Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kevin Harvick – Maybe Harvick isn’t the number one guy or even the second best driver, but statistically, he’s a lock for a top 5 fantasy performance (68 fppg). How’s Harvick been at New Hampshire? The guy dominates short flat tracks. Phoenix will name a grandstand after him some day. New Hampshire is not too far away. Harvick dominated last Fall’s race before he ran out of gas. Over the last 3 New Hampshire races, Harvick is averaging over 60 dominator points (fast lap and laps led points).
2. Brad Keselowski – Unlike Harvick, Keselowski wins races. Also unlike Harvick, Keselowski does not dominate races. In Daily Fantasy NASCAR, wins are fractional compared to domination. Harvick clearly gets the edge this year. At New Hampshire, it’s not as clear cut. BK has the best driver rating over the last 5 races at the Magic Mile. Over the last 9 trips to New Hampshire, his worst finish is 13th (avg. finish of 6th). BK has topped 100 fantasy points in the last two July New Hampshire races.
3. Kyle Busch – Short flat tracks aren’t widely considered Kyle Busch tracks. Bristol, intermediate tracks, that’s where Rowdy rules. That’s just flat out wrong. Kyle is good at short, flat tracks, he just doesn’t have the wins. This changed earlier this year when he swept both Martinsville races (he finished 4th at Phoenix). Last season, Kyle stole a New Hampshire win and wrecked out of the Fall race (that’s Rowdy). From 2013-14, Rowdy scored three 2nd place finishes and an 8th place finish at New Hampshire.
4. Matt Kenseth – When Kenseth was mired in a funk this Spring, he just needed one break. He didn’t get one at Martinsville. Trapped on the outside line during a late race restart, Kenseth watched hours worth of perfection disappear in seconds. New Hampshire isn’t as punitive; it’s more forgiving. Kenseth has two wins at New Hampshire over the last 5 races.
5. Carl Edwards – Joe Gibbs Racing is really good at New Hampshire. Kenseth experienced a New Hampshire resurgence when he joined JGR. Carl didn’t have the greatest season in his debut for JGR, but he didn’t falter at New Hampshire (finished 5th and 7th). Which was surprising because Edwards was always a 15th to 20th guy at New Hampshire for Roush. Edwards has been the best short track driver of 2016. He won at Bristol and Richmond. On the flat short tracks, he finished 6th at Martinsville and was milliseconds from a win at Phoenix.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kyle Larson – Does anyone remember the blazing fast Martinsville practice times that Larson laid down? He backed it up with a 3rd place finish. In his rookie season, Larson finished 2nd and 3rd at New Hampshire. The 42 Target Chevy could win any week now, and this feels like the week.
2. Austin Dillon – At the two short, flat tracks, Dillon has two top 10s. In Dillon’s young career, he has three top 15s ins 4 races at the Magic Mile (worst finish is 22nd). The 3 car might not be ready for victory lane, but it’s a playoff car.
3. Tony Stewart – The dream is real. Jeff Gordon made it to the Championship race last year. Why can’t Tony? A relaxed Tony Stewart is dangerous (see 2011 Chase – 5 wins). During the last three trying season, Stewart has still managed to score 4 top 20s at New Hampshire (avg. finish of 17th).
Brad Keselowski – For those scoring at home, that’s back-to-wins at distinctly unique tracks. It’s 7 top 10s in his last 8 races and 5 top 5s in his last 6 races (best average finish in NASCAR).
Martin Truex, Jr. – A questionable, late race penalty derailed Truex’s hot streak at intermediate tracks. Even with the adversity, Truex had the 2nd best DFS day scoring 77 fantasy points (only 4 points behind the leader).
Kurt Busch – This is getting ridiculous. The TV broadcast barely made a mention of Kurt, but he raced his way from dead last to 4th. If there wasn’t a Chase format, Kurt would run away with the 2016 championship.
Matt Kenseth (Fall 2015)
Kyle Busch (Spring 2015)
Joey Logano (Fall 2014)
Brad Keselowski (Spring 2014)
Matt Kenseth (Fall 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Larson – Every once in awhile, you just get a feeling. Larson is adept at short, flat tracks. He’s great on restarts, and that’s where this race will be won. This is the week.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.