Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.
1. Kevin Harvick ($11,400) – This is the fastest ride in each of the last three races. Even when Harvick ran out of gas at New Hampshire, he still scored 90 fantasy points.
2. Matt Kenseth ($10,300) – Kyle Busch might be the fastest JGR driver, but Kenseth is the most consistent driver on the best team in NASCAR. Dover was Kenseth’s 19th top 10 this season.
3. Kyle Busch ($10,600) – Harvick is the fastest, but Kyle is right behind him. Kyle squeezed into the second round of the Chase by 1 point with a clutch 2nd place finish at Dover.
4. Denny Hamlin ($9,500) – The Dover finish doesn’t look good, but that happens when you earn two penalties. Hamlin’s still fast and JGR is on a roll.
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr. ($8,800) – Just like Harvick, it appears that Earnhardt just barely advanced. This is true, but it’s not because he is struggling; he ran out of gas at New Hampshire. Junior finished 3rd at Dover.
6. Joey Logano ($9,700) – He’s an easy top 10 driver and most of the time he’s a lock for the top 5. The reason Logano drops to 6th is because he isn’t running fast laps or lead laps.
7. Carl Edwards ($9,300) – Chalk the average Dover finish up to playing it safe and advancing. There’s nothing to worry about; Carl’s average running position Sunday was 7th.
8. Jamie McMurray ($7,100) – This is a very low price tag for the racer that drove his guts out and finished 4th, but 1 point short of advancing. With nothing to lose, Jamie Mac might let it all hang out for the rest of the season.
9. Aric Almirola ($6,500) – What can’t be said about Almirola’s fantasy season? Time and time again, The Cuban Missile out performs his salary.
10. Brad Keselowski ($9,600) – BK didn’t have the car at Dover. He’s a top notch driver, but right now, he’s not a contender to score 100 points.
11. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($5,800) – With three top 20s in a row and 42 fppr over that span (5th best), Ricky remains the value play of the week. Stenhouse can snap back to reality at anytime, but he can win a GPP too.
12. Ryan Newman ($7,000) – He hasn’t looked very impressive during the first three Chase races, but he never does. Newman is safe and cheap.
13. Kurt Busch ($9,400) – Over the last 5 races, Busch has two good and three bad. The two good races were at intermediate tracks. Charlotte is an intermediate track.
14. Kasey Kahne ($8,000) – It seems Kahne has moved on from missing the Chase. However, if he would have made the Chase, then his top 10s at New Hampshire and Dover would have put him into the second round.
15. Jeff Gordon ($8,400) – He’s consistently running in the top 15. At his price, he may be worth the pick based on finishing position points alone, but in a GPP, he needs to score place differential points.
16. Jimmie Johnson ($10,200) – This team is a disaster. It’s just not his year. Jimmie could win any week, but based on the way the last three months have gone, he’s not worth the price tag.
17. Greg Biffle ($6,400) – The Roush Fenway drivers are running well and they are cheap. Biffle and Stenhouse have been the key to winning GPPs over the last two weeks. How about a third?
18. Martin Truex Jr. ($9,900) – The 78 car was forced to start from the back of the field for failing the pre-race inspection. Truex responded by making his way through the field and advancing to round two.
19. Kyle Larson ($7,900) – Since Indianapolis in Late July, he’s driven like the phenom the NASCAR community expected. Aside from a wreck at Bristol, Larson has an average finishing position of 12th over that span.
20. Clint Bowyer ($6,600) – If you’re buying stock in Clint Bowyer, this is the time; $6,600 is lowest his salary has dropped this season. It’s odd because Bowyer scored 42 fantasy points at Dover (10th).