Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kevin Harvick – The numbers are frightening. Harvick has won the last 4 Phoenix races and he’s dominated the fantasy scoreboard in each (149 fppr). Harvick has always owned this track. Before his current hot streak (2001 – 2013), Harvick recorded 9 top 10s and 3 wins at Phoenix. Harvick has been a top 3 car for nearly every Chase race. A month ago at New Hampshire (a comparable flat, short track), Harvick was destroying the field (216 laps led and 93 fast laps), but he ran out of gas. Harvick should set a record for highest fantasy NASCAR salary this week.
2. Brad Keselowski – If BK wants to race for the championship in Miami, then he needs to win at Phoenix. Keselowski fell just a few laps short at Texas, but he’s running well and he has a hot rod. The Spring Phoenix race was all about Kevin Harvick, but Keselowski was number two. For the sake of argument, Penske has made gains with the 2015 rules package, so it’s possible that Phoenix might be a slightly more even playing field. Harvick’s the man, but BK is great pivot away from the DFS field.
3. Joey Logano – Karma is real. many drivers didn’t like game Logano was spitting during his three race win streak. Now, Logano has a streak of two horrible races. Logano has the skill and the car, but he needs the luck again. In the Spring race, Logano scored the third most combined fast and lead lap points and finished 8th. He’s finished inside the top 10 in each of his last 4 Phoenix races. He finished inside the top 5 in both New Hampshire races this season.
4. Carl Edwards – The last driver to win at Phoenix not named Kevin Harvick was Carl Edwards. That race was sponsored by Subway, so that explain why Harvick didn’t win. Edwards has been strong since JGR went next level at Kentucky in July (14 top 10s). At New Hampshire, Edwards finished 7th and 5th this season.
*5. Jimmie Johnson * – The 48 teams is streaky and sneaky. When Jimmie gets right, he can roll off win after win. Throughout the Chase, the 48 car has been fast, but it just missed on a set up or got caught in traffic each week. At Texas, Keselowski led the entire race, but just when BK’s car got a little tight, Jimmie was ready to strike. To dethrone Harvick, Johnson will need to win in sneaky fashion again.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Ride the hot hand. Roush has been very dependable during the last third of the season. I mention this every week, so bear with me once again – Stenhouse is on the best run of his young Sprint Cup career. At Texas, Stenhouse missed out on another top 20 by just one spot. At the three flat, short track races this season, Stenhouse finished inside the top 20 in each (14th average finish). When it comes to Phoenix, this might be Stenhouse’s best track. In his five Sprint Cup races in the desert, Stenhouse has 5 top 20s and an average finish of 15th. In the Xfinity series, Stenhouse finished inside the top 10 in each of his 6 Phoenix races.
2. Kyle Larson – At Phoenix, Larson has improved with each race (20th, 13th, and 10th). Unfortunately, Larson has slipped back into his sophomore slump with another tough luck finish at Texas. Larson is a GPP play only, but if he can have average luck, then he could easily score 40 plus points. In the Spring race, Larson had a driver rating of 92.5 and a rating of 100.4 in last Fall’s race.
3. Erik Jones – He’s got the ride and enough skill to finish inside the top 15. Jones finished 12th at Texas and ran 93% of his laps inside the top 15. Being that Jones is just 19, he doesn’t have a lot of history to analyze. However, he’s raced at Phoenix in the truck series twice, and he won both of those races.
Jeff Gordon – The longest top 10 streak belongs to the 24 team. Texas was Gordon’s fifth consecutive top 10. Do you think Gordon might be regretting his decision to retire?
Kevin Harvick – Minus Talladega, Harvick has been in contention in every Chase race. He doesn’t have the finishes, but he’s had the best car. Martinsville and Texas make back to back top 10s for Harvick.
Carl Edwards – Kentucky was a turning point for JGR. Since that race, Carl Edwards has an average finish of 7th and his worst finish was 15th.
Kevin Harvick (Spring 2015)
Kevin Harvick (Fall 2014)
Kevin Harvick (Spring 2014)
Kevin Harvick (Fall 2013)
Carl Edwards (Spring 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kevin Harvick – As far as no brainers go, this is the no brainer of no brainers. No one can win five in a row? No one can win two, three, or four in a row! Plug him into your lineups.