Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Matt Kenseth – How can one pick against the driver that has won 3 of the last 6 New Hampshire races? Kenseth is not just finishing well, he’s scoring fantasy points. In the last 6 New Hampshire races, Kenseth has 4 top 5 DFS scores and a top 10 DFS score. The JGR Toyotas have owned the short tracks this season and Kenseth has led that domination with a win at Dover and New Hampshire. The last two short tracks have not gone his way, but Bristol is Bristol and Richmond was a once in a blue moon caution fest.
2. Kevin Harvick – Chicago was a mess for Harvick and DFS players. If there is one positive takeaway, it’s that this car is fast. Last season, Harvick found himself in a similar hole leaving Chicago. He responded by dominating the New Hampshire race until he ran out of gas at the end. Harvick led 214 laps and ran 93 fast laps. The Stewart-Haas captain has two short track wins already this season (6 top 10s). It took two really bad breaks to ruin Harvick’s day last week. With just one mistake this week, Harvick will have a top 5 DFS day. No mistakes and Harvick blows the DFS scoreboard up.
3. Denny Hamlin – This team is doing everything right. It’s a testament to how well this team is running that Hamlin’s 6th place finish at Chicago was slightly disappointing. Hamlin’s the hottest driver in NASCAR and he’s nearly been perfect at short tracks this season (the exceptions being a rare wheel hop at Martinsville and a late wreck at Bristol – both in the spring). His 6 top 10s at short tracks ties him with Harvick for the league lead. At New Hampshire, Hamlin doesn’t have the best track history, but he’s finished inside the top 10 in the last two Loudon races.
4. Martin Truex, Jr. – This isn’t his best track, but the same thing was said at Richmond (136 points). The 78 car is a lightning bolt at intermediate tracks. It doesn’t quite have that speed at short tracks, but it’s still the fastest car on the track. Other cars have better track history, but Truex has the speed and this is racing we’re talking about. Don’t be fooled by Truex’s 18th place finish in the July New Hampshire race. His gear shift and clutch failed near the end of the race. Before the mechanical failure, Truex led 123 laps (42 fast laps).
5. Brad Keselowski – Fifth is a judgement call. There are a handful of drivers that could claim this spot. BK edges out his competition based on driver rating (117.9 over the last 6 NH races). From the top tier, DFS players are looking for fast laps and laps led. That’s what BK develievers at New Hampshire. His last two Loudon races have been average, but from 2014 to 2015, BK scored 133 points, 70 points, and 106 points.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Greg Biffle – In the last two races at New Hampshire, Biffle has two top 5 finishes. His average running position in those races was 20th and 16th. What can you say, he’s a long shot. Biffle has 5 top 20s at short tracks this season. You’ve got to run in the top half to benefit from a lucky break.
2. Danica Patrick – A quiet season is a good season for Danica. At the short, flat tracks, Danica has 4 top 20s in 5 races (average finish of 18th). If she continues to avoid wrecks like she’s done all season, then she could slide into the top 15 at the end.
3. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. – Roush didn’t have the cars last week. That can happen at an intermediate track. In the last 5 New Hampshire races, Stenhouse has 2 top 10s and 4 top 20s. Stenhouse has raced well in the last 6 short track races (5 top 20s).
Denny Hamlin – With his 9th consecutive top 10s, Hamlin is one top 10 finish away from the longest top 10 streak this season.
Brad Keselowski – The second longest top 10 streak belongs to BK (4). His average finish of 10th is the second best in NASCAR.
Martin Truex, Jr. – Finishing position is great, but what about fantasy points? Truex has scored the most fantasy points in the last two races, and he had the second most points at Darlington.
Matt Kenseth (Spring 2016)
Matt Kenseth (Fall 2015)
Kyle Busch (Spring 2015)
Brad Keselowski (Fall 2014)
Matt Kenseth (Spring 2014)
PICK TO WIN
Kevin Harvick – Watch out when Harvick gets mad. We’ve seen this movie before. Harvick doesn’t steal wins…he runs wire to wire.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.