The PGA Tour’s second to last stop in Florida is this weekend at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort near Tampa, and there are plenty of interesting choices to be made. This is a tournament that is capable of yielding big fantasy points, so you will want guys who can rack up the strokes when they’re available.
Henrik Stenson ($12,100) – Stenson fits the mold of somewhat unexpected winners at Copperhead over the past couple of years, if only because it’s his first time playing here. But on the other hand, he is one of the best players in the world, so not that surprising. His game is perfectly suited for the course – at his best, his precision play not only takes what it can get while avoiding the blow-up holes, but it opens up birdie chances when other players are struggling to make GIR.
Ryan Moore ($9,400) – Inside the top-25 in each of his last three, including a T-9 last weekend at the WGC-Cadillac, Moore has had 45 birdies in that stretch, vs. only 30 bogeys. Numbers don’t tell the story in a game with as much week-to-week variance as golf, but those numbers do at least show a man in control of his game at the moment. And control will go a long way in this one.
Daniel Berger ($8,400) – Berger didn’t compete at the WGC-Cadillac last weekend, so he is still looking to get back on the course off his second-place finish at the Honda Classic. Anyone who can compete with a field like we had in that one is a threat on any given weekend, but lest you read this and think “one week – probably a fluke,” Berger has actually now had five top-25 finishes in six 2015 appearances. These include three top-10s in his last four, against some excellent competition. He’s had six out of seven with ten of fewer bogeys, and also had 56 birdies in his last three. If he keeps playing like this, he is a perfect fit for this course, and, he’ll have a long career on Tour. Because right now, he’s good.
Kevin Na ($8,300) – He finished second here last year, he finished T-9 last weekend, and even in his bad showings, he doesn’t shoot really high scores. He missed the cut at Pebble Beach, and he still only had ten holes over par in three rounds. Na has the talent to beat anyone on Tour, and this course has shown a tendency to provide opportunities for exactly that to happen. Na has the kind of game that will allow him to land shots of all types – whether it’s off the tee or coming into an elevated green with a long iron – to create birdie opportunities where you do not think one existed, to go along with the confidence to go head to head with any of the best players in the game. Both of those qualities could serve him well in this one.
Retief Goosen ($6,500) – One of only two players ever (along with K.J. Choi) to win this tournament twice, and he is actually still playing some good golf on occasion. He’s proven that his game fits this course, and even last year, he made the cut and finished 44th, which would be a decent value for this cheap of an investment this weekend.