The AT&T Byron Nelson Championship at the TPC Four Seasons Resort in Irving, Texas. It’s a mouthful. But it’s also a stop on the Tour that has attracted a pretty good field, so learn it. The whole thing. And check out this list for some golfers to target for your DFS lineups at every price range.
Jordan Spieth ($13,300) – Spieth has played here four times, and never finished inside the top-15, decidedly not great for $13,300. But that being said, it is completely impossible to ignore the fact that he has finished either 1st or 2nd in five of his last seven tournaments, even if he did miss the cut at The Players (by shooting 75-72, the bum). He might win, break the course record, and dash your fading hopes all over 18th green – you never know.
Jason Day ($11,200) – Day is so unpredictable, it’s really difficult to trust him in a DFS lineup sometimes. But if you’re going to do it, this might be the course to do it on – he has finished first, fifth, T9 and T27 here in his last four appearances (2010-2013 – he didn’t appear here last year). Also, in the PGA Breakdown, I mentioned the relative importance of par-4 scoring on this course, which is something Day leads in or comes close almost every year, with his combination of solid iron play and great scrambling ability around the hole.
Brandt Snedeker ($10,000) – Snedeker played better than he has in a couple of month last weekend, en route to his T2 finish, but what was most noticeable was his putting. He is always solid, but his ranking in Strokes Gained: Putting (my new favorite stat) rose from T7 to third after last weekend, and that’s the kind of putting stroke that will keep you near the top of the leaderboard even if you aren’t playing your best in every other facet of the game. Which he is.
Matt Kuchar ($9,500) – Another player with a great history on the course (top 15 in three of the last four), and also with the stats to fit this course, currently sitting at third in par-4 scoring.
Justin Thomas ($9,200) – I just love recommending this guy. But I will say, I’ve been doing exactly since he was about $1,500 cheaper than this, and this is about my ceiling. If his price keeps going up, I just don’t know if he has the consistency in his game just yet to warrant picking him over guys like Poulter, Kuchar, and Zach Johnson, who are one short tier above him right now. But at this price, I think they’ve finally got it right – just enough to make you wonder if you’re doing the right thing, not to make you feel like you’re stealing.
Marc Leishman ($8,800) – He finished T2 here last year, and that wasn’t the first time, as he finished T2 here in 2012 as well. And those are just two of his five top-12 finishes here since 2009. Considering that he’s also been inside the top-20 in each of his last three, and last weekend didn’t have a single round over 70, I would say his game and the Tour stop are converging in the right place and at the right time to get Leishman active in your lineups right now.
Brendon Todd ($8,600) – This is nothing but a chance to remind you he won here last year. He’s not playing great right now, but he clearly likes this place after last year’s performance and a T17 the year before that.
Rory Sabbatini ($8,400) – Sabbatini – just when you never thought you would recommend him for a DFS lineup again, he goes out and finishes in the top ten twice in his last three, including a crazy T6 at The Players that featured two weekend rounds under 70 and only seven total holes over par. And in case you were wondering if he likes the course, well, he won here in 2009 while setting the 72-hole course record with a 161.
John Huh ($8,300) – He has finished in the top-20 here each of the last two years, and maybe he just likes Texas in general, because he notched an eight-under 18th place finish last weekend at the Crowne Plaza Championship.
Russell Henley ($7,900) – Top-25 in three of his last four, including a T24 at The Players that featured 50 holes played to par. That kind of consistency, banging out pars on par 4’s is exactly what you need on a course that features winning scores hovering right around the -10 mark. This is not a tournament that requires a ton of birdies, so expect somewhat lower fantasy scores than you might be used to.
Jerry Kelly ($7,900) – Last four starts: T10, T17, T22, T18. I am not necessarily expecting him to win this weekend, but he has been grinding out those quality finishes over the past month or so with a ton of pars and not many bogeys, which will be enough to keep him around the useful part of the leaderboard this weekend.
Brooks Koepka ($7,700) – I actually think Koepka is a solid pick to win this tournament, which is great if you believe it for a guy that costs only $7,700. He’s cherry-picking his appearances on the PGA Tour, it appears, with only ten appearances so far (along with a couple of appearances in Europe). In his last showing, he missed the cut at The Players because of a 78 he shot in round 1. But he shot a 67 in round 2 – it just wasn’t quite enough to make up for Thursday. But he has got the all-around game to make a serious run for the top of the leaderboard this weekend, and I for one want to be part of it.
Whee Kim ($7,200) – Kim is another player who got on my radar for this one in part because of how he has been performing on par-4’s this season, But then you look a bit closer and you see three top-25 performances in his last six tournaments, including a T8 at the Zurich Classic only a month ago that featured a 64 on Sunday. Kim is only 23 years old, and if right now isn’t the time that he starts to turn a corner and show up near the top of many of these tournaments, that time could very well still be coming.