Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2015 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

RankDriverSalary
1Kyle Busch$10,200
2Kevin Harvick$10,400
3Carl Edwards$10,100
4Jimmie Johnson$10,600
5Martin Truex, Jr.$9,200

1. Kyle Busch ($10,200) – It’s not smoke and mirrors or pit stop magic. He’s raced his way to the top. Intermediate tracks + the low downforce package = Rowdy. (6.9 fppk)

2. Kevin Harvick ($10,400) – Forget scoring a win, it never seems to work out for him. Harvick has run fast laps in each 1.5 mile race and in those races he has an average running position inside the top 10. (7.4 fppk)

3. Carl Edwards ($10,100) – Perhaps it is unfair to drop Carl Edwards in the rankings for a restrictor plate race wreck. Life’s unfair. Other than Talladega, Carl Edwards has been arguably the best driver this year with two wins and 8 top 10s. (7.0 fppk)

4. Jimmie Johnson ($10,600) – If you played DFS NASCAR last season, you’ll remember Johnson failing to fulfill lofty expectations several times. It’s happened this season a couple times. Johnson has the best all around stats at Kansas. Here we go again? (5.1 fppk)

5. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9,200) – The 78 Furniture Row team is for all intents and purposes the 5th JGR car. All the speed that Kyle Busch enjoys is shared with Martin Truex. Last Spring’s Kansas race was a turning point for Truex. He proved that he belonged among the top tier drivers by leading the most laps and running the most fast laps. (4.9 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
6Brad Keselowski$9,500
7Joey Logano$9,800
8Kurt Busch$8,900
9Dale Earnhardt, Jr.$9,400
10Ryan Blaney$7,100

6. Brad Keselowski ($9,500) – Let’s not get too excited about a restrictor plate victory. There is zero correlation between plate track success and success at the other 21 tracks. BK has two wins this year, but one is a plate win and the other was a pit strategy win. (4.5 fppk)

7. Joey Logano ($9,800) – Statistically, Logano has been the best at Kansas over the last 5 races. He has two wins and a 126.9 driver rating over that span. The 22 team has failed to replicate last season’s breakout year, but that’s unfair. Logano’s 2016 Spring and 2015 Spring have been similar. He did not break out until late summer. (4.0 fppk)

8. Kurt Busch ($8,900) – Stewart-Haas Motorsports has speed. Kevin Harvick has exploited this speed to the tune of 77 fantasy points per race. Busch has not demonstrated a similar fantasy upside, but his 45 fantasy points per race average is a safe floor. (5.0 fppk)

9. Dale Earnhardt Jr. ($9,400) – We all know the story for Dale, Jr. at intermediate tracks. He’s raced well at these cookie cutter tracks, but the 10 year winless drought continues. Junior is a safe finishing position and place differential play every week. (4.6 fppk)

10. Ryan Blaney ($7,100) – Speed doesn’t come cheap, but in Blaney’s case, it does. There are more experienced drivers in his price range, but they don’t have his Penske speed. (3.4 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
11Greg Biffle$6,300
12Chase Elliott$8,400
13Denny Hamlin$8,700
14Ryan Newman$7,300
15Matt Kenseth$9,900

11. Greg Biffle ($6,300) – The Roush Fenways Ford’s have surprisingly adjusted with ease to the 2016 low downforce package. At Kansas, Biffle has an average finish of 11th. He’s finished inside the top 20 in 17 of 19 Kansas races. (4.3 fppk)

12. Chase Elliott ($8,400) – Imagine Jeff Gordon is still driving the 24 car. It’s not a stretch. Elliot has 7 top 10s, but has not dominated a race this season. That sounds just like Jeff Gordon last season. It’s finishing position and place differential points only for the 24 car. (4.0 fppk)

13. Denny Hamlin ($8,700) – At intermediate tracks this year, Hamlin has been so-so. His best finish was 12th. This is the lowest that Hamlin has been priced in two years. (3.0 fppk)

14. Ryan Newman ($7,300) – Describing Newman as safe over and over is lazy. However, there isn’t a better way to describe him. He’s finished 11th or better in his last 4 Kansas races. That’s better than safe. He has two poor performances in his last 10 Kansas race. That’s the typical Newman – safe. (3.4 fppk)

15. Matt Kenseth ($9,900) – Good car. Good driver. But when it comes down to it, you’re better off rostering his JGR teammates. At some point, Kenseth will turn it around, but we’ll need to see an exceptional weekend of fast practices before we can him. (3.1 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
16AJ Allmendinger$6,900
17Kyle Larson$7,500
18Trevor Bayne$6,400
19Jamie McMurray$7,700
20Kasey Kahne$8,200

16. AJ Allmendinger ($6,900) – Normally, Allmendinger is not in play at intermediate track races, but this is not a normal year. RCR and their technical alliance took a huge step forward this season. Allmendinger’s average finish of 16.9 is his best in 5 years. (4.8 fppk)

17. Kyle Larson ($7,500) – I would not recommend rostering Larson in cash games. In GPPs, he’s worth a flier. Many experts expected Larson, a skilled dirt racer, to excel in the new low downforce package. It hasn’t happened, but in the last intermediate track race, Larson showed signs of improvement by running inside the top 20 for most of the race. Larson has 3 top 15 finishes in 4 Kansas races. (3.1 fppk)

18. Trevor Bayne ($6,400) – Where have all the value people gone? Bayne can’t be trusted when qualifying better than 15th, but the further back he starts, the more appealing he becomes. Bayne is a top 20 driver this year. Throw in positive place differential points and he’s a DFS value target. (4.2 fppk)

19. Jamie McMurray ($7,700) – When Jamie Mac qualifies poorly, he’s a great play. Through 10 races this season, he has 8 top 20s (worst finish – 23rd). The downside is that Jamie Mac only has 2 tops 10s and one of those was at a plate track. (4.1 fppk)

20. Kasey Kahne ($8,200) – What do we do with Kasey Kahne? He’s been Mr. Irrelevant at DraftKings over the last two seasons. There is a glimmer of hope. Kahne has top 10s in the last two intermediate track races. (2.6 fppk)