Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kyle Busch – Atlanta was a battle between Johnson and Harvick. It would have been a different story, if Kyle didn’t give the field a 38 car advantage. Rowdy found his way through the field, and was a split second from finishing 2nd at Atlanta. What would have happened if Kyle started inside the top 30, the top 20, or even the top 10? As predicted, Kyle loves the new low downforce rules package. Las Vegas is Kyle’s hometown track, but a hometown win has eluded him so far. If he starts inside the top 10, then reserve his spot in victory lane.
2. Jimmie Johnson – Harvick may have the best car, but Jimmie has the best team. No one plays a better strategy game than Chad Knaus and the Lowe’s 48 team. Jimmie rolls into Las Vegas as the top ranked intermediate track driver with the 2nd highest Las Vegas driver rating over the last 4 years. Bring on low downforce race two.
3. Kevin Harvick – Does practice matter anymore? Havick acknowledged that his practice times were far from superior, but he dismissed practice, and said his car was fast. He was fast. Harvick scored the most daily fantasy points on Sunday, but he did not win the race. Is this 2015 all over again? As always, winning is overrated. Nothing should change this week, Harvick scored 138 fantasy points at Las Vegas last season.
4. Martin Truex, Jr. – The Furniture Row 78 car has been very fast to start the season. At Atlanta, Truex ran inside the top 5 for most of the day. A bad restart by Harvick blocked Truex and resulted in a disappointing 7th place finish. Truex has comfortably adjusted to the low downforce package, and he’s a threat to score big time laps led and fast laps points. He finished 2nd in Las Vegas last season.
5. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. – It’s been a long time since Dale, Jr. won an intermediate track race. It’s been a long time since we’ve seen stock cars race the way they did on Sunday. Hendrick Motorsports was ready for the new low downforce package, placing three cars inside the top 10. Over the last 4 Las Vegas races, Junior has the highest average driver rating (115.6).
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. – No one gave Ricky a shot last week. His starting position killed his fantasy value, but from a racing perspective, Ricky looked great in the new low downforce package running inside the top 15 for 100% of the race.
2. Aric Almirola – Let’s hope there isn’t a price increase. In three low downforce races, Almirola has three top 15s. His fppk of 6.5 was the 6th best at Atlanta. He was the only value play over 6 points per $1,000 of salary.
3. Chase Elliott – It’s a bit of a surprise that Hendrick Motorsports has the best handle on the new low downforce package. An even bigger surprise was young Chase Elliott on Sunday. Was that Jeff Gordon in the 24? Chase Elliott ran 92.7% of his laps inside the top 15 and scored 60 fantasy points.
Kevin Harvick – Always a bridesmaid, never a bride. Harvick fell short of multiple wins last season, but he often put up monster fantasy numbers. He followed that pattern at Atlanta.
Jimmie Johnson – He’s now on pace to win 18 races. On a serious note, Johnson winning his 76th race is an equally absurd statement. He’s not slowing down, either. Johnson is averaging 5 wins a season over the the last 4 seasons
Kyle Busch – A win is coming, but until then, DFS players should be satisfied with the 3rd highest average points per race (66 pts).
Kevin Harvick (2015)
Brad Keselowski (2015)
Matt Kenseth (2013)
Tony Stewart (2012)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Busch – If Kyle Busch doesn’t start in last place, he wins the race.