Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

RankDriverSalary
1Matt Kenseth$9,800
2Kevin Harvick$10,400
3Kyle Busch$10,600
4Brad Keselowski$9,300
5Martin Truex Jr$10,200

1. Matt Kenseth ($9,800) – Over the last 10 races Kenseth is averaging 50 fantasy points per race. If you throw out a -4 point performance at Daytona, he’s averaging 56 points per race. Kenseth won last Fall’s Pocono race, and finished inside the top 10 in the last 3 Pocono races. (4.2 fppk)

2. Kevin Harvick ($10,400) – Some drivers would love to have Harvick’s problems. The only question mark here is the #4 pit crew. The car and the driver are locked in, but the crew has let him down several times this season. Last week the crew was fine, but no one was beating Kyle Busch. (6.3 fppk)

3. Kyle Busch ($10,600) – Pocono is not a great track for Rowdy. Of course, that was the case with Martinsville earlier this year, and Rowdy dominated both races that weekend. Over the last 10 Pocono races, Busch has finished outside of the top 20 five times. (5.2 fppk)

4. Brad Keselowski ($9,300) – The Penske cars were missing just a little at Indy, and they didn’t have track position. They tried to play a pit strategy game, but it didn’t work. At Pocono, BK has 4 top 10’s in his last 6 races. (4.8 fppk)

5. Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,200) – Kyle Busch stole the show, but Truex was impressive at Indy. He ran the third most fast laps last week. That’s the third race in a row that he’s finished inside the top 3 in fast laps. (5.8 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
6Joey Logano$9,500
7Carl Edwards$9,700
8Jimmie Johnson$10,000
9Chase Elliott$8,700
10Kurt Busch$8,900

6. Joey Logano ($9,500) – In 7 of the last 8 races, Logano has topped 40 fantasy points. At Pocono, Logano has 3 top 5’s in the last 4 races. He finished 20th in the Fall 2015 races. He was leading with 3 laps left, but ran out of gas. (3.8 fppk)

7. Carl Edwards ($9,700) – At New Hampshire and Indianapolis, Edwards ran inside the top 10 the entire race. In the end, Edwards had nothing to show for it after dust ups late in each race. (4.9 fppk)

8. Jimmie Johnson ($10,000) – Hendrick has been very good at Pocono. Spending up for Johnson may not be necessary, but Johnson got back in the good graces of DFS players last week. He finished 3rd at Indianapolis and scored the 3rd most fantasy points. (3.7 fppk)

9. Chase Elliott ($8,700) – Indianapolis was a disappointing run for a car that was very fast in practice (Top 5 speed in practice, but 18th average running position in the race). At Pocono in the Spring, Elliott finished 4th and scored the most fantasy points. (3.8 fppk)

10. Kurt Busch ($8,900) – The top 10’s are no longer routine, but Kurt won the Spring Pocono race. Busch’s 17 top 10’s at Pocono ranks 3rd. It’s hard to pass on 41 ppr at a sub $9,000 price. (4.4 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
11Jeff Gordon$8,800
12Denny Hamlin$9,100
13Kyle Larson$8,500
14Tony Stewart$8,100
15Ryan Newman$7,700

11. Jeff Gordon ($8,800) – The best car at Pocono is the 88. Period. Junior won both races in 2014, finished 4th and 11th in 2015, and he finished 2nd in the Spring Pocono race this year. There is one concern: restarts are crucial and Gordon struggles on restarts. It’s going to be a busy week in the simulator for Gordon. (4.5 fppk)

12. Denny Hamlin ($9,100) – The Daytona 500 win is a distant memory, but Hamlin has been solid this summer. His price tag might be a little steep for just a solid performance. He finished 4th at the long, flat track in Indy last week. (2.9 fppk)

13. Kyle Larson ($8,500) – Pocono and Indianapolis are Larson’s best tracks. He ran inside the top 15 for 99% of the race last week. At Pocono, He’s never finished outside of the top 15. (3.8 fppk)

14. Tony Stewart ($8,100) – This isn’t a fairy tale. It’s more than likely that Smoke will not win another NASCAR race ever again. It’s not a nightmare either. Top 15’s and slightly better should be the final chapters of this story. (3.3 fppk)

15. Ryan Newman ($7,700) – Over the last 10 races, Newman is averaging a 12th place finish. He’s only had one bad race, last week at Indianapolis (31st). It wasn’t a bad race, but he fell victim to the restart wreck monster. Toss that race out and Newman is averaging a 10th place finish over that span. (4.0 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
16Kasey Kahne$8,100
17Jamie McMurray$7,600
18Ryan Blaney$7,400
19Austin Dillon$7,900
20Clint Bowyer$6,900

16. Kasey Kahne ($8,100) – The NASCAR media paints this story differently. Kahne is on the Chase bubble and it’s been a long time since he last won. The narrative is uncertainty, adversity and doubt. The fantasy NASCAR narrative is the opposite. Kahne is averaging 33 fantasy points over his last 10 races. Throw out the two duds and that number jumps to 40 points per race. (3.3 fppk)

17. Jamie McMurray ($7,600) – He’s a solid cash play. McMurray wrecked in the summer Daytona race (plate track volatility), but other than that race, his worst finish is an acceptable 26th. (3.9 fppk)

18. Ryan Blaney ($7,400) – Be careful with finishing position stats. Blaney finished 36th at Indy, but his average running position was 18th. Blaney ran inside the top 15 for most of the Pocono race, avoided the mayhem on restarts and finished 10th. (3.3 fppk)

19. Austin Dillon ($7,900) – The Spring Pocono race was a mess and Dillon got caught up in the carnage. Before the Spring mayhem, Dillon had a top 20 in each of his Pocono races. If a restart goes Dillon’s way, he could be a top 10 car this weekend. (3.9 fppk)

20. Clint Bowyer ($6,900) – There will be plenty of wrecks at Pocono, so the small teams will likely finish on the lead lap. Bowyer didn’t have the best ride last week at Indy, but the chaos turned a 26th average running position into a 21st finish. Bowyer has 17 top 20’s in 21 Pocono races. (4.2 fppk)


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.