I like Covington even more. I think he can grind this one out, and potentially even finish Kim, so I put him on this list.
8. Justin Scoggins ($9,300)
I would like Scoggins a lot more here against Ulka Sasaki if I could trust his submission defense because on paper Scoggins has all the advantages in this flyweight bout. Scoggins is younger, faster, more athletic, a better wrestler and a far better striker. However, his submission defense is shaky at times and that’s a potential worry against Sasaki, who has some really good submissions. On paper, I like this matchup for Scoggins quite a bit but proceed with some caution in this one as he’s expensive and may end up winning a decision — or worse, getting tapped out again.
9. Rolando Dy ($7,100)
I’m going against the grain here and taking Dy over Alex Caceres in this featherweight contest. I know Caceres is way younger, more experienced and supremely talented, but I can’t ignore his defensive flaws, and I don’t like how he’s looked in his last bunch of fights. Dy is a complete unknown, but at this price, I definitely think he’s worth taking a look at for the bottom of your teams.
10. Naoki Inoue ($8,900)
Honestly, he’s not the safest pick, which is why Inoue is last on the list. The 19-year-old prospect faces off against Carls John de Tomas, who is just 20, in a battle of UFC newcomers. Both flyweights have tremendous records in the minor leagues, but this is the UFC. It’s very hard to predict what’s going to happen in this fight, but I definitely think there’s a chance Inoue wins it by finish.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is MMAdamMartin) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.