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So what are the considerations you should be sure you have in mind as your make those final roster moves leading into Thursday morning?
Let’s take a look at what could end up being a few keys to building the perfect lineup:
1. No cut. This is more than just knowing all of your picks will have four days to rack up fantasy points, because obviously that affects everyone equally. But there are certain golfers who might benefit more – players who have high birdie or better averages but who aren’t as consistent (think Justin Thomas). Sometimes that cut line represents a little too much risk to roster these players, but knowing that they could score like someone who finishes in the top-25 even if they are only barely in the top-40 certainly boosts their usefulness.
2. The field. When the field is this good, it feels easier to pick the winner than it does to pick six guys who all finish in the top-10, or even top-20. But when this is how you think, building a lineup becomes all about picking the right one of the most expensive options and then filling in the backend. And, obviously, there are a couple of problems with this approach, starting with the fact that the if you pick the wrong top option and they don’t finish well, you’ve basically ruined any chance at making it into the money.
If you want to get technical (and if you don’t want to get technical, skip to the next paragraph) and think about a DraftKings price as a reflection of risk, think about it this way: you have an average salary to spend of $8,333. Jason day costs $4,200 more than that. Theoretically then, you could take someone who costs $4,200 less than that, pair him with day, and your total risk would be the same as two golfers at $8,400 each. The problem is that $4,200 less would be $4,200, and the cheapest golfer on the board costs $6,600. So, rostering Day can’t be balanced off with one good, cheap pick. He is impacting multiple picks, reducing the chances you have of picking correctly at every other roster spot (i.e., increasing risk).
3. The course. The course had a scoring average just over 70 in 2013, so there is definitely enough of a challenge, but the top few players were all at double-digit strokes under par by the end, so there is also plenty of fantasy action. The course has been lengthened and had some hazards added since then, so it will only be more difficult, not less, but if you choose wisely you could still put up a big number.