Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
1. Matt Kenseth ($10,400) – Two wins in the last three races (120 pts last week) will push a driver up to the number one spot. Kenseth has an average finish of 4th over his last 6 races.
2. Kyle Busch ($10,300) – JGR is fast and confident. Kyle didn’t produce spectacular stats, but he drove through the field with ease at a track where he’s historically struggled.
3. Kevin Harvick ($10,500) – In the last five races, Harvick blew an engine at Pocono and finished inside the top 3 in the other 4 races. Throw out Pocono, Harvick averages 71 fppg over the last 4.
4. Martin Truex Jr. ($9,000) – If a driver qualifies 20th or worse and runs the fastest time in the last practice, then that driver is a must play. Truex easily drove through the field on his way to a 72 fantasy point day aided by fast laps and place differential.
5. Joey Logano ($10,000) – Logano raced well at Michigan and finished 7th. He had a fast car, but it was impossible to pass the leader with the new rules package. It was disappointing to see Logano outside of the top 5.
6. Dale Earnhardt Jr. ($8,300) – With DFS scores of 51, 31, and 35, Junior has not been blowing DFS players away. However, his $8,300 salary is just too cheap. Junior has a high floor and a high probability of being a top 5 DFS performer.
7. Brad Keselowski ($10,100) – Brad hasn’t had a bad DFS day since Kentucky. His last three race have not been elite performances, but they’re only one step down. It’s a Penske & JGR world.
8. Jimmie Johnson ($9,400) – The summer swoon has continued, and Jimmie has no business being ranked inside the top 10. Why is he #8? He’s still Jimmie Johnson and his salary at DraftKings is the cheapest it has ever been.
9. Paul Menard ($7,500) – Menard provides value , but he’s not a value pick. He’s been a consistently strong driver all year. If the playoffs started today, then he would be in with plenty of room to spare. This is a top notch driver on sale every week.
10. Ryan Newman ($7,600) – Newman is a carbon copy of Menard. Both drive for RCR. Only 5 points separates them in the standings. Neither lead laps or run fast laps. They finish better than they qualify. They’re cheap.
11. Aric Almirola ($7,400) – The Cuban Missile’s price is slowly rising, but it should peak soon. Almirola’s 35 fppg is the 11th highest. With 6 drivers to pick from, Almirola makes for a safe value play each week.
12. Carl Edwards ($9,500) – With 5 top 10s in the last 6 races for Carl, there must be something to this idea that Kyle Busch’s return invigorated the JGR team. Unfortunately, Edwards has not scored a lot of DFS points and he’s experienced a price bump.
13. Kurt Busch ($10,200) – Kurt raced well at Bristol in the Spring and dominated Richmond, but Richmond isn’t Bristol. His 10k range salary is too high for a driver that has not been elite in over a month.
14. Jeff Gordon ($8,400) – We’re all aware of Gordon’s struggles, but they’re overexaggerated. Going back to Daytona, Gordon’s had two really bad weeks, but in the other 5 races, Gordon scored 31 points or more. Gordon has Hendrick upside and a salary almost $2,000 cheaper than Harvick.
15. Jamie McMurray ($7,900) – He’s not going to light up the scoreboard, but at his price, he’ll fill out a team. Jamie Mac can help DFS players get into the money, but it’s unlikely he’s on a team that claims first place.
16. Kasey Kahne ($8,200) – Let’s be honest, he’s been horrible since June. What’s Kahne got going for him? A Hendrick engine and he must win to make the Chase. Kahne is on GPP watch for the next month.
17. Denny Hamlin ($9,200) – Believe it or not, but Hamlin’s 39 fppg is the 9th best in NASCAR. A lot of those points came earlier this year. While JGR has been heated up this summer, Hamlin has cooled down. Making matter worse is his 9K price tag.
18. Clint Bowyer ($8,100) – Before last week’s wreck, everything was going Clint’s way. He had finished inside the top 10 in 6 of the previous 8 races. The wreck means nothing for DFS players moving forward. Clint is and has always been just a place differential play.
19. Kyle Larson ($8,600) – Are the bad days over? Larson may have silenced his sophomore slump with finishes of 9th, 12th, 12th, and 13th in the last 4 races. He has 12 top 15 finishes this season.
20. Austin Dillon ($7,500) – Did he work the system last week? Yes, but he raced well, too. He’s relatively cheap and is solid play when he qualifies poorly. Unfortunately, Dillon is great at qualifying, but that means his car is great. Someday he’ll put it all together.