Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

RankDriverSalary
1Kevin Harvick$10,700
2Martin Truex Jr$10,400
3Joey Logano$9,600
4Denny Hamlin$9,300
5Kyle Busch$10,600

1. Kevin Harvick ($10,700) – It was bound to happen. After praising Harvick’s fantasy point consistency, he finished 20th at Chicago. It took quite a bit to derail Harvick’s fast car, and I don’t think that will happen again. Harvick dominated the New Hampshire fall race last season. (6.3 fppk)

2. Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,400) – Martin Truex has had 82, 136 and 93 FPTS in his last 3 races. He has led the most laps and has run the 2nd most fast laps in 2016. (5.8 fppk)

3. Joey Logano ($9,600) – Don’t be surprised if Logano is holding the Sprint Cup Championship trophy in November. He should have won last year. His 2nd place finish at Chicago was his 13th top 10 in the last 15 races. At New Hampshire, Logano has 4 consecutive top 5 finishes. (3.8 fppk)

4. Denny Hamlin ($9,300) – During his current 9 race long top 10 streak, Hamlin has averaged 54 points per race. He may not be the #1 or #2 top tier DFS play, but if you have 3 top tier drivers in your lineup, Denny Hamlin could be a strong consideration. (3.8 fppk)

5. Kyle Busch ($10,600) – There is just a little bit missing in the 18 car. Starting from the pole, Kyle Busch only scored 30 points last week. New Hampshire is a great track for Rowdy (70 points or more in 3 of the last 5), and he’s raced well at the short, flat tracks this season, but he just doesn’t have dominant speed at the moment. (4.9 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
6Brad Keselowski$9,900
7Matt Kenseth$10,100
8Carl Edwards$9,800
9Kurt Busch$8,900
10Jimmie Johnson$9,500

6. Brad Keselowski ($9,900) – Over the last 6 New Hampshire races, BK’s average running position is 7th (2nd best in NASCAR). Over that span, he has either dominated the DFS scoreboard or was the next car in line. (4.9 fppk)

7. Matt Kenseth ($10,100) – Has Kenseth had the best car at each of the last 6 New Hampshire races? No, but by running up front and making the right pit moves, Kenseth has won 3 of those races. (3.7 fppk)

8. Carl Edwards ($9,800) – The JGR Toyotas have been the cars to beat at short tracks this season. In the first 4 short track races, Edwards grabbed two wins, a 2nd and a 6th place finish. In the next 4 short track races, his day ended in wrecks at 3 chaotic races and finished 6th at Bristol. (4.3 fppk)

9. Kurt Busch ($8,900) – During the first half of the season, Kurt Busch’s top 10s were routine. That’s no longer the case. Making matters worse is that Kurt Busch has not been a threat to score fast laps and laps led points. (3.9 fppk)

10. Jimmie Johnson ($9,500) – Just like that, the playoffs begin and Jimmie Johnson is a contender. Johnson was fast in practice during the July New Hampshire race, and he won the pole, but he disappeared during the race. (3.6 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
11Kyle Larson$9,100
12Jamie McMurray$7,800
13Kasey Kahne$7,400
14Alex Bowman$7,700
15Ryan Blaney$7,600

11. Kyle Larson ($9,100) – As if starting from the back was not enough, Larson developed a tire issue and was forced to make an unscheduled pit stop at the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400. It could have been worse. Larson salvaged the day with an 18th place finish. (4.2 fppk)

12. Jamie McMurray ($7,800) – In the last 6 New Hampshire races, McMurray has 3 top 10s. His average running position at New Hampshire over that span is 12th. (4.2 fppk)

13. Kasey Kahne ($7,400) – This isn’t a top 10 car, but it can easily finish inside the top 10 each week. During late race cautions, the best cars pit in order to battle for the win. Last week, Kahne stayed out during a caution, and he finished with a top 10. I think he can pull this off again at New Hampshire. (3.8 fppk)

14. Alex Bowman ($7,700) – Dale Earnhardt, Jr.’s next revitalization project earned his first career top 10 at Chicago. In my opinion, Bowman has a top 10 car at $8,000. In the July race, Bowman steadily worked his way into the top 10 before blowing a tire with 30 laps remaining. (3.0 fppk)

15. Ryan Blaney ($7,600) – This could be a great run for Blaney. He didn’t make the playoffs, so points are meaningless. Blaney will go for it and shoot for top 10 finishes each week. This strategy worked at Chicago. Blaney earned a top 5 by staying on track during the last caution. (3.5 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
16Ricky Stenhouse Jr$6,700
17Chase Elliott$8,700
18Greg Biffle$7,200
19Ryan Newman$8,000
20Austin Dillon$8,200

16. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. ($6,700) – Roush showed up with decent cars in the July New Hampshire race. They did not dominate, but they were fast enough to hang around the top 20. When the checkered flag flew, Roush had two cars inside the top 10. (3.5 fppk)

17. Chase Elliott (8,700) – The Hendrick cars had speed last week. We’ll see if they can carry that speed over to a short track. Elliot’s strong suit has not been short tracks (average finish of 14th). He’ll need to qualify poorly to be in play this weekend for me. (4.1 fppk)

18. Greg Biffle (7,200) – Biffle’s back-to-back top 5s at New Hampshire are a matter of circumstance. On the other hand, New Hampshire favors circumstance over driver dominance. I think the cars that hang around the top 20 and pick the right strategy will score big time fantasy points this weekend. (3.1 fppk)

19. Ryan Newman ($8,000) – In the last 15 New Hampshire races, Newman has 12 top 20s. His average finish in those 12 races is 9th. Unfortunately, his current form is not that strong. Over his last 5 races, Newman is averaging a 20th place finish. (3.7 fppk)

20. Austin Dillon ($8,200) – The regular season is over, but I guess no one told Austin Dillon. Finishing 14th won’t cut it in the playoffs. Ask Jamie McMurray. He was eliminated after finishing 14th, 14th and 4th last season. (3.9 fppk)


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.