Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
Top 5 Favorites to Win
1. A.J. Allmendinger – Without a doubt this is the best road course driver in NASCAR. The Dinger had a strong car at Sonoma (June road course race), but mechanical issues derailed his day. Last Year, A.J. won the Watkins Glen race. He has the best avg. finish (8th) among qualified drivers at Watkins Glen.
2. Kyle Busch – Modern NASCAR is full of parity and any top tier driver can win each week. Every track is different and suits the skills of different teams and drivers. Kyle Busch’s current streak is one for the ages. He was just a couple ounces of gasoline from his 5th win in 6 races. Rowdy won at this season’s first road course, and historically speaking, Watkins Glen is a better track for him (2 wins and in 80% of his races he finishes in the top 10).
3. Carl Edwards – Aside from Allmendinger, Edwards is consider the new master of road courses. In the Sonoma race, Edwards ran well until David Ragan seemingly took him out. Up until that wreck, he had a run of 4 consecutive top 5 finishes at road courses. In 70% of races at The Glen, Edwards has finished in the top 10.
4. Joey Logano – Just like Kyle, a couple more drops of dinosaur bones, and Logano would’ve been in victory lane at Pocono. Logano’s 12 top 5s and 15 top 10s trail only Kevin Harvick. Better yet, Logano proved at Pocono that he can lead laps. How is he on the road? He’s been good since he’s joined Penske (top 10 in both races). He started 19th and finished 5th at Sonoma earlier this year.
5. Brad Keselowski – Over the last 4 races, BK is averaging a 5th place finish (82.5 fppg avg). Keselowski’s run of three consecutive 2nd place finishes at The Glen came to an end last year (brake issues), but it’s clear that BK knows this track.
Long Shots to Score Big
1. Kyle Larson – These long shots are almost always the same each week, but that’s just the way it works. Larson is the young kid that no one expects to win. He’s risky every week, but the kid can race. He lacks the consistency of a seasoned veteran, but at any given race, Larson can finish in the top 5. Larson finished 4th at Watkins Glen last year and 15th at Sonoma this year.
2. Tony Stewart – Smoke, again? Stewart is the old, washed up veteran that no one expects to win. The good news is that he’s been racing better over the last two weeks. The 2015 rules package is not as much of a hindrance away from oval tracks. Stewart’s 19 top 10 finishes ranks 2nd behind old man Gordon. Confusing the issue is that Stewart has missed the last two races at The Glen (accidental death & broken leg). He’s the perennial longshot.
3. Clint Bowyer – His back is against the wall, but Bowyer’s Chase hopes got a lift when Kahne wrecked and Kyle Busch ran out of gas. Bowyer must race well and he has (5 top 10s in the last 7 races). Bowyer was one of the top 3 cars at the Sonoma road course race in June. Michael Waltrip Racing has a great road course program. Since joining MWR, Bowyer has finished inside the top 10 in 6 of 7 road course races.
Kyle Busch – Another half a mile of gas, and it’s 5 wins at 6 very different race tracks. Kyle is in midseason form after missing the first half of the season. Even the Kyle Busch haters have to pick him at this point. This is Tiger Woods territory.
Matt Kenseth – It was a lucky win, but a driver must put himself in a position to get lucky. Kenseth does this every week. He’s always running around the top 5 at the end of race (5th place avg. finish over the last 4 races), and this time he caught a break.
Joey Logano – The winless streak continues, but from a DFS perspective, Pocono was good for Logano. He ran a lot of lead laps and fast laps and once again, he was inside the top 5 for nearly the entire race.
A.J. Allmendinger (2014)
Kyle Busch (2013)
Marco Ambrose (2012)
Marcos Ambrose (2011)
Kyle Busch (2010)
Pick to Win
A.J. Allmendinger – It’s crazy to pick against Kyle Busch, but after last week’s finish, Kyle must be more conservative. On the other hand, Allmendinger is running all or nothing this week. The only chance the 47 has at getting into the Chase is by winning at The Glen, just like he did last year.