Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

RankDriverSalary
1Martin Truex Jr. $11,100
2Kevin Harvick$10,900
3Jimmie Johnson$10,600
4Kyle Busch$10,000
5Matt Kenseth$8,700

1. Martin Truex, Jr. ($11,100) – Don’t panic. The 78 car still has speed although Hurricane Matthew may have complicated last weekend’s racing. Truex wasn’t the fastest, but he was running inside the top 5 late in the race before a mechanical failure ruined his day. (6.0 fppk)

2. Kevin Harvick ($10,900) – Five Chase drivers are more than 30 points behind the leader in the standings, and Harvick is one of them. Harvick needs a classic Harvick performance. It’s a believable scenario, but so is yet another unfortunate error in a season filled with mistakes. (5.8 fppk)

3. Jimmie Johnson ($10,600) – It’s the playoffs, so the 6 time champion has stepped up his game. The 48 car has been the best car in the Chase and by far the best intermediate track car. (4.1 fppk)

4. Kyle Busch ($10,000) – If you’re going to get hot, it might as well be during the playoffs. Rowdy is primed for another strong playoff run. His car has been turning fast laps over the last several weeks and from a point perspective, he has enough of a cushion to be aggressive at Kansas. (5.1 fppk)

5. Matt Kenseth ($8,700) – He drove from 40th to 2nd last week. He should have won the Kansas fall race last season. His $9,000 price tag feels like a bargain this week. (4.0 fppk)


RankDriverSalary
6Kurt Busch$8,800
7Denny Hamlin$9,000
8Kyle Larson$9,400
9Carl Edwards$8,900
10Joey Logano$9,200

6. Kurt Busch ($8,800) – When Kurt is below $9,000, his finishing position points are enough to make him a solid GPP play. When he qualifies outside of the top 15, I think he becomes a great play. Last week Kurt drove from 23rd to 8th. (4.0 fppk)

7. Denny Hamlin ($9,000) – A top 5 (and his 11th top 10 in 12 races) turned into a DNF when his engine blew late in the race. This week, Hamlin must push the issue. No one wants to go Talladega needing a top 5 finish. (3.7 fppk)

8. Kyle Larson ($9,400) – Disaster struck at Dover, but Larson proved that he is a top tier driver by responding with a 5th place finish and the second most fantasy points at Charlotte. His poor spring Kansas race was a turning point for Larson, since that race, he has averaged 43 points per race. (4.1 fppk)

9. Carl Edwards ($8,900) – A Sprint Cup championship can be won in boring fashion, but boring sometimes doesn’t equate to fantasy points. Edwards’ current string of top 15s hasn’t helped us DFS-wise. (4.3 fppk)


RankDriverSalary
11Brad Keselowski$9,700
12Jamie McMurray$7,900
13Ryan Blaney$7,500
14Ryan Newman$8,000
15Danica Patrick$6,200

10. Joey Logano ($9,200) – This car has been just a little above average, but that is all that is needed to avoid playoff elimination. Now, Logano will need to find some speed after last weekend’s multiple wreck performance. (3.7 fppk)

11. Brad Keselowski ($9,700) – This is not what daily fantasy NASCAR players want to hear, but BK said that he and the Chasers that survived Charlotte will ‘lay up’ this weekend. It looks like a top 10 to 15 finish for Brad this weekend. Domination is doubtful. (4.9 fppk)

12. Jamie McMurray ($7,900) – Both Ganassi cars were ripped from the playoffs due to some unfortunate events. But don’t worry, these cars are fine. McMurray and Larson bounced back at Charlotte (both scored top 10s). (3.9 fppk)

13. Ryan Blaney ($7,500) – There will be weeks when Blaney is a top 5 car (spring Kansas race). There will be weeks when Blaney is a 31st place car (wreck on lap 259 at Charlotte). He’s a rookie in a top tier ride. That’s just the way it works. (3.2 fppk)

14. Ryan Newman ($8,000) – Newman has been safe and consistent at intermediate tracks. He hasn’t scored monster points, but he’s averaging 37 points per race at intermediate tracks. (3.8 fppk)

15. Danica Patrick (6,200) – Her best finish of the season (11th) wasn’t one her best fantasy days (17th best score). Danica is having the best season of her career. She’s been great in cash games, and if she qualifies in the mid twenties, then I think she’s also a great GPP play. (4.2 fppk)


RankDriverSalary
16Alex Bowman$7,700
17Aric Almirola$6,800
18Chase Elliott$9,500
19Kasey Kahne$8,500
20Austin Dillon$8,200

16. Alex Bowman ($7,700) – He looked good last week just like all of the Hendrick cars, but a flat tire ruined his day. If he qualifies inside the top 10, then I don’t think he has much fantasy value. (1.4 fppk)

17. Aric Almirola (6,800) – The 43 car has run well since changing crew chiefs. In two intermediate track races (Darlington and Chicago), Almirola suffered bad breaks. In the other 7 intermediate track races, he’s averaging a 20th place finish. (3.5 fppk)

18. Chase Elliott (9,500) – That’s a high salary for a rookie, but he’s earned it. The Hendrick cars are fast and Elliott has proven that he can dominate an intermediate track. Even with his Hendrick speed, I’m expecting low ownership this week. (4.2 fppk)

19. Kasey Kahne ($8,500) – I’m suprised Kahne’s salary didn’t increase at least a little this week. Kahne’s not a steal, but he’s on a hot streak (8 consecutive top 15 finishes) and the Hendrick cars are fast, as I mentioned before. (4.0 fppk)

20. Austin Dillon ($8,200) – At Dover, Dillon caught a break when both Ganassi cars suffered misfortune. At Charlotte, the misfortune came for Dillon. He’s not the safest pick this week, but Dillon does not have top 10 speed. He’ll have to take crazy driving risks to finish up front. (3.9 fppk)

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.