UFC 193 features the two most dominant female fighters in the world: Ronda Rousey and Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Below are the studs and value plays for UFC 193 to help fill out your DraftKings lineups:
Best Plays on the Card
Ronda Rousey ($11,400) vs. Holly Holm
There really isn’t much to say about this one. I can give you a bunch of stats but it comes down to Rousey being the safest play in DFS.
Rousey has won all 12 of her fights by stoppage, 11 in the first round. Her last five fights have lasted a total of 3:08. None of Rousey’s last three fights have gone longer than 34 seconds. If you’re looking for an easy 100+ points, it doesn’t come much easier than putting Rousey in your lineup.
Holm is a former professional boxer and kickboxer. Her one shot to shock the world is to use those skills to keep Rousey on the outside and pick her apart. The problem is while Holm is an excellent striker, Rousey’s striking has improved greatly over the last couple of years as well.
Holm has the kind of style it might take to beat Rousey but she hasn’t faced the competition to think an upset will happen. The only real downside with Rousey right now she’s going to be owned by 50+ percent of players. Other than that, expect another first round knockout.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($11,300) vs. Valerie Letourneau
If you decide too many players are going to be on Rousey and want to take a different approach, building a roster around Jedrzejczyk is another option.
Jedrzejczyk is the second best female fighter on the planet behind Rousey. Simply put: Letourneau is out of her league.
Jedrzejczyk landed 179 strikes in her last two fights where she dismantled Carla Esparza and Jessica Penne. Letourneau throws a lot of strikes but she only has an accuracy rate of 38 percent. If this fight stays standing, Jedrzejczyk will have a big advantage.
Letourneau’s best chance to pull an upset is to take the fight to the ground. She’s a strong wrestler but Jedrzejczyk has a takedown defense rate of 84 percent. It’s a shot in the dark.
To be honest, this fight is a bigger mismatch than the main event and Jedrzejczyk is as big a favorite as Rousey. That’s why her DraftKings salary is only $100 less.
Jedrzejczyk will win this fight easily and she won’t be owned by nearly as many players as Rousey. Don’t be afraid to make Jedrzejczyk the cornerstone of your lineups.
Gian Villante ($10,900) vs. Anthony Perosh
I took Villante when he faced Tom Lawlor. Villante didn’t fight smart, rushed in when he didn’t have to and got knocked out.
That’s a problem with Villante. Sometimes he doesn’t fight smart. It’s an underrated aspect of MMA. If Villante doesn’t do anything dumb against Perosh on Saturday night, he’ll get an early finish.
Perosh is now 42 and he’s lost three of his last five fights dating back to 2012. He got knocked out in the first round in two of those losses. Perosh has actually only been out of Round 1 once in six fights since 2011. That plays right into Villante’s hands because he’s had cardio issues in the past.
When fighters get older, they become easier to knock out. That’s been the case with Perosh. Five of his last six losses have come by knockout. Villante has eight career wins by knockout. Perosh will be lucky to get out of Round 1.
Lay the wood with Villante. He’s the best bet of any male fighter on the card Saturday.
Best Value Plays for the Price
Antonio Silva ($8,900) vs. Mark Hunt
Many times I’ll take an underdog when I believe the fight is even and it can go either way. This is one of those times.
Silva has been knocked out in three of his last five fights. Hunt has lost two fights in a row and been knocked out in each, so this isn’t exactly a battle of the titans.
This is a rematch of a fight from 2013 that ended in a draw. So not only do I see this as an even fight it was proven two years ago when they met in the Octagon. Silva failed a post-fight drug test but their first meeting saw a lot of strikes thrown. Hunt landed 103 strikes, while Silva landed 97.
I don’t expect these two to go the distance this time. I feel Hunt is a little overvalued and Silva is a little undervalued. If you fill your roster with favorites and need a lower salary fighter to round out your lineup, Silva is worth a shot.
One of these two fighters is likely to get knocked out early. Go with the value.