Qualifying is over. All of the practice laps have been run. This is it. Let’s make some picks.
Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day.
High Price Salary
Kevin Harvick ($11,400) – Harvick qualified in the 6th spot. For Harvick this is like qualifying on the pole. Happy was fastest in happy hour practice and shouldn’t have any problem working his way up front. Look for Harvick to produce fastest laps and find his way into the outer groove to eventually find the lead. Yes you will be paying top dollar, but he will be worth every penny.
Brad Keselowski ($11,200) – BK comes in at the 2nd highest price, but due to his dominance at Richmond he is worth the money. BK qualified in the 3rd spot and should find his way up front to contend with his teammate rather quickly. Brad’s wasn’t great in practice, but it seems he was just holding back. Plug BK in liberally this week.
Joey Logano ($10,400) – Joey took down the pole this week. He has been hot over the past couple of weeks and should produce some lead laps. As I play this race out in my head I have him leading some of the first laps, until BK decides to take over. Barring anything crazy Joey should produce a top 5 this week.
Mid Price Salary
Martin Truex Jr. ($8,800) – Truex was 6th in happy hour practice and has had a great season. He qualified in the 16th spot, which gives him the ability to produce some positive place differential points. Truex should find his way into the top 10 and bring back value this week.
Dale Earnhardt Jr. ($8,400) – Dale is one of the top place differential plays on the week. He has focused on race trim all weekend and qualified poorly. Dale qualified in the 29th spot and will be driving a top 10 car. Look for Junior to work his way up to the front quickly and possibly find himself in the top 10.
Kyle Larson ($8,000) – This is Larson’s type of track. He loves to drive aggressively and performs well on short tracks. Coming in at the 11th qualifying spot Larson should maintain his place and potentially work his way into the top 10. For an 8k price, I like where he sets up.
Low Price Salary
Ryan Newman ($7,700) – Like I said in the value article Newman has been a top 10 machine this year, but he wants to win. Newman has a win at this track in 2003. He qualified in the 13th spot and should find the top 10 at the end of the night.
Clint Bowyer ($7,400) -The next two guys need a win and Bowyer will try to get one tonight. He has won at Richmond before and desperately needs to find victory lane. Bowyer qualified in the 26th spot and will make for a great place differential play. He will be aggressive which may put him in danger to wreck, but for a GPP he makes a great filler play.
Greg Biffle ($7,100) – Not going to draw out the Bif’s write up. The Bif will start in the 38th spot and will work his way up to the front. You want positive place differential points this is probably the best play of the night.
Long Shot Value Driver
Landon Cassill ($5,500 ) – We took Cassill on a flyer last week and it paid off. Landon had practice times in the high 20s, but qualified in 35th. He should be a positive scorer as he works his way into the top 30 and produces positive points. Call this a hunch, but I like Cassill as my deep punt this week.