Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

RankDriverSalary
1Kyle Busch$10,100
2Kevin Harvick$10,300
3Carl Edwards$9,700
4AJ Allmendinger$9,900
5Brad Keselowski$9,300

1. Kyle Busch ($10,100) – Top tier drivers do not have weaknesses. They dominate everywhere that they race. Rowdy is smooth at road courses and Watkins Glen is his preferred road course (9 top 10s in 11 races and 2 wins). (5.1 fppk)

2. Kevin Harvick ($10,300) – Similar to Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick is great everywhere. The difference is that Kyle wins in the end and Harvick is the first loser. Last year, Harvick dominated The Glen, but ran out of fuel on the last lap. It’s not fun for Harvick, but top 5s are fine in daily fantasy NASCAR. (6.3 fppk)

3. Carl Edwards ($9,700) – Last week was quiet, but Edwards ran inside the top 10 all day and finished 8th (3rd highest driver rating). At road courses, Allmendinger gets a lot of love, but many consider Carl the real king of the road. Edwards has the 2nd best average finish at road courses and the best top 10 percentage (61%). He has the best average finish at Watkins Glen (8th). (4.8 fppk)

4. AJ Allmendinger ($9,900) – In 2014, the former open wheel racer upset Marco Ambrose and secured a Chase birth at The Glen. Since then, he’s been expected to carry the road racer mantle, but a couple tough races have cost The Dinger several trophies. You can’t ask for more skill from a driver, but you can ask for a better car and a better team. (3.8 fppk)

5. Brad Keselowski ($9,300) – This isn’t Sonoma. BK prefers the high speed road racing of The Glen over the more technical road course in wine country. In his six trips to The Glen, Brad has three 2nd place finishes and a 7th place finish. He ran inside the top 10 in 2014, but lost his brakes, and finished 35th. BK runs upfront at The Glen. (4.9 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
6Joey Logano$9,500
7Martin Truex Jr$8,900
8Matt Kenseth$8,100
9Jimmie Johnson$8,800
10Tony Stewart$9,100

6. Joey Logano ($9,500) – Joining Team Penske helped Joey Logano in a lot of ways. One of the improvements was road racing. At JGR, Logano never really raced well at this Watkins Glen, but teaming up with Brad Keselowski changed that. Logano won last year’s race and has never finished outside the top 10 with Team Penske at The Glen. (3.6 fppk)

7. Martin Truex, Jr. ($8,900) – Pocono was a disaster. The car was fast as always, but a rogue lugnut busted a valve stem causing a flat tire which resulted in the 78 smacking the wall. It’s a new week, and Truex is an underrated road racer. He has the 9th best top 5 percentage (24%) and 5 top 10s in 10 races at The Glen. (5.4 fppk)

8. Matt Kenseth ($8,100) – Sonoma is dreadful for Kenseth, but Watkins Glen is much more favorable. Kenseth does not dominate The Glen, but he’s improved since switching to JGR. If you think road courses are the same, then look at Kenseth’s splits. He has 1 top 10 in 17 races at Sonoma, and top 10s in his last two races at The Glen. (4.1 fppk)

9. Jimmie Johnson ($8,800) – It looked like Johnson was going to burn fantasy NASCAR players again last week at Pocono. It turned out to be an alright day after Johnson fixed the hole in the front of his car. Alright doesn’t cut it in Fantasy NASCAR GPPs, however. (3.7 fppk)

10. Tony Stewart ($9,100) – History says he’s the greatest road racer. History also says that he’s old. Stewart won Sonoma, and every week he magically appears inside the top 10 at the end of the race. He pops up out of nowhere more than rattatas. (3.8 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
11Kurt Busch$10,400
12Kyle Larson$8,200
13Clint Bowyer$7,800
14Denny Hamlin$8,400
15Jamie McMurray$7,900

11. Kurt Busch ($10,400) – Kurt added to his massive collection of 2016 top 10 finishes (16). What’s Kurt’s story at the Glen? He’s the 3rd highest rated driver over the last 4 races, and in his two Watkins Glen races for SHR, he has two top 5s. (4.4 fppk)

12. Kyle Larson ($8,200) – There isn’t a specific track where Larson dominates (except maybe dirt), but there is a time when Larson dominates. He comes alive in the summer races. Larson has driven in 5 Sprint Cup road races and he has 4 top 15s. At Watkins Glen, he willed his way from 40th to 4th in the 2014 race, and ran inside the top 10 for most of the 2015 race. (4.0 fppk)

13. Clint Bowyer ($7,800) – There will always be small team concerns, and at Sonoma, Bowyer suffered a mechanical failure. Bowyer has the skill to finish inside the top 10 (3rd highest average finish at road courses). The concern is the car. It looked great all weekend at Sonoma, then bam, the car was toast. (4.2 fppk)

14. Denny Hamlin ($8,400) – Current Form versus Track History in a street fight – who wins? Hamlin is on a 3 race top 10 streak, but he’s terrible at Watkins Glen. Hamlin is averaging a 30th place finish over his last 6 races at Watkins Glen. In all fairness, Hamlin started his career with 4 consecutive tops 10s at The Glen, but that was seven years ago. (3 fppk)

15. Jamie McMurray ($7,900) – Last season at Watkins Glen, McMurray’s top 15 car was ruined on a restart. Normally, Jamie Mac is a top 20 guy at The Glen (8 top 20s in 13 races). No frills here, just a steady cash game pick unless he muffs qualifying. (3.9 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
16Greg Biffle$7,700
17Ryan Newman$7,100
18Kasey Kahne$7,600
19Casey Mears$6,600
20Danica Patrick$6,100

16. Greg Biffle ($7,700) – Don’t count Roush out. The cars are fast enough and their strategy plays have paid off this season. The Bif is a steady road racer. He’s finished inside the top 20 in each of the last 4 races at Watkins Glen. (3.3 fppk)

17. Ryan Newman ($7,100) – In the last 10 at the Glen, Newman has 6 top 15s and only one bad race (41st). That’s typical Newman. He’s a little better at Sonoma, but it doesn’t matter because the 31 car point races. The team doesn’t take chances, they take what they can get. With Newman and McMurray, it always comes down to who’s cheaper. (3.9 fppk)

18. Kasey Kahne ($7,600) – With another plus 30 point fantasy day at Pocono (38.5 pts.), Kahne is becoming a Fantasy NASCAR legend. He’ll be lucky to make the Chase and doesn’t factor into real racing, but Kahne headlines daily fantasy NASCAR. Kahne is much better at Sonoma, but if he continues to qualify poorly, then he’s in play in GPPs. (3.4 fppk)

19. Casey Mears ($6,600) – Before NASCAR, Mears was an open-wheel road racer. He’s never won a road race in a stock car (one career win), but he’s been dependable. His 16 top 20s at road courses compares to Biffle and Kahne. At The Glen, he’s riding a streak of 8 consecutive top 20 finishes. (2.6 fppk)

20. Danica Patrick ($6,100) – How can you pass on a driver with a road racing background in top notch equipment? She has not dominated road races, but she’s been comfortable at road courses. In her 7 road races, her worst finish is 29th (her first road race). The rest of her finishes are top 25s. I wouldn’t recommend drafting her if she starts inside the top 15, however. (4.0 fppk)

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.