TPC Southwind in Memphis is the next stop on the PGA Tour, as the FedEx St. Jude Classic tees off this Thursday. Here are a few of the golfers I like best in every price range to help you sort through all the options.
Phil Mickelson ($11,300) – Mickelson has been no worse than T11 here over the last three years, with a -10 T2 in 2013, and a T11 and a T3 over the next two years. He is always one to plan his schedule around peaking at the majors, and coming off a T20 at the Memorial in which he racked up 23 birdies, he looks to be on his way to doing that once again.
Brooks Koepka ($11,100) – He has played here twice, finishing T19 in his debut, and improving on that with a T3 last year that featured four rounds under par, including an opening round of 64. The last time we saw him was at the Byron Nelson where he secured a solo-2nd with a ridiculous 64-65-64 in the first three rounds on his way to 108.5 DKFP (DraftKings Fantasy Points)
Daniel Berger ($10,100) – The man who currently sits at 160th on Tour in Driving Accuracy shouldn’t need to worry about the biggest weak link in his game as much this week. For a par-70 with a scoring average of 70.933 last year, TPC Southwind can be surprisingly forgiving off the tee. The rest of Berger’s game could allow him to capitalize on the opportunity and give you a good return even at his relatively high price.
Harris English ($9,900) – If your game off the tee isn’t going to determine your fate this weekend, you better either be attacking pins consistently with your second shot or really be in control of your putter. English, currently ranked 12th in Strokes Gained: Putting, typically chooses the latter route. Southwind is a course where he should be comfortable, having won here in 2013 with a low round of 64, and where he has been under par in eight of the ten rounds he has played.
David Hearn ($8,400) – At 34th on Tour in GIR%, the strength of his game is in his approaches. He has been inside the top-30 in each of his last three appearances, averaging almost 16 birdies a tournament over that span, a run that’s included some tough courses and deep fields: T28 at The PLAYERS, T17 at Dean & Deluca and T27 at the Memorial last weekend.
Brendan Steele ($7,900) – He finished up at T20 last weekend after opening up with a 65. A 75 on Saturday ruined his chances at finishing higher, but he still netted his owners 92 DKFP. That officially counts as upside for a player who has also been showing some consistency recently, with three top-20 performances in his last four attempts.
Chad Campbell ($7,800) – A nice convergence of recent play and history for a player in this price range. In his last two starts, he secured a T12 at the Byron Nelson and followed that up with a T10 at Colonial. If he can keep up that form, this weekend should go well too, as he’s played here six times now and has made the cut each time. A T8 last year saw him shoot -7 without a single round over par.
Retief Goosen ($7,600) – He simply has to be mentioned here – it’s getting hard to ignore, so you can’t pass him over at this price level without at least stopping to give him a second thought. He’s now 11-for-12 in made cuts on the season, and while he might only have one top-ten finish, he has three more inside the top-15, including each of his last two (T14 at the Wells Fargo Championship and T12 at The PLAYERS).
Tim Wilkinson ($7,200) – He has been making cuts all season long, getting to the final day every time out except for Pebble Beach and the Farmers Insurance Open. He is giving you a lot of consistency for this price, which is reflected in a 65.5 DKFP scoring average – he just doesn’t have those complete disasters bringing down his overall average. That makes him a great option in cash games, and recent finishes like his T11 at the Wells Fargo and a T4 at the Byron Nelson Challenge demonstrate that he has some upside as well.
Scott Brown ($7,100) – Coming off three straight missed cuts, he rebounded nicely lastly weekend, with a T27 finish at the Memorial that could have been a lot better if it wasn’t for his 74 on Sunday. For this price, you’d be happy with the 81.5 DKFP he recorded in the process. He holed 18 birdies going 69-67-69 over the first three rounds, good form coming to a course where he went through a similar progression last year, shooting 65-69-68-72 to ultimately finish T12.
Camilo Villegas ($6,900) – This is based on nothing but price tag and course history. He has finished inside the top-20 here seven times and when you are choosing players in this price range, that is just what you are looking for. Yes, it’d be great to pick a winner from this group, but a if he finishes anywhere even near the T11 he netted in 2014, this was the best $6,900 you can spend.
Will MacKenzie ($6,600) – Ranked 75th in SG: Tee-to-Green and just outside the top-50 in GIR %, he has the skill-set to succeed here if he can make a few putts. Coming off a tough run with a T59 and two MCs in April and May, he ended up T24 at the Byron Nelson in his last appearance. For a bargain-basement price, he would be a steal with another showing like that (19 birdies and 81 DKFP).