It is going to be a very interesting week as the PGA Tour moves to the Memorial Tournament with the world’s top 3 golfers each coming off wins in their most recent appearances. With so many top golfers in the field this week, lineup construction and roster selection will be more critical than ever. Below is a list of golfers I love, like, and hate this week for help when building lineups.
Golfers I Love
Jordan Spieth ($12,300) – Having Jordan Spieth in my love section may need no explanation at all after his impressive victory last week at the Dean and DeLuca invitational. One of the world’s best putters is getting hot with the putter, and that is a trend I’m willing to get on board with.
Dustin Johnson ($10,100) – It’s very easy to overlook Dustin Johnson with some of the popular names surrounding him this week, but DJ has made 7 out of 8 cuts historically at this event and has been playing better than ever. I will expect DJ to be low owned in GPPs this week with supreme upside, so he will be a strong consideration in my GPP lineups this week.
Bubba Watson ($9,600) – While it’s been awhile since Bubba has done anything magical, he does still contain winning upside and at only $9,600 he is cheaper than he has been nearly all season. Bubba’s distance off the tee may not set up well at Muirfield Golf Club. However, many will overlook the fact that Bubba Watson’s approach stats are elite in every way which will suit him very well here.
Byeong-Hun An ($7,700) – Byeong Hun An has only played this event once way back in 2010, and he missed the cut. However, his scoring average in 2010 was nearly 2.5 strokes worse than it is now. Hun An’s exhibited top 10 upside and projects very well in my statistical model which will definitely have him as a consideration in my GPP lineups this week.
Johnson Wagner ($5,900) – Wagner has a very interesting price at under $6k, and he will be a strong consideration for me in cash games this week. If you are looking to build lineups that include some of the world’s top golfers you’ll need to find some value, and Wagner has made 6 cuts in his last 7 events. While he doesn’t have a ton of upside, his price is low enough that a made cut is enough.
Golfers I Like
Rory McIlroy ($12,200) – While McIlroy’s recent win was on the European Tour, we finally saw him close out a tournament in convincing fashion which was all I was waiting to see. Having watched McIlroy a lot the last few months it seems he was just around the corner from getting his game to click, and now that we’ve seen it for four rounds, I’m ready to jump on board.
Hideki Matsuyama ($10,600) – Hideki Matsuyama has some of the best recent form in the field this week having top 10s in 3 of his last 5 appearances and a top 11 to boot. His game and his form are exactly what I’m looking for coming into a strong field tournament like the Memorial, and as a past champion, he certainly has winning potential. I like Matsuyama for both cash and GPP formats this week.
Matt Kuchar ($9,900) – Kuchar does not project well in my statistical model which is the only reason he doesn’t make the “love” section of this article. With 8 straight made cuts at this event and 5 top 10s, a win, and never having finished outside the top 30, Kuchar is a phenomenal play. Oh and by the way, Kuchar’s last three finishes on Tour are 6th, 3rd, and 3rd.
Justin Thomas ($8,200) – Justin Thomas has been quietly consistent with 6 made cuts in his last 7 tries. His most recent event was a 3rd place finish, and I like him to do well on this course again this week making him a good consideration in GPPs as well.
J.B. Holmes ($7,600) – In terms of skill alone, J.B. Holmes is way underpriced. His high Birdie or Better Percentage from the fairway at 27.1% through 2016 leaves me looking to cash in on Holmes’ upside in fantasy.
Golfers I Hate
Rickie Fowler ($10,300) – It’s difficult to stomach putting a golfer as skilled as Rickie Fowler in my hate list; however, when I scan the salary list on Draftkings, I continue to feel that Rickie is the least likely to win in the $10k and up range which makes him a fade in my book. My thoughts on Rickie are only further solidified by his two straight missed cuts at this event and 2 missed cuts in his last four events.
Phil Mickelson ($9,100) – Phil Mickelson does not have the upside I initially hoped he did earlier in the season. It seems as though he has been suffering from fatigue, and his game has betrayed him as of late. Based on what we’ve seen out of Phil’s 3 recent missed cuts in 4 events, he will continue to remain a fade for me.
Chris Kirk ($8,300) – Chris Kirk is priced over $8,000 which leaves me comparing him to some of the game’s best scorers. However, Kirk hails in comparison in terms of upside. While Kirk has been somewhat consistent as of late, it’s his 147th ranking in birdie or better percentage that has me a bit worried.
Marc Leishman ($7,900) – I won’t necessarily be ruling Leishman out of cash games this week, but in GPPs I don’t think he has the upside we are looking for at his price. He hasn’t cracked the top 10 in the last 15 weeks, and despite his glowing stats, I don’t believe in him enough at this point to want to roster him in GPPs.
John Huh ($6,600) – John Huh is a golfer who has been talked about in the past in terms of PGA fantasy. However, last week marked his 6th straight missed cut, and with that kind of form he can’t be trusted in any formats. For that reason I am going to be fading Huh.
Do you have questions about golfers who aren’t in this article? Get more weekly analysis and answers to any of your questions by following me on Twitter @BradMessersmith