Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Draftkings NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Martin Truex, Jr. – By far, the best intermediate track program has belonged to the 78 Furniture Row team. There is just too much speed in this car for it to be ranked anywhere but first. Truex’s two wins and average finish of 7th at intermediate tracks are impressive stats. However, the stat that matters in DraftKings NASCAR is speed. In the last intermediate track race (Darlington), Truex once again dominated the fast lap category. That’s the fourth straight 1.5 mile track race where Truex has ran the most fast laps.
2. Kevin Harvick – The beat rolls on. Harvick’s dominance is a ubiquitous squid that stretches its tentacles from the tracks of the Southeast to the West to the North, and this week, to the Midwest. Harvick has not won at an intermediate tack race this season, but his average finish of 5th is the best in NASCAR. His 77 points per intermediate track race is the second highest in NASCAR this season. In his two races at Chicago with Stewart-Haas, he has a wreck and 85 fantasy points in the 2014 race.
3. Kyle Busch – It’s an uneasy feeling picking Kyle Busch. He’s been just okay lately, not great. In the last two intermediate track races, Kyle has had a top 10 car, but not a #1 car. Honestly, it’s hard to imagine anyone with a car that measures up to Truex’s ride. Busch’s car is not far off, he has a great pit crew and a brilliant crew chief. In the Spring, Rowdy had 4 top 5s at intermediate tracks (2 wins). In the last three Chicago races, Kyle has led over 40 laps and finished inside the top 10 in each race.
4. Denny Hamlin – Ride the hot hand… it’s working. Hamlin stated that this is the most prepared his team has ever been entering the playoffs. The team is unloading fast, qualifying up front and making perfect adjustments during the race. Hamlin’s team appeared to struggle in the spring, but supposedly the team was experimenting. They’re not experimenting anymore. Hamlin is on an 8 race top 10 streak (including two wins over that span). As if everything wasn’t already going Hamlin’s way, he won the Chicago race last year.
5. Brad Keselowski – Last year Keselowski had the best average finish at intermediate tracks. This season he ranks 3rd. He is one of three drivers that have two intermediate track victories this season. At Chicago, BK has the best recent track history among the top 5 favorites to win. He won the playoff opening race in 2012 and 2014. He’s finished 8th or better in the last 5 races at Chicago.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kyle Larson – How is Larson a long shot? Look at the top 5. That’s a strong group and every top tier team is going to bring their best for the playoffs. In two trips to Chicago, Larson has finished 7th and 3rd. He ran the most fast laps in the 2014 race.
2. Chase Elliott – Hendrick has looked lost this season, but for the most part Elliott has raced well at intermediate tracks. Elliot wrecked in two 1.5 miles races, but he finished inside the top 10 in the other 5 races.
3. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. – In his three Chicago races, Stenhouse has 3 top 20s (his best finish is 8th). He’s been an underrated intermediate track driver this season. He wrecked at Kentucky, but in the other 6 races Stenhouse has 6 top 20s and an average finish of 14th (not including the Kentucky race).
Denny Hamlin – Going into the playoffs, this JGR Toyota driver has 8 consecutive top 10s. During that streak he’s won twice including last week’s race at Richmond.
Kevin Harvick – His top 5 steak extended to 4 in a row at Richmond. Harvick has an astounding 21 top 10s in 26 races this season.
Kyle Larson – The incredible run continued at Richmond. Larson took advantage of the last restart and jumped from 12th to 2nd. It was his third consecutive top 5 finish.
Denny Hamlin (2015)
Brad Keselowski (2014)
Matt Kenseth (2013)
Brad Keselowski (2012)
Tony Stewart (2011)
PICK TO WIN
Martin Truex, Jr. – The JGR Toyota alliance has won 4 of 6 intermediate track races this season. Speed worked at Darlington; speed will work at Chicago.
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