Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Joey Logano – The last time Joey Logano turned 500 laps at Martinsville, he was riding a three race win streak and was my #1 pick on the Cheat Sheet. Matt Kenseth put him in the wall and he finished 37th. Even with this black eye, Joey Logano has the best Martinsville driver rating over the last 5 races (112.3), but still no wins. He’s due for a win at Martinsville, and he’s due for a win in 2016.
2. Jimmie Johnson – Martinsville is Hendrick Motorsports’ playground (23 wins). The last several years at Martinsville have not been kind to Jimmie, but it’s never smart to go against Jimmie. Before the latest skid, Jimmie had 18 straight Martinsville races with a driver rating over 100 and 8 visits to victory lane. Jimmie stole his second win from Kevin Harvick in California, solidifying him as the driver to beat in 2016.
3. Denny Hamlin – Outside of Hendrick Motorsports, the other Martinsville ace is Denny Hamlin. In 20 Martinsville races, Hamlin has the second best average finish in NASCAR (8th). Hamlin’s 5 grandfather clocks (Martinsville wins) and 55% top 5 finish rate ranks second behind Jimmie Johnson. In the last two 2016 races, Hamlin has recorded back-to-back 3rd place finishes.
4. Kevin Harvick – The Martinsville stats for Harvick are not otherworldly; they’re good, but he’s not the King of The Paperclip. In typical Harvick fashion, he scored the the most fantasy points in the 2015 Fall race and the second most in the Spring race, but did not win either. This tends to be the trend with Harvick. He only has one win this year, but he is clearly the fastest every week, and his fantasy points per race average is 19 points higher than anyone else.
5. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. – It’s hard to fade Hendrick, but Jimmie’s latest struggles/tough go at Martinsville should not be completely dismissed. Junior is a great alternative to Jimmie, especially for frugal DFS players looking for a deal. This may not be a plate race, but Junior is arguably as good at short, flat tracks. At Martinsville, Junior has 11 top 10s in 16 Martinsville races with Hendrick Motorsports.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Brian Vickers – This week Vickers hops back into the 14 car. Filling in for Tony Stewart worked out for Vickers at Fontana (13th place finish and 42 fantasy points). In 18 Martinsville races, Vickers averages a top 20 finish (19th).
2. AJ Allmendinger – Road courses and flat tracks suit Allmendinger. Both tracks require drivers to corner low banked turns with precision over and over again. At Martinsville, AJ has 3 top 15s in the last 4 races and an average running position of 17th over the last 5 races. This season, A.J. has the 13th best average finish (17th).
3. Paul Menard – In order to score, you’ve got to stay clean. Menard might not have the same daily fantasy ceiling as other drivers, but he has the highest floor. Menard has 5 top 20s in the last 7 Martinsville races. With the way RCR has been running this season, a top 10 is not unthinkable.
Jimmie Johnson – Superman, Darth Vader, call him whatever you want. He already has two wins this season.
Kevin Harvick – The wins never seem to happen, but Harvick has the best average finish (4th) and the highest average fantasy points per race (85 pts).
Denny Hamlin – The Daytona 500 winner is back in the groove with back-to-back 3rd place finishes.
Past winners at this track.
Jeff Gordon (Fall 2015)
Denny Hamlin (Spring 2015)
Dale Earnhardt Jr. (Fall 2014)
Kurt Busch (Spring 2014)
Jeff Gordon (Fall 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Jimmie Johnson – Hendrick Motorsports always wins at Martinsville and Johnson is the driver to beat in 2016.